[Анализ рынка от Huobi] BTC топчется в районе 20 000 долларов, ETH ожидает распродажа

HTX NewsPublished on 2022-09-15Last updated on 2022-09-15

Abstract

Курс биткоина (BTC) теряет набранные очки, но повод для оптимизма сохраняется.

1. Борьба медведей и быков пока закончилась ничьей

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В последние две недели торги BTC сопровождались высокими объёмами. Сейчас цена BTC по-прежнему продолжает колебаться, что также сопровождается высоким объёмом торгов, и, учитывая, что ни медведи, ни быки не смогли значительно продавить движение цены в какую-либо сторону, можно сделать вывод, что в краткосрочной перспективе, по всей видимости, данный тренд сохранится и можно не ожидать резкого роста или падения первой криптовалюты.

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2. Количество BTC-китов падает

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Данные показывают, что количество адресов в сети биткоин, на счету которых находится много монет, так называемые киты, неуклонно падает, что указывает на то, что крупные инвесторы постепенно избавляются от своих активов. Так, с начала года стало на 163 BTC-кита меньше – их количество снизилось с 2282 до 2119. Это может быть одним из индикаторов того, что в ближайшее время биткоин сохранит довольно стабильную динамику на уровне 20 000 долл. США.

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3. ETH не смог прорвать уровень 1600 долларов

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После затяжного боковика цена Ethereum резко упала до уровня 1600 долл. США 13 сентября, и несмотря на небольшое восстановление, последовавшее за этим падением, вчера она вновь оказалась под давлением продаж. Причём оба падения сопровождались значительным объёмом торгов, что говорит о том, что большая часть трейдеров предпочитают вставать в короткие позиции по ETH, и что на уровне 1600 долл. США мы наблюдаем значительное сопротивление.

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4. Фандинг Ethereum резко упал

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Фандинг второй криптовалют резко обвалился до самого низкого уровня за год на фоне процедуры «Слияния» Ethereum, в ходе которой сеть перешла с алгоритма консенсуса Proof-of-Work (PoW, доказательство выполнения работы) на Proof-of-Stake (PoS, доказательство доли владения).

С 13 по 15 сентября фандинг снизился до -0,053, -0,189 и -0,441. -0,189 и -0,441 являются аномально низкими значениями – последний раз столь низкий уровень фандинга был зафиксирован в октябре 2019 года. Подобные данные подают отчётливый медвежий сигнал.

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5. Количество ETH на биржевых кошельках растёт

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С 9 сентября количество Эфира, поступающего на биржевые адреса, увеличилось до 23,62 млн ETH. По сравнению с прошлым годом, количество Эфира на биржах сейчас сильно увеличилось. Учитывая, что сейчас количество ETH на биржах относительно невелико, такой резкий большой приток монет может оказать сильное влияние на цену в ближайшем будущем.

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