Anxiety of quantum risk to Bitcoin is weighing on its price: Execs

cointelegraphPublished on 2025-12-19Last updated on 2025-12-19

Abstract

Quantum computing risks are creating anxiety among Bitcoin investors and affecting its price, according to industry executives. While Blockstream co-founder Adam Down argues the threat is decades away and that the network’s core security doesn’t solely rely on encryption, others like Nic Carter of Castle Island Ventures warn that developer denial is “extremely bearish.” Craig Warmke of the Bitcoin Policy Institute adds that perceived quantum risk is slowing capital inflow and driving diversification. Both emphasize the need for contingency plans to reassure holders, even if the actual threat remains distant. Critics also note that traditional targets would likely be compromised long before Bitcoin.

The response from Bitcoin developers on the risk of quantum computing to the cryptocurrency is weighing down its price and affecting capital flow, crypto industry executives have argued.

Adam Back, a cypherpunk the and co-founder of Bitcoin infrastructure company Blockstream argued in a series of X posts on Thursday that it is good for Bitcoin (BTC) to be “quantum ready,” but it won’t be a threat for the next few decades, as the technology is still “ridiculously early,” and has research and development issues.

He predicts there will be no risks in the next ten years and even if some parts of Bitcoin’s encryption were broken, it does not rely on encryption for its core security model and “it’s not going to result in Bitcoin being stolen on the network.”

Source: Adam Back

Quantum computing continues to be debated as a potential threat to the crypto industry, as more advanced computers that could break encryption have been theorized as having the capability to reveal user keys and expose sensitive data.

Investors concerned about quantum risk

Nic Carter, a partner at venture capital firm Castle Island Ventures, said in response to Back, that it’s “extremely bearish” that many influential developers “flatly deny that there’s any quantum risk.”

“The discrepancy between capital and developers on this issue is massive. Capital is concerned and looking for a solution. Devs are mainly in complete denial. Inability to even acknowledge quantum risk is already weighing on the price.”

Craig Warmke, a fellow at the think tank, the Bitcoin Policy Institute, agreed, adding that quantum risk is slowing the flow of capital into Bitcoin and pushing larger holders to diversify.

“When non-technical people express concerns, they sometimes use technically incorrect language,” he said, adding it was “frustrating to see technical people dismiss concerns” rather than address the topic of “reduced holdings from perceived quantum risk.”

Source: Craig Warmke

Contingency plans should be in place

Along with the technology being years away from being a threat, critics also argue that banking giants and other traditional targets will be cracked long before Bitcoin.

Related: Bitcoiners push for quantum-resistant BIP-360 upgrade as debate heats up

Carter maintains that companies and even countries are raising significant funds to build quantum computers, and artificial intelligence is helping accelerate the development.

Meanwhile, Warmke said the best way forward, whether or not the risk is real, is to convince people the risk is near zero and help provide contingency plans in case it’s not.

“The only way forward is to develop and converge on contingency plans, just in case, so that people feel more comfortable holding Bitcoin,” he added.

Magazine: Big questions: Would Bitcoin survive a 10-year power outage?

Related Questions

QWhat is the main concern that crypto executives say is weighing on Bitcoin's price?

ACrypto executives argue that anxiety over the potential risk of quantum computing to Bitcoin is weighing down its price and affecting capital flow.

QAccording to Adam Back, when does he predict quantum computing will become a threat to Bitcoin?

AAdam Back predicts there will be no quantum computing risks to Bitcoin for the next ten years, and it won't be a threat for the next few decades due to the technology being 'ridiculously early'.

QWhat is Nic Carter's view on how developers are handling the quantum risk discussion?

ANic Carter finds it 'extremely bearish' that many influential developers 'flatly deny that there's any quantum risk,' creating a massive discrepancy between capital concerns and developer attitudes.

QHow does Craig Warmke say quantum risk is affecting investor behavior?

ACraig Warmke states that quantum risk is slowing the flow of capital into Bitcoin and pushing larger holders to diversify their holdings due to perceived risks.

QWhat solution does Craig Warmke propose to address quantum computing concerns?

ACraig Warmke proposes that the best way forward is to develop and converge on contingency plans for quantum risk to make people feel more comfortable holding Bitcoin, whether the threat is real or not.

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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