Bitcoin Vs. Altcoins: You Should See This Chart That Shows Another Alt Season Is About To Begin

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-27Last updated on 2026-02-27

Abstract

Based on a long-term chart analysis by crypto expert @CyrilXBT, the total altcoin market cap relative to Bitcoin has returned to a critical historical level of approximately 0.129, which has previously signaled the start of major altcoin seasons. This ratio, representing the total crypto market excluding the top 10 assets compared to Bitcoin, is now in what the analyst describes as the "base" or "accumulation zone." Historically, this level has preceded significant altcoin rallies, such as those in 2017-2018 and the largest recorded alt season in 2021 when the ratio surged above 0.55. Despite recent Bitcoin dominance and price declines, the current market reset suggests that conditions may be forming for a new alt season. The analyst notes that if historical patterns repeat, the ratio could potentially reach between 0.80 and 0.90 in the current cycle. This indicates that altcoins are not "dead" but may be poised for a significant upward movement as market dynamics align with past bullish trends.

Talks of a potential altcoin season this cycle have since subsided compared to previous years, despite the recent decline in the Bitcoin (BTC) price and dominance. Notably, a crypto analyst has shared a new long-term chart showing the total altcoin market capitalization relative to Bitcoin at a level that has historically preceded major alt seasons. Based on his analysis, the alt market has fully reset and could be gearing up for a fresh altcoin season if historical trends play out as expected.

Historic Alt Season Setup Forms As Bitcoin Ratio Hits Base Zone

In a recent analysis on X, market expert @CyrilXBT shared a monthly chart tracking the ratio of the total crypto market, excluding the top 10 assets, to Bitcoin. According to the analysis, the chart currently sits at approximately 0.129, a level the analyst describes as the same base or accumulation zone that has launched every major altcoin season in crypto history.

@CyrilXBT noted that this zone is where all alt seasons are born, with each past altcoin rally beginning when the ratio stopped falling and stabilized around the $0.12 to $0.13 range. Looking at the chart, the analyst noted that during the 2015-2016 cycle, the ratio starts near zero and remains flat, with minimal volatility. Following this, a dramatic spike occurred during the 2017-2018 bull run, pushing the altcoin vs Bitcoin ratio above 0.3, marking one of the first major alt seasons.

By 2020, the ratio crashed back below the 0.129 level, erasing most of its previous gains as it consolidated near the low-ranged accumulation/base zone. Notably, 2021 marked the largest altcoin season spike in history, with the ratio exploding upward to over 0.55 amid the bull market frenzy. During this time, volume hit new highs, with bars towering above those of previous years.

New Alt Season Conditions Take Shape

Similar to the 2020 crash, the 2022-2024 cycle saw a post-peak correction, with the ratio trending downward as Bitcoin regained dominance. In the current 2025-2026 cycle, the altcoin vs Bitcoin ratio has finally returned to the historically significant 0.129 accumulation zone, with BTC.D falling to a yearly low of 57.9%.

@CyrilXBT has suggested that the current positioning mirrors the pre-altseason setup that led to a major altcoin explosion in previous years. He noted that the rising trendline connecting successive altcoin season peaks on the chart points to a ratio of roughly 0.80 to 0.90 as the next potential target for this cycle.

As the ratio stabilizes and historical trends repeat, @CyrilXBT argues that recent market performance does not indicate that altcoins are dead. Rather, it shows that the market has fully reset and could be quietly creating the conditions for its next alt season.

Total altcoin market cap remains below $1 trillion | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap Excluding BTC from Tradingview.com

Is It Illegal for Crypto KOLs to Run Paid Communities and Sell Courses?

Summary: This article, authored by lawyer Shao Shiwei, addresses the legal risks faced by crypto Key Opinion Leaders (KOLs) who offer paid communities and courses related to cryptocurrency trading. The author explains that while there is no direct licensing system for such activities in China, authorities still reference virtual currency policies in enforcement. KOL activities are categorized into three risk levels: 1. Low-risk: Historical trend analysis and basic education without real-time guidance. 2. Medium-risk: Providing daily market analysis and ambiguous suggestions (e.g., "this position is worth watching"). 3. High-risk: Explicit trading signals, specific buy/sell points, or profit-sharing arrangements. Key legal risks include civil liability (e.g., user lawsuits over losses) and criminal charges (e.g., fraud accusations if users suffer losses). Even disclaimers like "not investment advice" may not protect KOLs, as courts focus on the实质 (substance) of the content. The article emphasizes that risk depends on whether content is perceived as operational guidance, its influence on user decisions, and payment structures. KOLs are advised to assess their specific business models carefully.

marsbit14m ago

Is It Illegal for Crypto KOLs to Run Paid Communities and Sell Courses?

marsbit14m ago

Cook's Curtain Call and Ternus Takes the Helm: The Disruption and Reboot of Apple's 4 Trillion Dollar Empire

Tim Cook has officially announced he will step down as CEO of Apple in September, transitioning to executive chairman after a 15-year tenure during which he grew the company’s market value from around $350 billion to nearly $4 trillion. He will be succeeded by John Ternus, a 50-year-old hardware engineering veteran who has been groomed for the role through increasing public visibility and internal responsibility. Ternus’s appointment signals a strategic shift toward hardware and engineering leadership, with Johny Srouji—head of Apple Silicon—taking on an expanded role as Chief Hardware Officer. This consolidation aims to strengthen Apple’s core technological capabilities. However, Cook’s departure highlights a significant unresolved issue: Apple’s delayed and fragmented approach to artificial intelligence. Despite early efforts, such as hiring John Giannandrea from Google in 2018, Apple’s AI initiatives—particularly around Siri—have struggled with internal restructuring and reliance on external partnerships, including with Google. The transition comes at a critical moment as Apple faces paradigm shifts with the rise of artificial general intelligence (ASI). The company’s closed ecosystem of hardware, software, and services—once a major advantage—now presents challenges in adapting to an AI-centric world where intelligence may matter more than the device itself. Ternus must quickly articulate a clear AI strategy, possibly starting at WWDC, to reassure markets and redefine Apple’s role in a new technological era. His task is not only to maintain Apple’s operational excellence but also to reinvigorate its capacity to innovate and lead in the age of AI.

marsbit1h ago

Cook's Curtain Call and Ternus Takes the Helm: The Disruption and Reboot of Apple's 4 Trillion Dollar Empire

marsbit1h ago

W3.io and Space and Time Collaborate to Launch Verifiable AI Finance Infrastructure

W3.io and Space and Time have partnered to launch a verifiable AI finance infrastructure designed to address the accountability gap in autonomous financial operations. The collaboration combines W3’s platform for creating and automating agent-powered financial workflows with Space and Time’s verifiable data blockchain, ensuring end-to-end proof from execution to settlement. This two-layer verification system processes over 200,000 operations daily and has been validated in production by Creatorland, a platform serving 100,000 content creators. The partnership enables businesses to deploy multi-vendor financial processes quickly and auditably, with support from integrations including Circle, Stripe, and PayPal. The system provides a trust layer for autonomous financial movements, ensuring data integrity and operational transparency beyond traditional cloud databases.

TheNewsCrypto4h ago

W3.io and Space and Time Collaborate to Launch Verifiable AI Finance Infrastructure

TheNewsCrypto4h ago

New York AG Sues Coinbase, Gemini Over Alleged State Law Violations

New York Attorney General Letitia James has filed a lawsuit against Coinbase and Gemini, alleging their prediction markets violate state gambling laws. The complaint argues these platforms operate as unlicensed gambling activities since outcomes rely on chance, not skill. Both companies are also accused of allowing users under 21, the legal age for mobile sports betting in New York. The suit seeks restitution for customers, repayment of illegal profits, civil penalties, and restrictions on marketing, including a ban on promoting services on college campuses. Following the news, Coinbase's stock fell roughly 10%, while Gemini's dropped about 4%.

bitcoinist5h ago

New York AG Sues Coinbase, Gemini Over Alleged State Law Violations

bitcoinist5h ago

Crypto Extortion Hits Strait Of Hormuz As Scammers Exploit Shipping Crisis

An emerging crypto extortion scam is targeting shipping companies with vessels stranded near the Strait of Hormuz, according to maritime risk firm Marisks. Criminals posing as Iranian security officials are sending fraudulent messages offering safe passage in exchange for transit fees paid in Bitcoin or Tether. The scam exploits desperation amid the ongoing regional conflict, which has severely restricted movement through the critical waterway. Victims are instructed to submit documents and pay a cryptocurrency fee to secure transit. However, the messages are not from Iranian authorities. Paying could not only result in financial loss but also potentially violate international sanctions, as any crypto transfer linked to Iranian entities may be considered material support. Legal risks remain even if companies are defrauded. The scheme appears to capitalize on earlier reports that Iran was considering a real crypto-based toll system.

bitcoinist8h ago

Crypto Extortion Hits Strait Of Hormuz As Scammers Exploit Shipping Crisis

bitcoinist8h ago

Trading

Spot

Futures

Hot Articles

How to Buy ALT

Welcome to HTX.com! We've made purchasing AltLayer (ALT) simple and convenient. Follow our step-by-step guide to embark on your crypto journey.Step 1: Create Your HTX AccountUse your email or phone number to sign up for a free account on HTX. Experience a hassle-free registration journey and unlock all features.Get My AccountStep 2: Go to Buy Crypto and Choose Your Payment MethodCredit/Debit Card: Use your Visa or Mastercard to buy AltLayer (ALT) instantly.Balance: Use funds from your HTX account balance to trade seamlessly.Third Parties: We've added popular payment methods such as Google Pay and Apple Pay to enhance convenience.P2P: Trade directly with other users on HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): We offer tailor-made services and competitive exchange rates for traders.Step 3: Store Your AltLayer (ALT)After purchasing your AltLayer (ALT), store it in your HTX account. Alternatively, you can send it elsewhere via blockchain transfer or use it to trade other cryptocurrencies.Step 4: Trade AltLayer (ALT)Easily trade AltLayer (ALT) on HTX's spot market. Simply access your account, select your trading pair, execute your trades, and monitor in real-time. We offer a user-friendly experience for both beginners and seasoned traders.

3.9k Total ViewsPublished 2024.03.29Updated 2025.03.21

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ALT (ALT) are presented below.