Axie Infinity erases September losses – But AXS price faces THIS threat

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-01-22Last updated on 2026-01-22

Abstract

The gaming token sector, including Axie Infinity (AXS), posted strong gains despite broader crypto market pressure, with AXS erasing losses since mid-September. However, the rally shows signs of exhaustion. The RSI indicates overbought conditions, suggesting a potential near-term pullback. Spot market activity reveals a shift, with $91,000 in outflows and a 21% drop in trading volume, signaling weakening momentum. While derivatives data shows lingering bullish sentiment in futures, the negative funding rate points to growing short positions. If spot demand softens further alongside negative funding, AXS could face increased risk of a deeper correction.

While the broader crypto market remained under pressure, gaming tokens stayed relatively insulated and posted strong gains.

The sector recorded a monthly weighted average increase of roughly 40%, with AXS among the top performers.

Axie Infinity’s [AXS] recent rally erased losses accumulated since the 12th of September 2025, pushing many holders back to break-even. However, momentum indicators suggested the advance may be nearing exhaustion, raising pullback risk.

Investor positioning raises caution

Investor positioning in AXS grew increasingly aggressive during the rally. That shift raised questions about the uptrend’s durability.

At press time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved back above 70, placing AXS in overbought territory. Such conditions historically preceded short-term price tops rather than sustained breakouts.

The TradingView chart showed RSI remained elevated as price accelerated. That divergence increased the probability of near-term mean reversion.

That said, downside risk appeared contained for now. The Accumulation/Distribution indicator dipped modestly but stayed firmly positive.

This suggested selling pressure increased, yet broader market structure remained supportive. Any pullback would likely remain corrective unless accumulation weakened further.

Spot investors pull back

Spot market activity offered one of the clearest signals of shifting sentiment, with capital beginning to exit the market.

Exchange Netflows showed Spot traders sold roughly $91,000 worth of AXS over the past 24 hours.

That marked a clear shift from the steady buying observed during the recent advance. Spot participants often provide structural support, making their retreat notable.

On top of that, trading activity slowed sharply. CoinGlass data showed volume fell 21% to about $2 billion, a decline exceeding $400 million.

When price advances on falling volume, it often signals weakening momentum. Historically, such conditions have preceded either consolidation or corrective price moves.

Derivatives market signals divergence

Derivatives data presented a mixed picture. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio showed that bullish sentiment still dominated in the perpetual Futures market, with taker buy orders outweighing sell orders.

However, funding data told a different story. The OI-Weighted Funding Rate turned decisively negative, signaling that short positions outweighed longs.

CoinGlass data showed the metric printed -0.1286% at press time. That meant bearish traders paid funding to maintain exposure.

If negative funding persisted alongside softening spot demand, downside pressure could build. That alignment would increase the risk of a deeper corrective phase for AXS.


Final Thoughts

  • Axie Infinity (AXS) erased post-September losses as gaming tokens outperformed, lifting the price back toward key resistance.
  • Overbought RSI, weakening spot demand, and negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate suggest momentum may fade near-term.

Related Questions

QWhat was the performance of gaming tokens like Axie Infinity (AXS) compared to the broader crypto market recently?

AGaming tokens remained relatively insulated from the broader crypto market's pressure and posted strong gains, with the sector recording a monthly weighted average increase of roughly 40%.

QWhat key technical indicator suggests that AXS might be in overbought territory and facing a potential pullback?

AThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved back above 70, placing AXS in overbought territory, which historically has preceded short-term price tops.

QWhat shift in spot market activity signals a change in sentiment for AXS?

AExchange Netflows showed that spot traders sold approximately $91,000 worth of AXS over the past 24 hours, marking a clear shift from the steady buying observed during the recent advance.

QWhat does a negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate indicate for the AXS derivatives market?

AA negative OI-Weighted Funding Rate, which was -0.1286% at press time, signals that short positions outweigh longs, meaning bearish traders are paying funding to maintain their exposure.

QWhat are the main factors mentioned that could lead to a deeper corrective phase for AXS?

AThe alignment of persistent negative funding rates alongside softening spot demand could build downside pressure and increase the risk of a deeper corrective phase for AXS.

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