Bitwise: биткоин вырастет до $1,3 млн за 10 лет

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-03-23Last updated on 2025-09-24

Биткоин достигнет $1,3 млн к 2035 году — таков прогноз Мэтта Хугана (Matt Hougan), директора по инвестициям компании Bitwise. В интервью Cointelegraph эксперт объясняет, почему считает подобный сценарий вполне реальным.

Институциональная революция в действии

Хуган основывает свой прогноз не на эмоциях, а на детальном институциональном отчете. Аналитик моделирует роль биткоина как средства сбережения и его конкуренцию с золотом на фоне растущего институционального признания.

По мнению эксперта, три ключевых фактора кардинально меняют траекторию развития биткоина:

  • Стремительно растущий государственный долг
  • Смена регуляторного климата с враждебного на благоприятный
  • Появление биткоин-ETF, упрощающих доступ Уолл-стрит к инвестициям в криптовалюту

От маргинального актива к фундаментальному компоненту

Хуган подчеркивает: биткоин больше не является маргинальным активом. Теперь его рассматривают наравне с акциями, облигациями и недвижимостью как фундаментальный строительный блок глобальных портфелей.

Ключевой вопрос заключается в способности биткоина конкурировать с золотом за статус «цифрового золота». Может ли первая криптовалюта захватить четверть глобального рынка средств сохранения стоимости в течение следующего десятилетия?

Устойчивость прогноза под вопросом

Остается открытым вопрос о том, насколько устойчив подобный прогноз в условиях политической неопределенности и рыночной волатильности. Хуган также высказывает оптимизм относительно Solana, описывая у этой криптовалюты ингредиенты для «эпического роста» до конца года и потенциал стать «новой Уолл-стрит».

Прогноз Bitwise отражает растущее понимание того, что биткоин эволюционирует от экспериментального актива к серьезному финансовому инструменту. Институциональное признание, подкрепленное появлением ETF и изменением регуляторной среды, создает основу для такого амбициозного сценария развития событий.

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