Ethena’s retracement rally, explained: Heavy volume, light conviction

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-03-04Last updated on 2026-03-04

Abstract

Ethena (ENA) experienced an 11.55% surge in Open Interest and a 5.08% price increase, bouncing from a key support level at $0.094. This was accompanied by a spike in whale activity, suggesting potential "smart money" accumulation. However, analysis indicates this is likely a short-term relief rally within a broader bearish trend, not a market bottom. A bullish divergence on the RSI signaled slowing downward momentum, but the rally is viewed as a healthy retracement for a liquidity sweep toward the $0.120-$0.125 zone. For a true trend reversal, ENA must break the $0.131 resistance. The current move is expected to be short-lived before the bearish trend resumes.

Ethena [ENA] witnessed an 11.55% increase in Open Interest in the past 24 hours as the token prices bounced higher by 5.08%. The increased speculative demand came in as ENA bounced from the local support at $0.094.

In a recent report, AMBCrypto noted that ENA whale orders spiked in the spot markets. Large orders during significant price dips generally indicate smart money stepping in, which can halt the downtrend.

Yet, this sign alone will not be enough to mark the market bottom. A look at the higher timeframe price charts revealed why the ENA bullish momentum might be short-lived.

Bullish divergence and a healthy ENA retracement

No market moves in a straight line for an extended period of time, and Ethena was no different. It has trended downward throughout 2026, with sporadic green days to ward off unrelenting bearish pressure.

In February, the downward momentum of ENA began to slow down. As the month progressed, a bullish divergence began to develop on the 1-day chart.

The RSI was making higher lows while the price made lower lows. Therefore, the bounce from the $0.095-$0.097 lows was only a relief rally.

The high speculative interest, trading volume, and swift gains were likely part of a healthy retracement. Traders shouldn’t be preparing to buy the bounce but sell into it.

Short-term ENA expectations

The 2-week liquidation heatmap showed that the $0.120-$0.125 area was a nearby notable magnetic zone. In the short term, it was highly likely that ENA would gravitate higher to sweep this liquidity cluster.

However, this was right at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level on the 4-hour chart. The OBV was challenging the local highs, but this cannot be taken as evidence for an imminent bullish trend reversal.

Treating the trend in the context of the wider structure, the $0.131 high must be breached before ENA bulls can expect a trend reversal.


Final Summary

  • Ethena has made strong short-term gains on the back of heavy trading volume and speculative interest.
  • It appeared likely that the move would turn out to be a liquidity sweep targeting $0.123-$0.125 before falling back into a bear-dominated market.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Related Questions

QWhat was the percentage increase in Ethena's Open Interest and token price in the past 24 hours?

AEthena witnessed an 11.55% increase in Open Interest and a 5.08% increase in token price.

QWhat recent market activity suggested 'smart money' might be stepping into ENA?

AThe spike in ENA whale orders in the spot markets during significant price dips indicated that smart money was stepping in.

QAccording to the article, why might the recent ENA bullish momentum be short-lived?

AThe bullish momentum might be short-lived because the bounce was identified as a relief rally within a larger bearish trend, and the price needs to breach the $0.131 high for a true trend reversal.

QWhat is the significance of the $0.120-$0.125 price zone for ENA in the short term?

AThe $0.120-$0.125 area is a nearby notable magnetic zone and liquidity cluster that ENA was highly likely to gravitate toward to sweep liquidity before potentially falling back.

QWhat key indicator on the 1-day chart showed a bullish divergence for ENA in February?

AA bullish divergence was observed as the RSI was making higher lows while the price was making lower lows.

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