Risk Dimensions Consulting Head Explains Link Between Bitcoin Price and U.S. National Debt

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-21Last updated on 2026-08-21

Abstract

The head of consulting firm Risk Dimensions explained the connection between Bitcoin's price and the U.S. national debt. He commented on U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's plan to regularly buy back long-term Treasury bonds, initially with $4 billion, a move seen as atypical and potentially a response to rising long-term borrowing costs. He expects these buybacks could increase to $10–30 billion per month. High Treasury yields currently make them more attractive than risky assets like Bitcoin, potentially drawing investors away from crypto. The bond buybacks are intended to support their prices and curb further yield increases. Another factor is the potential easing of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR), which would allow banks to hold more bonds. The executive stated that Bitcoin's movement toward a first target of $180,000 is contingent on these developments. In the short term, he views $72,000 as a key level for Bitcoin, with the risk of falling below it if there's no progress on the CLARITY cryptocurrency regulation bill. Previously, a Standard Chartered analyst predicted Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by year-end, supported by increased liquidity in the U.S. Treasury market.

A top manager responded to a statement by U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent about plans to regularly repurchase long-term Treasury bonds. The department intends to spend $4 billion on these operations, but the secretary admits the amount could be increased.

According to the head of Risk Dimensions, this step is atypical for the U.S. Treasury and could be a reaction to rising long-term borrowing costs. Connors expects that over time, the volume of government bond repurchases could increase to $10–30 billion per month.

The head of the consulting firm believes that the high yield of Treasury bonds makes them more attractive compared to risky assets, including Bitcoin. Under such conditions, investors may prefer U.S. government debt. Bond repurchases could support their value and restrain further yield increases.

Another factor Connors mentioned was the potential easing of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR). This regulation limits the volume of assets, including bonds, that banks can hold on their balance sheets relative to their own capital. According to the consulting specialist's estimate, easing the requirements would allow banks to more actively repurchase government debt.

"When that happens, that's when Bitcoin will start moving toward the first target threshold of $180,000," Connors stated.

In the short term, he considers $72,000 an important level for Bitcoin. The top manager named the lack of progress on the CLARITY cryptocurrency regulation bill as a risk for the crypto market. In Connors' opinion, if the consideration of the initiative does not advance, the price of the main cryptocurrency could fall below $72,000.

Earlier, the Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, Geoffrey Kendrick, suggested Bitcoin could rise to $100,000 by the end of the year. According to his assessment, increased liquidity in the U.S. government bond market could provide support for the cryptocurrency.

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Related Questions

QWhat specific action by the U.S. Treasury, mentioned by the head of Risk Dimensions, could affect Bitcoin's price according to the article?

AThe action is the U.S. Treasury's plan to regularly buy back long-term Treasury bonds, starting with $4 billion but potentially increasing to $10–30 billion per month.

QWhy does the head of Risk Dimensions believe high Treasury bond yields could negatively impact Bitcoin?

AHe believes high Treasury yields make them more attractive compared to risky assets like Bitcoin, potentially leading investors to prefer U.S. government debt instead.

QWhat potential regulatory change did Connors mention that could help banks buy more government debt?

AHe mentioned the potential easing of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) regulation, which would allow banks to hold more assets, including bonds, relative to their capital.

QWhat is the first major price target for Bitcoin that Connors mentions, and what event does he link it to?

AHe mentions a first target of $180,000 for Bitcoin, linking this movement to the easing of the Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) regulation.

QWhat does Connors identify as a key short-term risk for the crypto market and Bitcoin's price?

AHe identifies the lack of progress on the CLARITY cryptocurrency regulation bill as a key risk, stating that if the initiative does not advance, Bitcoin's price could fall below $72,000.

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