В «Эксперт РА» составили прогноз числа дефолтов рынка ЦФА к концу 2026 года

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-03-21Last updated on 2025-10-22

В 2026 году может произойти 25 дефолтов российских компаний на рынке цифровых финансовых активов (ЦФА), сообщили специалисты рейтингового агентства «Эксперт РА».

Согласно данным аналитиков, к началу октября число дефолтов компаний-эмитентов ЦФА увеличилось до 8. Самым крупным стал дефолт компании «Форте Хоум ГмбХ», не выплатившей инвесторам 500 млн руб. Всего эмитент разместил 16 выпусков ЦФА на общую сумму 7,2 млрд руб., 8 из них — на 3,8 млрд рублей — еще находятся в обращении.

По прогнозам операторов инвестиционных платформ, до конца текущего года число дефолтов составит около 10. Увеличение количества дефолтов может произойти из-за чрезмерной кредитной нагрузки на компании на фоне высоких ставок. Дополнительные риски банкротств обусловлены тем, что через ЦФА привлекаются краткосрочные займы.

В случае возникновения финансовых трудностей у компаний-эмитентов не хватает времени для поиска иных источников капитала для рефинансирования долга, указали специалисты.

Дефолты могут допустить и непубличные компании без кредитного рейтинга, «для которых выпуск ЦФА зачастую является дебютом на рынке долгового финансирования и единственным способом привлечения средств по приемлемой стоимости», пояснили эксперты.

Если количество дефолтов по ЦФА будет расти, Банк России ужесточит требования к инвесторам для их допуска на этот рынок, или изменит требования к прозрачности эмитентов. Однако положение дел усугубляется тем, что в секторе цифровых финансовых активов так и не утверждена процедура урегулирования дефолтов, заключили аналитики.

Ранее директор департамента инфраструктуры финансового рынка ЦБ РФ Кирилл Пронин заявил, что регулятор обеспокоен первыми случаями дефолта на рынке цифровых финансовых активов и думает над созданием процедуры контроля.

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