Аналитики: рынок альткоинов фискирует смену фокуса среди инвесторов

Over the past week, the U.S. stock market continued its high-level consolidation. The S&P 500 index gained 0.36% weekly. On Thursday, it briefly hit a new all-time high of 7,810 points intraday, closing at a record 7,800 points. After a slight pullback on Friday, it settled at 7,786 points. While the index itself showed little change, the underlying pricing logic within the market is undergoing a noticeable shift. The energy sector led the gains with a weekly surge of 7.67%, with crude oil prices strengthening in tandem. Gold continued to trade near $4,380 after breaking through $4,300, while Bitcoin fell nearly 3%. This indicates that the market is not reducing exposure to risk assets due to rising inflation concerns. Instead, while maintaining equity positions, it is significantly increasing allocations to physical assets such as energy and precious metals.

4m ago

Tether CEO Ardoino Gives Clear Response to Blockchain Accusations: 'We Are Not Developing Our Own Network!'

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino has issued a clear denial in response to market reports alleging that the company behind the USDT stablecoin is developing its own proprietary blockchain. An analytical report had suggested Tether was building a private blockchain, or "stablechain," to reduce its reliance on existing networks and gain greater control over its ecosystem. Ardoino firmly stated via social media that these claims are false, emphasizing that Tether is not developing any blockchain technology and has no such plans. He reiterated the company's strategy is to continue operating across multiple existing blockchain networks. USDT is currently available on several major blockchains, including Ethereum, Tron, Solana, Avalanche, and TON. This multi-chain approach allows users to choose networks based on transaction costs and speed requirements. While experts speculated that a proprietary blockchain could significantly impact the stablecoin sector, Ardoino's statement appears to have quelled these rumors for now. The article notes that Tether has also drawn attention for its investments in artificial intelligence, mining, and digital infrastructure. However, company leadership maintains that ensuring the smooth operation of USDT across various blockchains remains a top priority. The cryptocurrency market continues to watch Tether's strategic moves closely.

cryptonews.ru17m ago

Tron Accounts for 52% of Global Small-Value USDT Transfer Volume

Tron has solidified its position as a dominant blockchain for stablecoins, largely driven by $USDT activity. According to a Messari report, Tron's stablecoin market cap grew 4.1% in Q2, with $USDT accounting for nearly 99% of all stablecoins on the chain. With $87.9 billion in $USDT, Tron surpassed Ethereum to become the largest host for Tether, a figure that has since grown closer to $91 billion. The network's popularity, especially for small-value payments, is attributed to features like "gasless" transactions and its strong adoption in emerging economies. Tron now captures 52% of global small-amount (under $1,000) USDT transfers. It also saw record activity for a third consecutive quarter, with average daily transactions reaching 11.8 million and active addresses hitting 3.6 million. Analyst Alex Obchakevich highlighted Tron's "real, non-speculative, stable demand" focused on stablecoin transfers and payments, noting its recent infrastructure developments for institutional access and Real-World Assets (RWAs). Additionally, Tron leads in crypto card settlements, holding a 34% market share ($887 million) and maintaining a 21% share of tracked top-up volumes in Q3 with $108.5 million.

cryptonews.ru18m ago

Polymarket and Kalshi Give Signals But Do Not Guarantee a Predicted Outcome

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are becoming a significant source of information for investors. Their main advantage is that participants stake their own money on specific outcomes, allowing contract prices to be interpreted as market-assessed probabilities. For instance, a YES contract priced at $0.65 on Kalshi suggests an approximately 65% likelihood of an event occurring. However, this is not a pure probability, as it is influenced by liquidity, spreads, fees, capital constraints, and informational differences among participants. A key question arises: does a high probability for an event on these platforms imply that the bitcoin or broader crypto market will follow suit? The answer is no. Prediction markets and crypto markets serve different purposes: the former assesses the likelihood of specific events, while the latter allocates capital and determines asset prices. Betting on an event is not the same as betting on an asset. For example, a signal forecasting a Federal Reserve interest rate cut is relevant, but it may already be priced into crypto markets through futures, options, or spot positions. The crypto price is shaped by existing capital commitments, leverage, liquidity, and the need to close trades, not just expectations. While prediction markets are useful for aggregating information and have shown accuracy in events like political elections, they should not be viewed as direct trading signals for assets like bitcoin. Research involving millions of trades indicates that the calibration of probabilities varies by event category, time horizon, trade size, and platform. Therefore, these markets offer valuable supplementary data but do not guarantee corresponding asset price movements.

cryptonews.ru20m ago

Broadcom Plunges 20%, What is the Market Afraid Of?

Broadcom's stock price has fallen over 20% from its June high, driven by market fears over a massive off-balance-sheet liability linked to its "AI XPV Platform." This financing structure, established with Apollo and Blackstone, aims to lease AI hardware (featuring Broadcom's custom XPU chips) to clients like Anthropic. Broadcom provides a Residual Value Guarantee (RVG), agreeing to cover potential shortfalls if a client defaults and the resale value of the leased chips is insufficient to repay the SPV's senior debt. While the first deal involves a $290 billion RVG exposure, a Bank of America analysis projects this could balloon to $3.7 trillion in senior debt principal by mid-2029 if the platform scales to its 20GW target. In a worst-case scenario of 100% client defaults, Broadcom's theoretical maximum loss is estimated at $42 billion. This rapid growth of contingent liabilities far outpaces the company's revenue and cash flow, transforming Broadcom from a capital-light chip designer into a de facto financial guarantor for AI infrastructure financing. The core risk lies in the untested residual value of AI chips, which lack a mature secondary market and face rapid technological obsolescence. Credit rating agencies like S&P have flagged the arrangement as a "credit negative," and bond markets have already widened Broadcom's credit spreads, reflecting investor concern. The market's fear is not weak AI demand but rather the unpriced and systemic risks embedded in this new financing model where a semiconductor company's investment-grade credit backs an expanding chain of trillion-dollar AI debt.

marsbit22m ago