Bitcoin’s selling intent hits 10-year low – But THESE 2 metrics flash caution

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-04-09Last updated on 2026-04-09

Abstract

Bitcoin has maintained its position above $70,000 for three consecutive days, trading at $71,021 at press time despite a slight daily decline. While sell-side pressure has significantly decreased—with exchange depositing addresses hitting a 10-year low of 31,000 daily—suggesting reduced intent to sell, the market continues to show weakness. This decline in depositing activity, along with a drop in the Exchange Supply Ratio to near 2018 lows, indicates exhaustion in selling pressure. However, institutional selling via Bitcoin ETFs has persisted, with $283 million in outflows over two days and negative net inflows for 9 of the past 14 days. Key momentum indicators remain bearish, reflecting a lack of bullish conviction. If the current trend continues, BTC may fall below $70,000, potentially testing $66,000 as support. A reversal would require holding above $70,000 to target $74,200.

Since reclaiming $70k, Bitcoin has held above this price level for three consecutive days. Boosted by eased global tension, BTC has shown slight bullish momentum.

At press time, BTC traded at $71,021 after a slight 0.93% drop on the daily charts. Before this slip, it had been on an upward trajectory, printing two positive weekly candles for the first time in 2026.

Bitcoin depositing addresses hit a 10-year low

Bitcoin is seeing minimal sell-side pressure, even as broader market weakness persists.

Data from Darkfost showed Exchange Depositing Addresses dropped to a 10-year low, signaling reduced intent to sell. Only 31,000 depositing addresses were active daily, with the annual average near 47,000, levels last seen around 2017.

Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, such a sharp drop in total Depositing Addresses has occurred during advanced bear market phases. These are periods of prolonged market weakness in which interest in the market has gradually faded.

As such, most traders have turned to silently avoid the market, awaiting other ideal conditions to reenter. Additionally, Darkfost noted that the prevailing market conditions have failed to incentivize investors to sell their assets on exchanges.

In fact, the Exchange Supply Ratio [ESR] metric validates this decline in exchange deposits. Looking at the metric, it has dropped to 0.133, hovering near the 2018 low.

Source: CryptoQuant

A decline in ESR suggests that most traders, both large-scale and retail, have significantly reduced spending. Such market conditions coincide with periods when selling pressure is progressively exhausted.

Why is BTC still struggling?

Although Bitcoin [BTC] saw fewer Exchange Deposit Addresses, big players, especially institutional investors, had been still selling.

Looking at the BTC Spot ETFs, institutional investors have mostly been selling. In fact, the past 2 days, ETFs have recorded $283 million in outflows.

Source: SoSoValue

Bitcoin ETFs have recorded negative net inflows for 9 days over the past 2 weeks, a clear sign of aggressive selling. When large players sell high-value holdings, even a reduced exchange depositing address does little to boost asset performance.

As a result, the momentum has remained strongly bearish. Looking at the momentum (MOM) indicator, it currently sits around -5957.

At the same time, DMI Modified has remained negative since October 2025, validating the trend’s strength. With these momentum indicators heavily weak, it shows that the reduced depositing addresses have not turned into withdrawing addresses.

Source: TradingView

Thus, most investors have been disengaged, and those who are engaged are selling, thereby substantially stretching the market. Thus, market conditions point to continued weakness.

If the trend persists, BTC will likely drop below $70k again, with $66k as the support. However, if the market feels the impact of reduced exchange inflows, BTC could hold above $70k and eye $74,200.


Final Summary

  • Bitcoin is holding above $70k, but the move lacks strong follow-through and conviction.
  • Sell-side pressure has dropped sharply, with Exchange Depositing Addresses at decade lows.

Related Questions

QWhat does the 10-year low in Bitcoin's exchange depositing addresses indicate?

AThe 10-year low in Bitcoin's exchange depositing addresses indicates a significantly reduced intent to sell among traders, as fewer people are moving their coins to exchanges, which is typically a precursor to selling.

QDespite low sell-side pressure, why is Bitcoin's momentum still bearish according to the article?

ABitcoin's momentum remains bearish because institutional investors, particularly through Bitcoin Spot ETFs, have been aggressively selling, with significant outflows recorded, overpowering the reduced retail selling pressure.

QWhat is the significance of the Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) dropping to 0.133?

AThe ESR dropping to 0.133, near its 2018 low, signifies that a very small percentage of the total Bitcoin supply is held on exchanges, indicating that both large-scale and retail traders have significantly reduced their selling or spending activity.

QWhat are the two key support and resistance levels mentioned for Bitcoin's price?

AThe key support level mentioned is $66k, while the resistance level to watch is $74,200. The price could drop to the support if the bearish trend continues or break through resistance if reduced exchange inflows have a positive impact.

QHow long has the DMI Modified indicator been negative, and what does this signify?

AThe DMI Modified indicator has been negative since October 2025, which validates the strength of the prolonged bearish trend in the market.

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