Profits Fall by a Quarter: Why Tether Abandoned Its $20 Billion Financing Plan

marsbitPublished on 2026-02-05Last updated on 2026-02-05

Abstract

In the face of a cooling crypto market and investor skepticism, Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer, has significantly scaled back its ambitious fundraising plans. Initially targeting $15-20 billion, which would have valued the company at $500 billion, the firm is now considering raising only about $5 billion. CEO Paolo Ardoino downplayed the original target, calling it a "misunderstanding" and a maximum cap, not a goal, while emphasizing that Tether is highly profitable and doesn't urgently need the capital. Despite the success of its USDT stablecoin, which has a market cap of approximately $185 billion, Tether faces persistent investor caution. Concerns revolve around its $500 billion valuation—comparable to major AI firms and SpaceX—ongoing regulatory scrutiny, and the lack of a full independent audit, relying instead on quarterly attestations. Ardoino defended the valuation, contrasting Tether's substantial profits with the losses of highly-valued AI companies. While new U.S. stablecoin legislation and competitor Circle's IPO have boosted momentum, regulatory risks and Tether's controversial history remain hurdles. The company's profits fell by about a quarter in 2025, attributed to declining Bitcoin prices, though it gained $8-10 billion from its gold holdings. Tether's massive scale has made it a major player in U.S. Treasuries and gold markets, positioning it as a critical bridge between traditional finance and the volatile crypto world.

Editor's Note: Against the backdrop of a cooling crypto market and pressured valuation narratives, Tether finds itself in a delicate position. On one hand, the continued expansion of USDT has made it an undeniable 'new financial player' in the U.S. Treasury and gold markets. On the other hand, a lofty $500 billion valuation expectations, an incomplete comprehensive audit, and long-standing regulatory and compliance controversies continue to make potential investors cautious.

Tether's next move may reflect not only its own choices but also the practical boundaries the entire stablecoin industry is facing.

The following is the original text:

As investors expressed skepticism about its $500 billion valuation target, the CEO of Tether, the world's largest stablecoin issuer, proactively downplayed expectations and attention regarding its financing scale.

This crypto group, registered in El Salvador, initiated financing negotiations last year, planning to raise $15 to $20 billion. Had the deal been completed, it would have placed Tether among the world's most valuable private companies.

But according to informed sources, after encountering investor hesitation, Tether's advisors have begun exploring the possibility of raising only about $5 billion.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino downplayed the potential financing scale, calling the previously stated $15 to $20 billion target "a misunderstanding."

"That number was not our target; it was just the maximum we were willing to sell," he said in an interview. "We would be equally happy not selling a single cent."

Ardoino stated that Tether is highly profitable and has received "significant interest" at the $500 billion valuation level. He added that the company has not yet decided how much equity to sell, partly because insiders are reluctant to reduce their holdings.

The company's dollar-pegged stablecoin, USDT, currently has a scale of approximately $1.85 trillion and is regarded as the "reserve currency" of the digital asset market. Control of Tether is concentrated in the hands of a small group of long-serving executives.

The market has been closely watching Tether's progress in attracting well-known investors, seeing it as a key indicator of investor interest in the crypto industry. It is widely believed that this move is more about consolidating Tether's credibility and network, as the company, generating billions of dollars in profit annually, does not urgently need new capital.

Following Trump's election as president, the market was once boosted by expectations of a more friendly U.S. regulatory environment for digital assets. However, over the past six months, as traders retreated from high-risk speculative assets, the crypto market has seen a significant pullback.

Some investors have privately expressed concerns about the $500 billion valuation, which would place Tether among the top private companies globally, alongside AI firms like OpenAI and Anthropic, as well as Musk's SpaceX and TikTok's parent company ByteDance.

Ardoino argued that Tether—which disclosed profits of approximately $10 billion last year, primarily from returns on the asset reserves backing USDT's value—deserves a valuation comparable to these still-unprofitable AI model companies.

"These AI companies make about the same amount of money as we do, just with a huge minus sign in front," he said. "If you're willing to believe an AI company with a massive minus sign in front is worth $800 billion, that's your choice."

Both Tether and its financing advisor, Cantor Fitzgerald, declined to comment on the size of this financing. The investment bank, run by the children of U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, also holds a stake in Tether.

Informed sources cautioned that the negotiations are ongoing and the financing terms could still change; if the overall crypto market strengthens again, investor sentiment could also reverse.

Ardoino stated that the new U.S. stablecoin legislation signed into law by Trump, coupled with the listing of U.S. rival Circle last year, has further increased market attention and momentum for Tether. Tether recently also launched a new token in the U.S. that complies with this regulatory framework.

But informed sources said some potential investors remain cautious about the regulatory risks surrounding Tether. Since its founding in 2014, this crypto group has long faced scrutiny, with controversies primarily focusing on whether its tokens are used for illegal activities and the transparency and quality of its asset reserves.

In recent years, Tether has begun publishing quarterly reserve attestations by the accounting firm BDO Italia, but it has never undergone a full independent audit.

Ardoino stated that the company has demonstrated the depth of its technical tools for collaboration with various law enforcement agencies to potential investors, to prove its capabilities in compliance and law enforcement cooperation.

S&P Global Ratings downgraded Tether's reserve rating to the lowest tier in its system late last year, citing its increasing exposure to high-risk assets like Bitcoin and gold. In response, Ardoino said at the time: "We wear your disdain as a badge of honor."

Since 2020, the growth of USDT has significantly accelerated, making Tether one of the world's largest buyers of U.S. Treasuries and, in recent months, a major player in the gold market.

Asset allocation on such a massive scale makes Tether one of the most critical connecting nodes between the global financial system and the highly volatile world of cryptocurrency.

Compared to the previous year, Tether's profits for 2025 fell by about a quarter. Ardoino attributed this change to the decline in Bitcoin's price. He added that the company gained approximately $8 to $10 billion in profits from its gold holdings, benefiting from rising precious metal prices.

Related Questions

QWhy did Tether significantly scale back its fundraising target from up to $20 billion to potentially only $5 billion?

ATether's CEO, Paolo Ardoino, stated that the initial $15-20 billion figure was a 'misunderstanding' and represented the maximum they were *willing* to sell, not a target. Investor hesitation over the company's $500 billion valuation and internal shareholders' reluctance to sell their stakes contributed to the reduced scale.

QWhat was the primary reason for Tether's 25% profit decline in 2025, according to its CEO?

APaolo Ardoino attributed the approximately 25% profit decline in 2025 primarily to a decrease in the price of Bitcoin.

QWhat are the main regulatory and transparency concerns that make some potential investors cautious about Tether?

APotential investors are cautious due to Tether's long history of scrutiny over whether its tokens are used for illicit activity, the transparency and quality of its asset reserves, and the fact that it has not undergone a full independent audit, relying instead on quarterly attestations from BDO Italia.

QHow does Tether's CEO justify the company's proposed $500 billion valuation compared to major AI companies?

APaolo Ardoino argues that Tether, which is highly profitable, deserves a valuation comparable to major AI companies that are still reporting losses, stating, 'These AI companies make about the same money as us, just with a big minus sign in front.'

QWhat two major roles does Tether now play in the broader financial system, according to the article?

ATether has become one of the world's largest buyers of U.S. Treasury bonds and a significant participant in the gold market. This makes it a critical connecting node between the global financial system and the highly volatile world of cryptocurrencies.

Related Reads

Anthropic Cries Wolf: Is the AGI Threat Real, or Just an IPO Story?

Anthropic has published an article titled "When AI builds itself," discussing the emerging concept of "recursive self-improvement," where AI begins to actively participate in designing, training, testing, and optimizing its own subsequent versions. The company presents internal data showing that by May 2026, over 80% of code merged into its codebase was written by Claude, its AI model. Claude's capabilities have expanded to handling complex, open-ended engineering tasks, achieving a 76% success rate in such areas, and even contributing to research processes, such as optimizing code performance and conducting AI safety experiments. Anthropic outlines an evolution from human-driven development to AI-assisted workflows, culminating in the current stage where AI agents can autonomously write, run, and delegate code. The company cautions that the path toward a "closed loop," where AI continuously improves itself, is becoming visible. It calls for coordinated global mechanisms to potentially slow or pause frontier AI development to allow safety research and societal structures to catch up. However, the timing of this warning coincides with Anthropic's preparations for an IPO, framing the narrative not just as a safety concern but also as a demonstration of Claude's advanced capabilities and its integral role in accelerating Anthropic's own R&D—creating a potential "flywheel" effect for competitive advantage. This contrasts with OpenAI's recent, more policy-oriented discussion of the same risks, highlighting the competitive dynamics in the AI industry as companies position themselves in both the technological and regulatory landscape.

marsbit5m ago

Anthropic Cries Wolf: Is the AGI Threat Real, or Just an IPO Story?

marsbit5m ago

BIT Research: ETF Purchases Have Slowed, Strategy (MicroStrategy) Has Slowed, What Else Can Drive Bitcoin's Rise?

Market Refocus on Inflation and Rate Expectations Weighs on Bitcoin Currently, the market is in a phase of macro-repricing dominated by inflation and interest rate expectations. Bitcoin, which previously benefited from easy liquidity and low inflation, is seeing its core bullish drivers weaken. These drivers were market expectations for interest rate cuts and strong inflows from Bitcoin ETFs and institutions like MicroStrategy (referred to as "Strategy" in the text). The logic has shifted. Recent high inflation data (e.g., CPI hitting 3.8% in a May 2026 report) has caused the market to sharply reduce its rate cut expectations for 2025 and even price in potential hikes. This is a key constraint for Bitcoin, as it lacks cash flows and is highly sensitive to rate expectations. Concurrently, institutional capital flows have slowed significantly. Following the hot CPI data, Bitcoin ETFs saw accelerated outflows, with around $4.3 billion leaving over a period. MicroStrategy's ability to keep adding substantial Bitcoin to its balance sheet is also diminishing. Together, ETF and MicroStrategy holdings total roughly $110 billion, but their momentum as growth engines is cooling. In summary, Bitcoin's current pressure stems not from its own fundamentals but from a changing macro environment. As long as inflation stays elevated, Bitcoin is likely to remain in a consolidating phase. However, historically, inflation eventually peaks. Once it recedes and rate cut expectations rebuild, institutional capital could return, potentially fueling a new and more robust recovery phase for Bitcoin.

marsbit13m ago

BIT Research: ETF Purchases Have Slowed, Strategy (MicroStrategy) Has Slowed, What Else Can Drive Bitcoin's Rise?

marsbit13m ago

Earning 1000 Trillion in Half a Year, 'Pocketing' 20 Million per Capita: This Round of Wealth Creation in the Korean Stock Market is Unprecedented in Scale

The South Korean stock market is experiencing an unprecedented wealth surge in 2026, with household equity and fund asset values soaring by over 1,000 trillion KRW (~$730bn) year-to-date. This translates to an average per capita wealth increase of roughly 20 million KRW, fueled by a historic 109% rally in the KOSPI index. The boom is driven by three converging forces: an AI-driven semiconductor supercycle boosting giants like Samsung and SK Hynix; the government's "Value-Up" market reforms addressing long-standing corporate governance issues; and aggressive real estate regulations that have locked capital within financial markets, preventing profits from flowing back into property. This has triggered a wealth effect, boosting high-end consumption significantly. However, the gains are highly concentrated. The two semiconductor behemoths account for over half the index's value, but retail investors own relatively low stakes in them, systematically missing the biggest rallies. Wealth and consumption benefits are skewed towards luxury goods and imported cars, bypassing mainstream retail. Further risks stem from excessive leverage, with high trading volume in leveraged ETFs, and a market sentiment heavily reliant on the AI sector's fortunes and speculative rumors. While this cycle marks a potential shift from real estate to equities as a primary wealth generator for Koreans, its sustainability, amid structural imbalances and leverage, remains a critical test.

marsbit18m ago

Earning 1000 Trillion in Half a Year, 'Pocketing' 20 Million per Capita: This Round of Wealth Creation in the Korean Stock Market is Unprecedented in Scale

marsbit18m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片