Модель консолидации биткоина имеет бычий тренд и цель в $140 тыс.

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2025-11-20Last updated on 2025-11-20

  • Биткоин повторяет цикл неудачных прорывов, потерь ликвидности и резких разворотов.
  • BTC торгуется на уровне около $113 900 с рыночной капитализацией $2,26 трлн и дневным объемом $66,55 млрд.
  • RSI на уровне 43,36 и отрицательный MACD сигнализируют о краткосрочном медвежьем импульсе.

Согласно новому анализу Crypto Rover, биткоин вновь следует привычной ценовой структуре, определявшей множество рыночных циклов. Текущая консолидация, отмеченная серией неудачных попыток прорыва, является частью повторяющейся модели изменений ликвидности, которая исторически определяла общую динамику биткоина.

A MAJOR BITCOIN PATTERN KEEPS REPEATING

1️⃣ Range forms
2️⃣ Failed breakout attempt
3️⃣ Liquidity sweep on the downside (bear trap)

We’re now right at step 3.

Don’t get shaken out. pic.twitter.com/OmSkkDlRBQ

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) August 21, 2025

Следует ли Биткоин историческому сценарию?

Многолетний график, представленный Crypto Rover, демонстрирует повторяющийся цикл фаз консолидации, неудачных прорывов и резких перепадов ликвидности. Зелёные круги на графике обозначают попытки прорыва сопротивления, которые быстро сменяются, а красные круги — провалы ниже уровня поддержки, которые сопровождаются агрессивными скупками.

Точно такое же поведение наблюдалось в 2023 и 2024 годах, когда эти отклонения от диапазона в конечном итоге предшествовали сильным ралли к новым максимумам. Теперь, в 2025 году, та же тенденция снова проявляется. Если эта историческая структура продолжит развиваться, прогноз аналитика предполагает, что биткоин в ближайшие годы может протестировать диапазон от 120 000 до 140 000 долларов.

По теме: Анализ цены биткоина: ключевые цели, на которые стоит обратить внимание в свете важных новостей

О чем говорят краткосрочные индикаторы BTC?

Хотя долгосрочная карта выглядит привычной, текущие технические индикаторы указывают на осторожность. Индекс относительной силы (RSI) находится на уровне 43,36, снизившись с 52,63, что свидетельствует об ослаблении покупательной способности. RSI, близкий к 30, будет указывать на перепроданность.

Источник: TradingView

Схождение-расхождение скользящих средних (MACD) подтверждает эту ситуацию. Линия MACD находится на уровне -207,48 против сигнальной линии 425,83, что соответствует отрицательному значению гистограммы -633,31. Расширяющиеся красные полосы на гистограмме указывают на возможное сохранение давления продаж.

Текущая ценовая битва биткоина

На момент публикации цена биткоина составляла $113 891,54, увеличившись за последние сутки на 0,31%. Рыночная капитализация составляет $2,26 трлн, а полная разводнённая стоимость (FDV) — $2,39 трлн. Объём торгов за 24 часа снизился на 5,89% до $66,55 млрд, в результате чего соотношение объёма к рыночной капитализации составило 2,94%. Объём торгов составляет около 19,9 млн BTC, что приближается к хардкапу в 21 млн.

Источник: CoinMarketCap

Внутридневные колебания демонстрируют волатильность: минимумы достигаются вблизи $113 600, а быстрый отскок превышает $114 000. Уровень сопротивления находится чуть выше $114 500, в то время как уровень поддержки остаётся стабильным в районе $113 000.

Этот узкий диапазон отражает консолидацию, отмеченную в долгосрочной модели, поскольку трейдеры ждут решающего катализатора, подробно описанного в нашем последнем отчете: цена биткоина упала до $115 тыс., поскольку трейдеры ожидают выступления председателя ФРС Пауэлла в Джексон-Хоуле..

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