Джейми Коуттс: Я нашел ключевой бычий сигнал для биткоина

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2022-02-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

Ведущий криптоаналитик инвестиционной компании Real Vision заявил, что разработанная им модель импульса глобальной ликвидности (MSI) указывает на рост цены первой криптовалюты.

Джейми Коуттс (Jamie Coutts) заявил, что курс биткоина может вырасти в два-три раза на основе бычьего сигнала, исторически коррелирующего с ценовыми ралли:

«Моя MSI указала на ключевой сигнал бычьего тренда. Напомню, что биткоин вырос на 75% с ноября по апрель, прежде чем перешел в медвежий тренд».

Согласно утверждению эксперта, этот бычий сигнал предшествовал девятнадцатикратному росту биткоина в цикле 2017 года и повышению стоимости золота в цикле 2020 года — в шесть раз. Аналитик отметил, что на повышение цены первой криптовалюты будет влиять общая глобальная ликвидность и динамика индекса доллара США (DXY):

«Чтобы BTC продемонстрировал ралли, DXY должен быть значительно ниже 101, что обусловлено продолжающимися вливаниями центральных банков. Это подтолкнет глобальную денежную массу значительно выше $120 трлн в этом цикле».

Цена биткоина может снизиться в краткосрочной перспективе, если не сможет закрепиться на отметке около $60 000, но потом произойдет изменение тренда на бычий из-за растущей денежной массы, верит Джейми Коуттс. По его данным, за последний месяц Банк Японии добавил $400 млн, а Народный банк Китая $97 млрд к мировой денежной массе, возросшей на $1,2 трлн.

Ранее представители аналитической платформы Glassnode заявили, что с начала августа отмечают долгосрочное накопление первой криптовалюты инвесторами.

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