На рынке биткоина преобладает медвежий тренд, падение продолжится

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-11-26Last updated on 2025-11-26

Сегодня дневной график биткоина рисует медвежью картину, так как с дневного максимума в $110,665 цена BTC снизилась на 3,1% до $106,500.

С ростом объёма на красных свечах, продавцы продолжают толкать цену главной криптовалюты вниз. Красная свеча поглощения 2–3 ноября предвещает ещё большие проблемы, усиливая текущий медвежий настрой.

Дневной график BTC/USD на Bitstamp 3 ноября 2025 г.

При изучении 4-часового графика, мы видим, что после выхода из боковой консолидации, биткоин с трудом отскочил, но объём торгов был невысоким.

Кратковременное ралли к диапазону $110,000–$110,800 может оказаться лишь предпосылкой для продолжения нисходящего тренда, если только биткоин не закроется выше $108,000 при бычьем напоре быков.

bitstamp_btc_usd-mon_3_nov_07_47_22_nwmk 2

4-часовой график BTC/USD на Bitstamp 3 ноября 2025 г.

На часовом графике чётко виден направленный вниз тренд, поэтому короткие позиции становятся более привлекательными.

bitstamp_btc_usd-mon_3_nov_07_47_28_nwmk-3

Часовой график BTC/USD на Bitstamp 3 ноября 2025 г.

Индекс относительной силы (RSI) находится на отметке 41, сигнализируя о нейтральности, в то время как стохастический осциллятор замер на отметке 33. Индекс товарного канала колеблется на отметке -67, а индекс среднего направления (ADX) демонстрирует слабый тренд на отметке 17. Даже «удивительный осциллятор», показывающий -4257 не определился, хотя импульс и схождение-расхождение скользящих средних (MACD) указывают на нисходящее давление, показывая -3214 и -1171 соответственно.

Каждая ключевая экспоненциальная скользящая средняя (EMA) и простая скользящая средняя (SMA) от 10 до 200 дней находится выше текущей ценовой динамики, подтверждая преобладающий нисходящий тренд. С 200-дневной EMA на уровне $108,409 и простой скользящей средней на уровне $109,876 биткоин не в состоянии поддерживать даже долгосрочные линии поддержки.

Пока покупатели не активизируются с объёмами, тренд явно указывает на дальнейшее снижение, которое будет сопровождаться короткими отскоками и мощным сопротивлением.

Russia Says "USDC is Usable" While Levying a 3% Fee on It?

In a two-step regulatory move, Russia has announced plans to impose a 3% fee on certain "unfriendly" foreign digital assets like USDC and USDT, while simultaneously adding them to its list of legally recognized cryptocurrencies. This approach, described by the article as akin to a customs authority taxing high-risk currency imports, reflects Russia's broader strategy to control rather than ban crypto. The new fee acts as a risk premium for assets deemed vulnerable to freezing by Western jurisdictions. Concurrently, Russia is promoting alternatives like stablecoins pegged to the ruble or friendly currencies, which would face lower or no fees. This regulatory push is timed against escalating international sanctions, particularly from the EU, which aims to restrict Russia's access to global crypto services. By establishing its own regulated framework ahead of potential external blockades, Russia seeks to secure a controlled financial channel, reducing dependence on dollar-linked assets. The situation highlights crypto's evolving role from an investment vehicle to a geopolitical tool, where control over its rules equates to control over financial flows.

marsbit23m ago

Russia Says "USDC is Usable" While Levying a 3% Fee on It?

marsbit23m ago

Bitcoin Remains Below Glassnode’s $77,200 True Market Mean

Glassnode's latest report indicates Bitcoin continues to trade below its "True Market Mean," a key on-chain model estimating the average acquisition price of economically active coins at approximately $77,200. With BTC price roughly 15% below this level, the market is characterized as being in a repair or bearish regime rather than a confirmed bullish recovery. Trading below this cost-basis metric suggests a significant portion of active supply is under pressure, which can hinder rallies as underwater investors may sell into rebounds. The report highlights ongoing stress among short-term holders, contributing to market sensitivity. While a defense of current support levels shows demand, a sustained reclaim of the $77,200 True Market Mean is viewed as a more constructive signal for a broader regime shift than a simple relief bounce. For a bullish recovery to be confirmed, the market needs sufficient demand to overcome this overhead cost pressure.

bitcoinist32m ago

Bitcoin Remains Below Glassnode’s $77,200 True Market Mean

bitcoinist32m ago

Introducing: Market Compass

Glassnode introduces Market Compass, a dashboard providing a unified view of Bitcoin market conditions. It consolidates thousands of on-chain and market metrics into seven "lenses." Four forward-looking lenses (Macro, Capital Flows, Investor Behavior, On-Chain Fundamentals) feed a headline composite score from 0 (Risk-Off) to 100 (Risk-On). Three standalone lenses (Cycle Position, Derivatives, Cross-Asset Rotation) describe the current market structure. In the current reading, the headline score is 14/100 (Risk-Off), indicating a defensive regime. The Macro lens is the weakest at 23, constrained by a strong US Dollar (DXY) trading above its 200-day average. While the other forward-looking lenses show moderate improvement from recent lows, the overall picture suggests bottom-fishing within an unturned market cycle. Key observations include stablecoin supply shrinking (reduced buying power), long-term holders absorbing supply, tepid on-chain demand, and a derivatives market coiled for a potential move. The tool is designed as a contextual map, not a direct trading signal, synthesizing complex data into a single coherent read.

insights.glassnode6h ago

insights.glassnode6h ago

NVIDIA CPU Advances, China's RISC-V Responds: Semiconductor Deep Dive - Part Four

NVIDIA is set to launch its new Vera AI data center CPU in China as early as August, with high pricing. While this move offers a new option, it highlights China's continued dependence on foreign-controlled Arm architecture. In response, the Chinese semiconductor industry is increasingly turning to RISC-V as a strategic alternative for achieving high-performance computing autonomy. The article explores the concept of the "impossible triangle" in CPU development—balancing prosperity, control, and autonomy—and posits that RISC-V's open-source, modular nature offers a unique path to achieving all three. While RISC-V is already dominant in embedded systems, the focus is now shifting to data centers and AI workloads. China has become a global hotspot for RISC-V development, driven by AI-driven compute demand, supply chain concerns from export controls, cost benefits of open-source, and strong policy support. Multiple Chinese companies have reportedly crossed the key performance threshold of 15 SPECint per GHz, a benchmark for entering the high-performance CPU club. Progress extends beyond single-core benchmarks. Companies are developing complete computing subsystems, including commercial-grade coherent network-on-chip (NoC) technology and server processors with up to 40 cores that strictly adhere to the RVA23 standard to ensure software compatibility. Real-world applications are emerging in areas like video transcoding and edge AI. However, significant challenges remain. The RISC-V ecosystem faces fragmentation, immature toolchains and verification processes, and gaps in single-core performance and energy efficiency compared to mature x86 and Arm architectures. The formidable software moat, epitomized by NVIDIA's CUDA, is a long-term hurdle. In conclusion, while RISC-V cannot immediately replace offerings like NVIDIA's Vera, it represents a viable long-term path for China to develop a self-sufficient, high-performance CPU ecosystem. The journey is acknowledged to be long and arduous, requiring sustained effort to overcome technical and ecosystem challenges.

marsbit6h ago

NVIDIA CPU Advances, China's RISC-V Responds: Semiconductor Deep Dive - Part Four

marsbit6h ago

Stratosphere, Pudgy Penguins and Streamex Host Founders Table VIP Dinner During ETHConf 2026 and NYC Tech Week

During ETHConf 2026 and NYC Tech Week, Stratosphere, Pudgy Penguins, and Streamex co-hosted an exclusive Founders Table VIP Dinner in New York City. The June 9th event assembled a select group of founders, C-level executives, investors, and institutional leaders from firms such as Citi, BitGo, Delphi Digital, and Pyth Network for private, agenda-free networking. The dinner aimed to foster natural conversations among key figures across digital assets, tech, AI, and traditional finance. Stratosphere contributed its extensive network, Pudgy Penguins added its strong consumer brand community, and Streamex provided expertise in tokenized commodities and institutional markets. Stratosphere CEO Hassan Shaikh highlighted the importance of such gatherings for discussing market trends, particularly commodity tokenization. The Founders Table series, which runs alongside major industry conferences, is designed to build high-quality, relationship-driven connections that are difficult to achieve on standard conference floors. Stratosphere positions itself as an ecosystem growth partner for leading tech and finance brands.

TheNewsCrypto9h ago

Stratosphere, Pudgy Penguins and Streamex Host Founders Table VIP Dinner During ETHConf 2026 and NYC Tech Week

TheNewsCrypto9h ago

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