Ethereum supply hits 2017 lows – THESE 2 metrics suggest demand squeeze

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-16Last updated on 2026-02-16

Abstract

Ethereum's exchange supply has decreased significantly, reaching levels not seen since 2017, as holders demonstrate a strong preference for long-term holding over selling. This supply squeeze is driven by two key metrics: a record-high 37.25 million ETH staked (valued at ~$73.35 billion) and a sharp decline in exchange deposits. The amount of ETH on exchanges has dropped to approximately 16.18 million, indicating reduced readily available supply. However, sustained price appreciation depends on demand, which remains inconsistent. While a significant spike in spot buying occurred on February 15th ($473.84 million), daily net inflows have generally weakened since the start of the month. The shrinking supply is poised to amplify future price movements when demand strengthens.

Ethereum’s exchange supply has steadily decreased as holders show limited willingness to sell, signaling a broader preference for long-term positioning rather than short-term liquidation.

This shift comes one month and eight days after the Ethereum Foundation officially concluded all token unlocks, following the sale of $1.96 million worth of Ethereum [ETH] into the market, according to DeFiLlama.

Combined with evolving investor behavior, this supply-side dynamic points to a developing long-term outlook for Ethereum at the time of writing.

Although ETH has shown little immediate price reaction—remaining muted and trading 5.47% below its recent daily high—the underlying data offers insight into the asset’s potential medium- to long-term trajectory.

Staked ETH reaches a new all-time high

The clearest confirmation of Ethereum’s shrinking tradable supply comes from the continued rise in Total Value Staked.

This metric reflected ETH locked in deposit smart contracts and, therefore, unavailable for active trading on exchanges.

Data from CryptoQuant showed that the amount of ETH deposited into staking contracts has reached a new all-time high of 37.25 million ETH, valued at roughly $73.35 billion. These tokens are effectively removed from short-term market circulation.

On a month-to-date basis—from the 1st of February to the present—more than 410,000 ETH has been added to staking contracts, representing approximately $808 million at current prices.

If this pattern holds, staking levels could scale further in the coming weeks.

The market implication of shrinking and less-accessible capital is straightforward—when demand eventually rises, reduced liquidity can amplify price movement as each available unit becomes more expensive.

For now, ETH demand remains relatively subdued, with prices trading below the $2,000 threshold.

As a result, the supply contraction is more likely to influence price dynamics over the medium to long term, particularly once demand strengthens and broader sentiment turns bullish.

Additional supply-side confluence

Staking growth is not the only indicator pointing to reduced market supply. Investor behavior on exchanges also reflects a clear preference for holding rather than selling.

The number of Ethereum Deposit Addresses sending funds to exchanges has dropped sharply.

Typically, a decline in Exchange Deposits suggests investors are choosing to hold or move assets to cold storage, rather than positioning them for sale.

CryptoQuant data showed that ETH deposit addresses have fallen to roughly 4,000—a level last seen in 2017. While that period coincided with rising prices, current market conditions differ, and the metric should be interpreted within today’s broader context.

At the same time, Ethereum’s Exchange Reserves have declined. A falling exchange reserve indicated a reduced quantity of ETH readily available for public market sell-offs.

At press time, ETH held on exchanges stands between 16.18 million and 16.19 million ETH, marking the first decline since reserves began rising on the 11th of February. This drop suggested investors are actively withdrawing assets from exchanges rather than preparing to sell.

Demand remains the missing variable

While supply contraction is increasingly evident, demand remains the critical counterbalance. The most direct measure of this comes from Spot market activity on centralized exchanges.

Day-to-day net buying pressure has weakened. On the 1st of February, Spot investors accumulated approximately $412 million worth of ETH. This figure steadily declined, reaching just $56.81 million by the 12th of February.

The 15th of February, however, stood out as an exception. On that day, Spot purchases surged to roughly $473.84 million, marking the largest single-day inflow during the period.

Sustained growth in daily net inflows—rather than isolated spikes—would signal stronger demand and provide a more constructive backdrop for price appreciation.

For now, buyers have absorbed selling pressure reasonably well, but a more consistent and sustained inflow will be necessary to meaningfully shift momentum and support a stronger price trend.


Final Summary

  • Ethereum [ETH] staking hit a record 37.25M ETH, while Exchange Reserves fell near 16.18M ETH.
  • Spot demand remains uneven. After $412M in net inflows on 1 February, flows fell to $56.81M by 12 February, with one spike to $473.84M on 15 February.

Related Questions

QWhat is the current total value of Ethereum staked in deposit smart contracts, and what does this indicate?

AThe total value of Ethereum staked has reached a new all-time high of 37.25 million ETH, valued at roughly $73.35 billion. This indicates that a significant portion of ETH is being locked away and removed from short-term market circulation, reducing the available supply for trading.

QHow has investor behavior on exchanges changed regarding Ethereum deposits?

AInvestor behavior has shifted towards holding rather than selling. The number of Ethereum deposit addresses sending funds to exchanges has dropped sharply to roughly 4,000, a level last seen in 2017. This suggests a preference for moving assets to cold storage or long-term holding instead of preparing them for sale.

QWhat is the significance of the decline in Ethereum's Exchange Reserves?

AThe decline in Exchange Reserves, which now stand between 16.18 million and 16.19 million ETH, indicates a reduced quantity of ETH readily available for public market sell-offs. This suggests that investors are actively withdrawing assets from exchanges, further constricting the immediate supply.

QHow has the daily net buying pressure for Ethereum on spot markets changed in February?

ADaily net buying pressure has been uneven. It started with approximately $412 million in net inflows on February 1st but steadily declined to just $56.81 million by February 12th. There was a significant spike to $473.84 million on February 15th, but sustained growth in inflows, rather than isolated spikes, is needed to signal stronger demand.

QWhat is the overall market implication of Ethereum's shrinking tradable supply?

AThe overall market implication is that when demand for Ethereum eventually rises, the reduced liquidity and constrained supply can amplify price movements, making each available unit more expensive. However, this effect is more likely to influence price dynamics over the medium to long term, particularly once demand strengthens and broader market sentiment turns bullish.

Related Reads

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

The author, Alex Xu, explains his decision to significantly reduce his Bitcoin holdings (from full to ~30% of his portfolio) during the current bull cycle, citing a lowered long-term outlook for BTC's price appreciation in the next cycle. He outlines six key reasons for this reduced expectation: 1. **Diminished Growth Drivers:** The narrative of exponential user adoption has largely played out with institutional ETF adoption. The next major growth phase—adoption by sovereign national reserves or central banks—seems unlikely in the near future. 2. **Personal Opportunity Cost:** More attractive investment opportunities have emerged in other assets, such as undervalued companies. 3. **Industry-Wide Contraction:** The broader crypto industry is struggling, with most Web3 business models (SocialFi, GameFi, DePIN) failing. This overall萧条 (depression) reduces the fundamental demand and consensus for Bitcoin. 4. **Strain on Major Buyer:** MicroStrategy, a major corporate buyer of BTC, faces rising financing expenses for its debt, which could slow its purchasing rate and create significant marginal pressure on the market. 5. **Increased Competition from Gold:** The emergence of "tokenized gold" has closed the functional gap (portability, divisibility) between physical gold and Bitcoin, offering a strong competitor in the non-sovereign store-of-value space. 6. **Security Budget Concerns:** The block reward halving continues to exacerbate the long-standing issue of funding Bitcoin's network security, with new fee source explorations like Ordinals and L2s largely failing. The author's decision to hold a significant (though reduced) position reflects a cautious, not bearish, outlook. He remains open to increasing his exposure if the fundamental reasons for his skepticism change or if new positive catalysts emerge.

marsbit20m ago

Lowering Expectations for BTC's Next Bull Market

marsbit20m ago

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

Iran has announced a comprehensive plan to assert control over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil shipping chokepoint. The proposed measures include requiring all vessels to obtain Iranian permission for passage, imposing fees for security, environmental protection, and navigation management—preferably paid in Iranian rials—and absolutely banning Israeli ships. Vessels from countries deemed hostile by Iran’s top security bodies may also be barred. Analysts suggest Iran’s motives are multifaceted: increasing pressure on the U.S. and Israel by leveraging control over oil transit to influence global prices and inflation; creating a new revenue stream, potentially exceeding $7.7 billion annually, to counter Western sanctions and support postwar reconstruction; and using transit permissions as bargaining chips in future negotiations, notably with the U.S. However, the plan faces significant practical and diplomatic challenges. Enforcing comprehensive interception and fee collection in the busy waterway, patrolled by international military forces, would be difficult. The U.S. has already countering with a blockade of Iranian ports and threats to intercept any ship paying fees, potentially strangling Iran’s oil exports and fee revenue. Broad international opposition, led by European and Gulf states, and legal controversies further complicate implementation. The proposal may ultimately serve more as a negotiating tactic than a feasible policy, with its execution remaining highly uncertain.

marsbit1h ago

Can Iran 'Control' the Strait of Hormuz?

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ETH (ETH) are presented below.

活动图片