How Is Bitcoin Price Following A 100-Year Pattern If It’s Only 16 Years Old? Expert Tells All

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-03-24Last updated on 2026-03-24

Abstract

Crypto analyst Merlijn claims Bitcoin is following a 100-year-old pattern mapped by Jesse Livermore in the 1920s. According to this pattern, if Bitcoin holds above $70,000, it could rally to $170,000 by late 2026 or early 2027. A drop below $60,000, however, would extend the accumulation phase. Merlijn also suggests a potential final drop to $45,000 before a breakout to $140,000, unless BTC holds $65,000 and breaks its descending channel. Analyst Ali Martinez adds that if historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin is entering a final discount window between October 6-16, with a buy zone of $41,500-$45,500, potentially marking the start of a new 4-year bull cycle. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $70,600.

Crypto analyst Merlijn has revealed that the Bitcoin price is following a 100-year pattern, which could determine its next move. The analyst also highlighted key levels, which would determine whether the leading crypto breaks out or breaks down.

Bitcoin Price Is Following a 100-Year-Old Pattern

In an X post, Merlijn noted that the Bitcoin price is following this structure that Jesse Livermore mapped in the 1920s, with the leading crypto following every step perfectly. The analyst said that a BTC hold above $70,000 would confirm the next leg, while a drop below $60,000 would mean accumulation would extend.

The analyst’s accompanying chart showed that the Bitcoin price could rally to as high as $170,000 based on this Livermore Accumulation pattern. This rally to a new all-time high (ATH) of $170,000 is expected to happen by the end of the year or at the start of 2027. That price level is expected to mark a top for the leading crypto, which could then drop to $90,000.

Source: Chart from Merlijn on X

In another X post, Merlijn indicated that the Bitcoin price is likely to see another leg down. This came as he noted a BTC descending channel with one move left. The analyst said that higher lows within the channel have been made, while rejections at resistance have occurred, so a final flush to $45,000 looks likely.

Once the Bitcoin price sees that final flush to $45,000, Merlijn predicts the leading crypto could then break out to $140,000. Meanwhile, the final flush to $45,000 could be invalidated if BTC holds $65,000 and the descending channel breaks. However, the max pain target activates if BTC were to lose that price level.

BTC Entering Final Discount Zone

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez said that the Bitcoin price is approaching the final discount window before the next bull market if history repeats itself. He further remarked that if the fractal holds, then there could be a golden entry window between October 6 and October 16. Meanwhile, the buy zone would be between $41,500 and $45,000.

Martinez added that this could be the launchpad to start a new 4-year cycle for the Bitcoin price. “The countdown to the next Bitcoin vertical move has begun,” he said. The analyst had recently noted that the BTC price was stuck in a no-trade zone and that it is a waiting game right now. He warned that there won’t be a big move until the leading crypto either breaks above $70,685 or falls below $65,636, a level that Merlijn highlighted.

At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,600, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

BTC trading at $71,006 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat 100-year-old pattern is the Bitcoin price allegedly following, according to analyst Merlijn?

AThe Bitcoin price is following a structure mapped by Jesse Livermore in the 1920s, known as the Livermore Accumulation pattern.

QWhat are the two key price levels that will determine Bitcoin's next major move, as per the analysis?

AA hold above $70,000 would confirm the next leg up, while a drop below $60,000 would mean the accumulation phase would extend.

QWhat is the potential price target for Bitcoin if the Livermore pattern plays out, and when is this expected?

AThe Bitcoin price could rally to as high as $170,000 by the end of the year or at the start of 2027.

QAccording to Merlijn, what is the 'max pain target' and what event would trigger it?

AThe 'max pain target' is a final flush down to $45,000, which would be activated if Bitcoin were to lose the $65,000 price level.

QWhat did analyst Ali Martinez identify as the potential 'discount window' and 'buy zone' for Bitcoin?

AMartinez identified a potential golden entry window between October 6 and October 16, with a buy zone between $41,500 and $45,000.

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