唐纳德·特朗普在哈里斯的虚假民意调查中在Polymarket上翻转卡玛拉

币界网Published on 2024-08-21Last updated on 2024-08-21

币界网报道：

唐纳德·特朗普在Polymarket上重新领先卡玛拉·哈里斯。在即将到来的11月选举中，这两个领先优势已成为加密货币和tradFi选民的赌注。在美国大选之前，Polymarket的受欢迎程度已经上升。

即将到来的美国总统选举已经成为主流媒体控制和抵制民主的全球奇观。这位前美国总统现在有52%的机会赢得2024年的总统选举，而卡玛拉·哈里斯只有47%的机会。

来源：Polymarket

此前，乔·拜登退出竞选后，美国副总统在Polymarket上发挥了领导作用并保持了这一地位。这是由于卡玛拉·哈里斯竞选的势头，她的机会上升到52%。

在唐纳德·特朗普的民调激增之后，最初的反应集中在卡玛拉·哈里斯将支持25%未实现收益税的假设上。虽然这一点尚未得到证实，但人们已经在X（以前是推特）上谴责了这些声称的政策方向。

卡尔达诺联合创始人查尔斯·霍斯金森表示，对未实现收益征收25%的税是政党提出的最违宪的盗窃行为。

来源：X

值得注意的是，正式禁止美国居民使用该平台的Polymarket在选举开始时为特朗普付出了高昂的代价。由于禁止美国人（实际选民）作为市场参与者，很容易拒绝其准确性。

卡玛拉·哈里斯被指控伪造民意调查

卡玛拉被指控在最近的集会中，在民意调查组织的帮助下伪造民意调查，并在她的活动中对人群进行拍照。在周日福克斯新闻的一次采访中，参议员J.D.Vance声称“媒体利用虚假民意调查来降低共和党的投票率，并与共和党选民产生分歧和冲突。”

万斯还说：“如果你和卡玛拉·哈里斯竞选团队的内部人士交谈，他们非常担心自己的处境。”福克斯主持人香农·布雷姆对万斯说：“我们今天早上公布的另一项民意调查，华盛顿邮报-ABC，他们在全国范围内领先副总统四到五个百分点。

Shannon补充道：“这些都是新的数字，所以如果你认为势头没有动摇，或者你的内部民意调查表明情况不同，那么其他所有公布的民意调查都显示出了朝着她的方向发展的巨大势头。”Vance回应道：

我认为有很多民意调查[…]显示她停滞不前，趋于平稳。当然，2020年夏天，美国广播公司《华盛顿邮报》的民意调查结果非常不准确。你看，如果你看到我们看到的数字，并且你真的和美国人民交谈，我非常有信心，我们将在11月到达正确的地方。JD Vance

埃隆·马斯克（Elon Musk）已采取行动，揭穿主流媒体的虚假民意调查和报道唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）和卡玛拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）之间势均力敌的说法。在埃隆·穆斯克（Elon马斯克）最近于

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