Can Bitcoin price hold $90K after $729M in BTC ETF outflows?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-08Last updated on 2026-01-08

Abstract

Bitcoin's price retreated from $94.7K to $90K, shifting market sentiment to "fear" amid $729 million in ETF outflows on January 6th and 7th. The decline mirrored a correction in Asian stocks, with BTC barely holding the $90K support. Technically, holding the 50-day Moving Average ($89.2K) could trigger a rebound toward $94K–$96K, while a break may lead to a drop to $84K–$80K. On-chain data indicates reduced selling pressure, with realized profits dropping significantly from Q4 2025. A sustained recovery depends on reclaiming the short-term holder cost basis of $99.1K; failure could lead to panic selling and extended bearish conditions. The current consolidation above $80K remains constructive for a potential 2026 rebound.

Bitcoin’s [BTC] mid-week correction from $94.7K to $90K shifted market sentiment from a “neutral” to a “fear” level again.

The sentiment recovered along with the price from late December, followed by renewed ETF inflows in the first two days of 2026. However, the ETFs’ daily net flows turned negative on the 6th and 7th of January, resulting in a total of $729 million in outflows.

But based on past sentiment levels, this was still a buy opportunity for Bitcoin. Especially if there is no major bearish catalyst or geopolitical event that flips it into ‘extreme fear.’

BTC falls with Asian stocks

But there was another interesting link to the Asian stock market.

Since mid-December, BTC has recorded most of its daily gains during the Asian trading sessions, only to sell off during U.S. market hours.

However, mid-week BTC’s retreat appeared to track the latest correction in the Asian stock market.

The Nikkei and Nifty 50 both eased by over 1% on the 8th of January. BTC also slipped 1.4% and was barely holding the $90K support at press time.

From a price chart perspective, BTC was still within the December price range of $80K-$94K. In the short-term, defending the 50-day Moving Average (MA, $89.2K) could trigger a rebound towards $94K-$96K again.

However, if the support is cracked, dropping to the range lows at $84K or $80K could be feasible.

That said, the consolidation above $80K was healthy for a potential and constructive BTC rebound in 2026, from an on-chain perspective.

Bitcoin price recovery likely only if...

According to Glassnode, the selling pressure and profit-taking seen in late 2025 had eased significantly. The daily average Realized Profit has dropped to $183 million from over $1 billion seen during most of Q4 2025.

The on-chain analytics firm noted that the selling relief, especially from long-term holders (LTH) was a crucial setup for more upside momentum.

“The early-January breakout thus reflects a market that had effectively reset its profit-taking pressure, allowing the price to move higher.”

Meanwhile, the firm cautioned that further recovery could be confirmed if the short-term holder’s (STH) cost basis of $99.1K is reclaimed. Otherwise, if the STH isn’t back to profitability, they may panic sell and extend the bear market.

“Without a decisive and sustained return to profitability, the probability of further bear market continuation increases, making this a critical metric to monitor in the weeks ahead.”


Final Thoughts

  • Bitcoin gave back January recovery gains but was still within the December price range of $80K-$94K
  • The current sideways structure was constructive for a mid-term BTC rebound amid easing selling pressure, but only if $99.1K if reclaimed.

Related Questions

QWhat was the total amount of outflows from Bitcoin ETFs on January 6th and 7th, and what was its impact on the market sentiment?

AThe total outflows from Bitcoin ETFs on January 6th and 7th were $729 million. This contributed to a shift in market sentiment from 'neutral' back to a 'fear' level.

QAccording to the article, what is the significance of Bitcoin price holding above the 50-day Moving Average?

AHolding above the 50-day Moving Average (approximately $89.2K) could trigger a short-term price rebound towards the $94K-$96K range.

QWhat on-chain metric does Glassnode highlight as a critical setup for more upside momentum in Bitcoin's price?

AGlassnode highlights that the significant easing of selling pressure and profit-taking, particularly from long-term holders (LTHs), is a crucial setup for more upside momentum.

QWhat condition must be met for the short-term holders (STHs) to avoid panic selling and potentially extending the bear market?

AThe short-term holders' cost basis of $99.1K must be decisively and sustainably reclaimed to return them to profitability and prevent panic selling.

QHow did the performance of the Asian stock market on January 8th correlate with Bitcoin's price movement?

AOn January 8th, the Nikkei and Nifty 50 both eased by over 1%, and Bitcoin's price also slipped by 1.4%, showing a correlation where BTC tracked the correction in the Asian stock market.

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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