Сбудется ли обещание Altseason? Сопротивление биткоина и тревожное ожидание альткоинов

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2022-01-22Last updated on 2025-03-22

Сокращение притока биткоинов и ослабление импульса могут задержать сезон альткоинов до 2026 года.
Капитализация рынка криптовалют сталкивается с сопротивлением в $2,74 трлн на фоне ухудшения настроений инвесторов.
Эфириум и основные альткоины испытывают трудности, что вызывает сомнения относительно прорыва сезона альткоинов в ближайшем будущем.

Аналитики в настоящее время отслеживают рынок криптовалют, пытаясь оценить, когда может начаться следующий «альтернативный сезон». CryptoBullet указывает на типичный четырехлетний рыночный цикл, ожидая, что он завершится где-то в октябре или ноябре 2025 года.

Эта временная шкала предполагает, что альткоины могут увидеть всплеск в течение следующих восьми месяцев. Однако текущий рынок демонстрирует некоторую нерешительность, особенно с учетом того, что Ethereum и другие альткоины не демонстрируют сильного импульса, что приводит к вопросам о возможной задержке до 2026 года.

According to the 4-year cycle theory, this cycle should end in October-November 2025. So we basically have 8 months to see #Altseason ⌛️

Given the poor performance of $ETH & $ALTs that we have seen so far, do you believe this cycle can break the classic 4-year cycle and last… pic.twitter.com/kbElQBHZIB
— CryptoBullet (@CryptoBullet1) March 20, 2025

Ожидаемые сроки Altseason и какие рыночные сигналы указывают на обратное?

Али Мартинес проанализировал индикатор Altseason Bitcoin. Он отметил пик Bitcoin в $96 715,57 10 декабря 2024 года, когда Bitcoin привлек $0,13 млн капитала, Ethereum $0,06 млн и стейблкоины $0,10 млн. К 16 марта 2025 года Bitcoin упал до $82 599,04. Приток также упал: Bitcoin получил всего $0,007 млн, Ethereum $0,024 млн и стейблкоины $0,020 млн.

Родственный: Altseason приближается? Уровни прорыва для крупного ралли альткоинов — аналитик

Индикатор альтсезона снизился с 1 до 0,33, сигнализируя об ослаблении импульса. Это говорит о том, что альтсезон может застопориться, если биткоин не начнет значительное восстановление. Мартинес предупреждает, что если биткоин пробьется ниже 80 000 долларов, это может указывать на дальнейшее снижение. И наоборот, подъем выше $90 000 может возродить доверие инвесторов.

No signs of altseason yet! pic.twitter.com/RYkeIoYaRm
— Ali (@ali_charts) March 20, 2025

По теме: Altseason Watch: XRP, ADA, SUI лидируют в ценовом скачке плюс еще пять, за которыми стоит следить

Какие инсайты дают индикатор Bitcoin Alt Season?

Общая рыночная капитализация криптовалют Источник: TradingView

Общая капитализация рынка криптовалют в середине 2024 года имела тенденцию к росту, достигнув пика выше $3,6 трлн. Затем коррекция отбросила ее до $2,69 трлн. Пока рынок пытается восстановиться, уровни сопротивления ограничивают его прогресс.

Отметка в $2,69 трлн теперь выступает в качестве немедленной поддержки. Краткосрочная поддержка находится на уровне $2,71 трлн, в то время как более сильная зона спроса находится между $2,6 трлн и $2,55 трлн. Следующее ключевое сопротивление находится на уровне $2,74 трлн, что соответствует 50-дневной скользящей средней. Более существенный потолок существует на уровне $2,84 трлн, около 200-дневной скользящей средней.

Ключевые уровни поддержки и сопротивления альткоинов

В настоящее время Ethereum торгуется на уровне $1 967,74, снизившись на 0,86% за последние 24 часа. Avalanche находится на уровне $18,58, снизившись на 1,22%, а Solana оценивается в $126,61, потеряв 3,02% за тот же период. Это снижение отражает более широкую тенденцию борьбы альткоинов за восходящее движение, что усиливает неопределенность вокруг ближайшего альтернативного сезона.

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