Analyst Recommendation: Looking to the International Market, These 5 Stocks Will Outperform the S&P 500

marsbitPublished on 2026-06-08Last updated on 2026-06-08

Abstract

Main Street Research CIO James Demmert, who maintains a year-end target of 8100 for the S&P 500, argues that greater opportunities lie outside the US. He recommends investors allocate 45% of their portfolio internationally, citing better valuations and a multi-year trend of international markets outperforming the US, fueled by unprecedented fiscal stimulus in Europe and Japan. Demmert highlights five stocks poised to benefit from the AI revolution and global growth: 1. **ASML**: A critical player in chip manufacturing technology, offering diversification outside the US. 2. **HSBC**: A global bank with a P/E of 9, better growth prospects than US peers, and strong positioning in Asia. 3. **Siemens Energy**: Positioned to address the global electricity shortage driven by AI, crypto, and EVs through grid infrastructure. 4. **BHP**: An "AI derivative" play due to rising copper demand for data centers, trading at a P/E of 16. 5. **AstraZeneca**: An undervalued healthcare stock with a robust pipeline, expected to benefit as AI's impact on the sector becomes apparent. In a rapid-fire Q&A, Demmert named ASML as his top long-term pick and first to double, while identifying a general bear market as the biggest risk to these stocks.

Curated & Translated: Deep Chao TechFlow

Guest:James E. Demmert, Main Street Research CIO

Host:Caroline

Podcast Source:TheStreet & James E。 Demmert

Original Title:5 Foreign Stocks That Could Beat The S&P 500

Broadcast Date:June 2, 2026

Key Takeaways

While setting a year-end target of 8100 for the S&P 500, Main Street Research CIO James Demmert states that returns from overseas stock markets will surpass those of U.S. stocks. He recommends five international stocks with valuations far lower than their U.S. peers yet directly benefiting from the AI revolution: HSBC with a P/E ratio of 9, BHP with a P/E ratio of 16, and ASML, which he would choose if "I could only hold one stock for five years."

Demmert believes Europe and Japan are taking over global growth with unprecedented fiscal stimulus, and this trend of international markets outperforming the U.S. will "last for several years." He advises investors to allocate 45% of their portfolio overseas.

Highlights of Insights

  • "If investors only hold U.S. stocks now, what they miss first is diversification, and second, the amazing opportunities outside the U.S. — where prices are more reasonable and growth rates are equally, if not more, attractive."
  • "Overseas markets have already outperformed the U.S., and we believe this trend will continue."

The Ultimate Global Chip Play: $ASML

  • "We hold NVIDIA and Micron, but ASML plays a different role in the AI trade — it provides chip design and manufacturing technology, and it also gives us diversification exposure outside the U.S."
  • "The U.S. dollar is weakening persistently. Allocating assets to stocks of overseas companies helps to escape the concentrated risk of being denominated in dollars."

High-Value Global Bank: $HSBC

  • "HSBC has a P/E ratio of only 9, cheaper than JPMorgan Chase, and has a better forward growth outlook. As a global investment bank, its influence in Asia is something JPMorgan cannot match."
  • "I don't think Chinese stocks are investable at this point in time, but companies that operate or can operate there, I think, are very meaningful."

Energy Infrastructure Play: Siemens Energy

  • "The world is running short on electricity — AI is consuming power, cryptocurrency is consuming power, electric vehicles are consuming power. Siemens Energy's core business is helping to build the world's power grids."
  • "The AI revolution is still in the third or fourth inning of a nine-inning game, it's still early. The performance of this type of stock — if you remember the tech boom of the '90s — is very similar in the early years, and this trend can last for quite a long time."

The Hidden AI Miner Stock: $BHP

  • "Most people think this is just a commodity trade, but when you consider all the data center demand, this is absolutely an AI investment — I call it the second derivative of AI."
  • "The world needs more copper. The more data centers we build, the more important copper's role becomes. BHP's P/E ratio is only 16, valuations overseas are far superior to the U.S."

Undervalued Healthcare Rebound: $AZN (AstraZeneca)

  • "Healthcare has been ignored by the market for too long. AstraZeneca has a very strong pipeline of drugs and biomedical products, with a P/E ratio of 18 and over 20% annual growth."
  • "Investors will start rotating into the healthcare sector sometime in the second half of this year, because that's when they'll begin to feel the value-add and actual contributions AI is starting to make in the healthcare field."

Why International Markets Are Outperforming the U.S.

  • "It's a valuation story, but it's also a story about changing global policies. The U.S. is tightening fiscal spending, while Europe is taking a page from our old playbook — they are engaging in unprecedented large-scale government fiscal spending, trying to keep interest rates low."
  • "Overseas markets are outperforming the U.S. for the first time in years, and we believe this is a trend that will last for several years."

Rapid-Fire Q&A: Top Pick & Biggest Risk

  • "If I could only hold one stock for the next five years, it would be ASML. The first to double would be ASML. The first one I'd buy on a pullback would be Siemens Energy."
  • "The most undervalued international market is Europe. The biggest mistake U.S. investors make is not allocating enough overseas, being too conservative. We recommend 45% overseas, the rest domestic."

Introduction

Host Caroline: The S&P 500 hitting 8100 — that's the bold prediction from my next guest. And while he's still bullish on U.S. stocks, he says some of the biggest opportunities right now might actually be overseas. Joining me now is James Demmert, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Main Street Research. James, great to have you.

James:

Great to be with you, Caroline.

Host Caroline: You still see the S&P 500 hitting 8100 this year, but none of your top five stock picks are in the S&P 500. What does that say?

James:

It says we think the S&P can get to 8100 — a target that once looked high, and now while perhaps not as distant as before, is indeed getting closer. It also says that if we're leaning towards overseas markets, it's because we think they can actually outperform the S&P 500.

Host Caroline:What are investors missing if they only hold U.S. stocks right now?

James:

I think they're missing firstly diversification, and secondly they're missing the amazing opportunities outside the U.S. — where prices are more reasonably valued, while growth rates are equally, if not more, attractive. You may have noticed, year-to-date, overseas markets have already outperformed the U.S., and we believe this trend will continue.

Pick 1: The Ultimate Global Chip Play

Host Caroline: Alright, let's get into your top five picks, starting with ASML. This stock has already had a big run this year, why are you still buying?

James:

I know in tech, everyone's flocking to Micron and the memory chip trade. But don't forget, ASML is a company involved in chip design, manufacturing, and technology, they are an indispensable part of the entire chip manufacturing process. The company is headquartered in the Netherlands, currently trading at a P/E of 38, but their annual growth rate is far above that level. It's a great entry point into investing in overseas stocks.

Host Caroline: You mentioned Micron, so why hold ASML instead of directly buying Micron or even NVIDIA or other chip stocks?

James:

We hold NVIDIA, we hold Micron. The reason ASML is in our portfolio is because it plays a completely different role in the AI trade — it does chip design technology, and it also gives us diversification exposure outside the U.S. You also know, the U.S. dollar is weakening persistently. Allocating assets to stocks of overseas companies helps to escape the concentrated risk of being denominated in dollars.

Pick 2: High-Value Global Bank

Host Caroline: Next is HSBC. There are plenty of great U.S. bank stocks to buy, why go overseas for a bank?

James:

That's a very good question. It comes down to valuation. Caroline, HSBC's P/E ratio is only 9. By comparison, JPMorgan Chase, while an excellent company — and we own it too — but HSBC offers a better valuation and a better forward growth outlook, because you're seeing a reawakening of investment overseas. That's why the performance of overseas indices is surpassing the domestic U.S. HSBC is a significant component of overseas indices, and as a global investment bank, its business reach covers not only the U.S. and Europe, but also has a presence in Asia that JPMorgan cannot match.

Host Caroline: Still, how should investors view the China risk?

James:

I'm not sure the Chinese market itself is investable, but I do think you can invest in companies that can safely operate in China. I know this is also one reason NVIDIA is eager to open the door to the Chinese market and sell products there. So, I don't think Chinese stocks are investable at this point in time, but companies that operate or can operate there, I think, are very meaningful.

Pick 3: Energy Infrastructure Play

Host Caroline: Next on your list is Siemens Energy, ticker SMERY in the U.S. It's up about 40% year-to-date, why are you bullish on this stock?

James:

It has performed well this year, and I think that performance will continue. Let's be clear about one thing — the world is running short on electricity. AI is consuming a lot of power, cryptocurrency is eating electricity, electric vehicles are eating electricity. While we're all thinking about how to increase electricity supply, that's precisely the area Siemens Energy focuses on. They are helping us build the global power grid, not just in their home country Germany, but all over the world. This stock trades at a P/E of about 37, but earnings growth is far above that level.

Host Caroline: I mentioned it's done well this year, but its one-year performance is even more impressive — over 90%. How should investors approach stocks that have already run up so much? If they haven't gotten in, is it too late now?

James:

If they haven't gotten in, my advice has always been to wait for a pullback, buy when the stock shows weakness, or buy a third of the position first and build it gradually. If you already own it, remember that volatility in these types of stocks will be high, volatility in the entire AI trade is high. But in our view, the AI revolution is still in the third or fourth inning of a nine-inning game, it's still early. The performance of this type of stock — if you remember the tech boom of the '90s — is very similar in the early years, and this trend can last for quite a long time.

Pick 4: The Hidden AI Miner Stock

Host Caroline: Next is BHP Group, also up over 40% year-to-date. Why are you still bullish on the mining space?

James:

The world needs more copper. The more data centers we build, the more important copper's role becomes. We also believe we are in a global economic expansion right now, which means the demand for raw materials will only increase, and BHP is an excellent way to participate in this trend. The company is headquartered in Australia, with a P/E ratio of only 16. Again, valuations overseas are far superior to the U.S.

Host Caroline: So is this really a commodity trade, or an AI infrastructure trade?

James:

That's exactly what it is. Most people think this is just a commodity trade, but when you consider all this data center demand, this is absolutely an AI investment — I call it the second derivative of AI.

Pick 5: Undervalued Healthcare Rebound

Host Caroline: Last is a healthcare stock, AstraZeneca, which has actually underperformed the market this year, basically flat. Why buy a lagging healthcare stock?

James:

This is the "little engine that could." We really think the healthcare sector has been ignored by the market for too long. AstraZeneca has a very strong pipeline of drugs and biomedical products. With a P/E of 18 and over 20% annual growth, we think the market will come to recognize the value of these stocks.

We also believe investors will start rotating into the healthcare sector sometime in the second half of this year, because that's when they'll begin to feel the value-add and actual contributions AI is starting to make in the healthcare field. So, I think this will ultimately become an AI investment as well. And from a valuation and overseas exposure perspective, it's an excellent way to diversify a portfolio.

Why International Markets Are Outperforming the U.S.

Host Caroline: Alright, from a valuation perspective and looking at these five picks overall, is the logic for international stocks over U.S. stocks now purely a valuation story?

James:

It's a valuation story, but it's also a story about changing global policies. You know, the U.S. is tightening fiscal spending, or trying to. What we're doing, essentially, is handing over the growth baton to Europe — it's Europe's turn now to follow our old playbook. In Europe, overseas, in Japan, you're seeing these economies really heating up because they are engaging in unprecedented large-scale government fiscal spending while trying to keep interest rates low. That's why overseas markets are outperforming the U.S. for the first time in years, and we believe this is a trend that will last for several years.

Rapid-Fire Q&A: Top Pick & Biggest Risk

Host Caroline: Moving into the rapid-fire Q&A. If you could only hold one stock for the next five years, which one?

James: ASML.

Host Caroline: If you had to delete one from this list first, which one?

James:

AstraZeneca.

Host Caroline: Which one would you buy first on a pullback?

James:

Siemens Energy.

Host Caroline: Which one among these five would double first?

James:

ASML.

Host Caroline: If the economy slows, which one is most resilient?

James:

AstraZeneca.

Host Caroline: Which one has the biggest competitive advantage over its rivals?

James:

Siemens Energy.

Host Caroline: What is the biggest risk shared by these five stocks?

James:

A bear market.

Host Caroline: If you could add a sixth stock to the list, what would it be?

James:

NVIDIA.

Host Caroline: Which international market is most undervalued right now?

James:

Europe.

Host Caroline: What is the biggest mistake U.S. investors make when allocating to overseas assets?

James:

Not allocating enough overseas, being too conservative.

Host Caroline: For a standard portfolio, what should the U.S. vs. international allocation be?

James:

We recommend 45% overseas, the rest domestic.

Host Caroline: A U.S. stock to hold for five years, not NVIDIA, which one?

James:

Costco.

Host Caroline: What type of U.S. stocks would you avoid right now?

James:

Anything in the real estate sector and anything in the consumer discretionary sector.

Host Caroline: Is that because of interest rates?

James:

It's interest rates, and it's also about the K-shaped economy.

Host Caroline: Okay, one word to describe how you feel about the current U.S. market.

James:

Bullish, but always concerned.

Host Caroline: One word to describe how you feel about international markets.

James:

Extremely optimistic — that's two words.

Related Questions

QAccording to James Demmert, why does he recommend looking beyond the US stock market?

AHe believes international markets are offering more compelling opportunities with more reasonable valuations and attractive, sometimes higher, growth rates compared to the US. He also emphasizes the benefit of diversification and points out that international markets are already outperforming the US, a trend he expects to continue for years.

QWhat is the primary role of ASML in the context of the AI revolution, as explained by James Demmert?

AASML plays a unique role by providing the critical technology for chip design and manufacturing, which is essential for AI development. It offers a different exposure within the AI thematic and provides geographic diversification away from US-based companies and the US dollar.

QWhat two key factors does James Demmert cite as reasons why international stocks are currently outperforming the US market?

AHe cites a combination of attractive valuations overseas and a global policy shift. While the US is tightening fiscal spending, Europe and Japan are engaging in unprecedented large-scale government fiscal stimulus while trying to maintain low interest rates, which is driving growth in their markets.

QWhich of the five recommended stocks does James Demmert identify as a "hidden AI mining play," and why?

AHe identifies BHP Group as a hidden AI play. While many see it as a simple commodity trade, Demmert argues it is a direct AI investment—a "second derivative of AI"—because the massive demand for copper is driven by the construction of data centers required for AI infrastructure.

QFor a standard portfolio, what asset allocation between US and international stocks does James Demmert recommend?

AHe recommends allocating 45% of a portfolio to international stocks and the remainder to domestic (US) stocks.

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Understanding SPERO: A Comprehensive Overview Introduction to SPERO As the landscape of innovation continues to evolve, the emergence of web3 technologies and cryptocurrency projects plays a pivotal role in shaping the digital future. One project that has garnered attention in this dynamic field is SPERO, denoted as SPERO,$$s$. This article aims to gather and present detailed information about SPERO, to help enthusiasts and investors understand its foundations, objectives, and innovations within the web3 and crypto domains. What is SPERO,$$s$? SPERO,$$s$ is a unique project within the crypto space that seeks to leverage the principles of decentralisation and blockchain technology to create an ecosystem that promotes engagement, utility, and financial inclusion. The project is tailored to facilitate peer-to-peer interactions in new ways, providing users with innovative financial solutions and services. At its core, SPERO,$$s$ aims to empower individuals by providing tools and platforms that enhance user experience in the cryptocurrency space. This includes enabling more flexible transaction methods, fostering community-driven initiatives, and creating pathways for financial opportunities through decentralised applications (dApps). The underlying vision of SPERO,$$s$ revolves around inclusiveness, aiming to bridge gaps within traditional finance while harnessing the benefits of blockchain technology. Who is the Creator of SPERO,$$s$? The identity of the creator of SPERO,$$s$ remains somewhat obscure, as there are limited publicly available resources providing detailed background information on its founder(s). This lack of transparency can stem from the project's commitment to decentralisation—an ethos that many web3 projects share, prioritising collective contributions over individual recognition. By centring discussions around the community and its collective goals, SPERO,$$s$ embodies the essence of empowerment without singling out specific individuals. As such, understanding the ethos and mission of SPERO remains more important than identifying a singular creator. Who are the Investors of SPERO,$$s$? SPERO,$$s$ is supported by a diverse array of investors ranging from venture capitalists to angel investors dedicated to fostering innovation in the crypto sector. The focus of these investors generally aligns with SPERO's mission—prioritising projects that promise societal technological advancement, financial inclusivity, and decentralised governance. These investor foundations are typically interested in projects that not only offer innovative products but also contribute positively to the blockchain community and its ecosystems. The backing from these investors reinforces SPERO,$$s$ as a noteworthy contender in the rapidly evolving domain of crypto projects. How Does SPERO,$$s$ Work? SPERO,$$s$ employs a multi-faceted framework that distinguishes it from conventional cryptocurrency projects. Here are some of the key features that underline its uniqueness and innovation: Decentralised Governance: SPERO,$$s$ integrates decentralised governance models, empowering users to participate actively in decision-making processes regarding the project’s future. This approach fosters a sense of ownership and accountability among community members. Token Utility: SPERO,$$s$ utilises its own cryptocurrency token, designed to serve various functions within the ecosystem. These tokens enable transactions, rewards, and the facilitation of services offered on the platform, enhancing overall engagement and utility. Layered Architecture: The technical architecture of SPERO,$$s$ supports modularity and scalability, allowing for seamless integration of additional features and applications as the project evolves. This adaptability is paramount for sustaining relevance in the ever-changing crypto landscape. Community Engagement: The project emphasises community-driven initiatives, employing mechanisms that incentivise collaboration and feedback. By nurturing a strong community, SPERO,$$s$ can better address user needs and adapt to market trends. Focus on Inclusion: By offering low transaction fees and user-friendly interfaces, SPERO,$$s$ aims to attract a diverse user base, including individuals who may not previously have engaged in the crypto space. This commitment to inclusion aligns with its overarching mission of empowerment through accessibility. Timeline of SPERO,$$s$ Understanding a project's history provides crucial insights into its development trajectory and milestones. Below is a suggested timeline mapping significant events in the evolution of SPERO,$$s$: Conceptualisation and Ideation Phase: The initial ideas forming the basis of SPERO,$$s$ were conceived, aligning closely with the principles of decentralisation and community focus within the blockchain industry. Launch of Project Whitepaper: Following the conceptual phase, a comprehensive whitepaper detailing the vision, goals, and technological infrastructure of SPERO,$$s$ was released to garner community interest and feedback. Community Building and Early Engagements: Active outreach efforts were made to build a community of early adopters and potential investors, facilitating discussions around the project’s goals and garnering support. Token Generation Event: SPERO,$$s$ conducted a token generation event (TGE) to distribute its native tokens to early supporters and establish initial liquidity within the ecosystem. Launch of Initial dApp: The first decentralised application (dApp) associated with SPERO,$$s$ went live, allowing users to engage with the platform's core functionalities. Ongoing Development and Partnerships: Continuous updates and enhancements to the project's offerings, including strategic partnerships with other players in the blockchain space, have shaped SPERO,$$s$ into a competitive and evolving player in the crypto market. Conclusion SPERO,$$s$ stands as a testament to the potential of web3 and cryptocurrency to revolutionise financial systems and empower individuals. With a commitment to decentralised governance, community engagement, and innovatively designed functionalities, it paves the way toward a more inclusive financial landscape. As with any investment in the rapidly evolving crypto space, potential investors and users are encouraged to research thoroughly and engage thoughtfully with the ongoing developments within SPERO,$$s$. The project showcases the innovative spirit of the crypto industry, inviting further exploration into its myriad possibilities. While the journey of SPERO,$$s$ is still unfolding, its foundational principles may indeed influence the future of how we interact with technology, finance, and each other in interconnected digital ecosystems.

54 Total ViewsPublished 2024.12.17Updated 2024.12.17

What is $S$

What is AGENT S

Agent S: The Future of Autonomous Interaction in Web3 Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of Web3 and cryptocurrency, innovations are constantly redefining how individuals interact with digital platforms. One such pioneering project, Agent S, promises to revolutionise human-computer interaction through its open agentic framework. By paving the way for autonomous interactions, Agent S aims to simplify complex tasks, offering transformative applications in artificial intelligence (AI). This detailed exploration will delve into the project's intricacies, its unique features, and the implications for the cryptocurrency domain. What is Agent S? Agent S stands as a groundbreaking open agentic framework, specifically designed to tackle three fundamental challenges in the automation of computer tasks: Acquiring Domain-Specific Knowledge: The framework intelligently learns from various external knowledge sources and internal experiences. This dual approach empowers it to build a rich repository of domain-specific knowledge, enhancing its performance in task execution. Planning Over Long Task Horizons: Agent S employs experience-augmented hierarchical planning, a strategic approach that facilitates efficient breakdown and execution of intricate tasks. This feature significantly enhances its ability to manage multiple subtasks efficiently and effectively. Handling Dynamic, Non-Uniform Interfaces: The project introduces the Agent-Computer Interface (ACI), an innovative solution that enhances the interaction between agents and users. Utilizing Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs), Agent S can navigate and manipulate diverse graphical user interfaces seamlessly. Through these pioneering features, Agent S provides a robust framework that addresses the complexities involved in automating human interaction with machines, setting the stage for myriad applications in AI and beyond. Who is the Creator of Agent S? While the concept of Agent S is fundamentally innovative, specific information about its creator remains elusive. The creator is currently unknown, which highlights either the nascent stage of the project or the strategic choice to keep founding members under wraps. Regardless of anonymity, the focus remains on the framework's capabilities and potential. Who are the Investors of Agent S? As Agent S is relatively new in the cryptographic ecosystem, detailed information regarding its investors and financial backers is not explicitly documented. The lack of publicly available insights into the investment foundations or organisations supporting the project raises questions about its funding structure and development roadmap. Understanding the backing is crucial for gauging the project's sustainability and potential market impact. How Does Agent S Work? At the core of Agent S lies cutting-edge technology that enables it to function effectively in diverse settings. Its operational model is built around several key features: Human-like Computer Interaction: The framework offers advanced AI planning, striving to make interactions with computers more intuitive. By mimicking human behaviour in tasks execution, it promises to elevate user experiences. Narrative Memory: Employed to leverage high-level experiences, Agent S utilises narrative memory to keep track of task histories, thereby enhancing its decision-making processes. Episodic Memory: This feature provides users with step-by-step guidance, allowing the framework to offer contextual support as tasks unfold. Support for OpenACI: With the ability to run locally, Agent S allows users to maintain control over their interactions and workflows, aligning with the decentralised ethos of Web3. Easy Integration with External APIs: Its versatility and compatibility with various AI platforms ensure that Agent S can fit seamlessly into existing technological ecosystems, making it an appealing choice for developers and organisations. These functionalities collectively contribute to Agent S's unique position within the crypto space, as it automates complex, multi-step tasks with minimal human intervention. As the project evolves, its potential applications in Web3 could redefine how digital interactions unfold. Timeline of Agent S The development and milestones of Agent S can be encapsulated in a timeline that highlights its significant events: September 27, 2024: The concept of Agent S was launched in a comprehensive research paper titled “An Open Agentic Framework that Uses Computers Like a Human,” showcasing the groundwork for the project. October 10, 2024: The research paper was made publicly available on arXiv, offering an in-depth exploration of the framework and its performance evaluation based on the OSWorld benchmark. October 12, 2024: A video presentation was released, providing a visual insight into the capabilities and features of Agent S, further engaging potential users and investors. These markers in the timeline not only illustrate the progress of Agent S but also indicate its commitment to transparency and community engagement. Key Points About Agent S As the Agent S framework continues to evolve, several key attributes stand out, underscoring its innovative nature and potential: Innovative Framework: Designed to provide an intuitive use of computers akin to human interaction, Agent S brings a novel approach to task automation. Autonomous Interaction: The ability to interact autonomously with computers through GUI signifies a leap towards more intelligent and efficient computing solutions. Complex Task Automation: With its robust methodology, it can automate complex, multi-step tasks, making processes faster and less error-prone. Continuous Improvement: The learning mechanisms enable Agent S to improve from past experiences, continually enhancing its performance and efficacy. Versatility: Its adaptability across different operating environments like OSWorld and WindowsAgentArena ensures that it can serve a broad range of applications. As Agent S positions itself in the Web3 and crypto landscape, its potential to enhance interaction capabilities and automate processes signifies a significant advancement in AI technologies. Through its innovative framework, Agent S exemplifies the future of digital interactions, promising a more seamless and efficient experience for users across various industries. Conclusion Agent S represents a bold leap forward in the marriage of AI and Web3, with the capacity to redefine how we interact with technology. While still in its early stages, the possibilities for its application are vast and compelling. Through its comprehensive framework addressing critical challenges, Agent S aims to bring autonomous interactions to the forefront of the digital experience. As we move deeper into the realms of cryptocurrency and decentralisation, projects like Agent S will undoubtedly play a crucial role in shaping the future of technology and human-computer collaboration.

717 Total ViewsPublished 2025.01.14Updated 2025.01.14

What is AGENT S

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