“狂飙”数藏溢价绑售黄金月卡,爱奇艺“镰刀”挥向数藏市场

币界网Published on 2023-03-01Last updated on 2024-08-13

币界网报道:

数字藏品捆绑最低30元的视频会员,售价68元。这是爱奇艺最近在数藏市场挖掘的生意经。

2月20日,当热播剧《狂飙》收官半个多月仍留热度长尾时,爱奇艺联合数字藏品发售平台头号藏品推出“狂飙”3D数字藏品,以盲盒形式发售7777份,单价68元。用户购买即得爱奇艺会员,其中7387份的30元黄金月卡算是“普惠”,仅有390份藏品包含50元以上的高阶会员。

《狂飙》数藏面向普通用户销售后,1小时内即投放完毕。相对爱奇艺黄金月卡,该系列将近95%的藏品存在38元溢价,“高价会员卡”何以斩获如此多买家?除了一些不太实惠的权益之外,关窍藏在二级市场。

头号藏品平台为《狂飙》藏品捆绑了名为“Power”的空投型藏品,本体“狂飙”尚不能转卖,Power变体快速以“寄售”形式化身炒作标的,挂售价从几十元到上千元不等,用户群里热闹非凡。

爱奇艺能从中分成几何不得而知,但价值20多万元的会员算是绑着数字藏品变相地卖出去了,而且是在1小时内,效率奇高。

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以数藏溢价捆绑会员,爱奇艺“急赚钱”的既视感喷薄而出。刚刚过去的2022年,这家视频门户实现了290亿元营收,上涨的会员费加上爆款剧集带来了会员增量,终于让爱奇艺在连续亏损12年后扭亏为盈。

涨价早已引来用户对会员权益“加价不加量”的诟病,每年的爆款又充斥着诸多不确定性。如此局面下,爱奇艺趁《狂飙》之热,手举被用户吐槽的“会员镰刀”,悄悄挥向数藏市场。

“狂飙”数藏溢价绑售黄金月卡

“虚拟资产未来还可复用到其他业务,创造更多增收方式,比如数字资产运营、IP增值服务、元宇宙等。”2月22日,爱奇艺发布2022年财报后,CEO龚宇在《致投资人的一封信》中如此规划着,而他的构想已在两天前落地。

2月20日,爱奇艺联合数字藏品平台头号藏品推出“狂飙”系列数字藏品,发行总量7777份,包含6种人物造型和6种道具造型,安欣、高启强、“大嫂”陈书婷等剧中人物以及饺子、肠粉、猪脚面等剧中道具,均卡通化为数字藏品,以“盲盒抢购”的方式面向市场。

《狂飙》IP变数藏,爱奇艺负责授权,头号藏品负责售卖,一份卖68。

68元的数藏有何价值?

摆在藏品权益首位的是“买藏品必得爱奇艺会员”,按照宣传,有7387份藏品分别内含价值30元的黄金月卡,其余390份“金色藏品”内含价值从50元到448元不同等级的月卡、季卡和年卡。这意味着,接近95%的“狂飙”藏品在68元的售价中包含了30元的黄金月卡,相当于绑定销售了。

"狂飙"系列各藏品对应的会员卡价值

image.png

那么这 44% 的溢价中还承载了哪些权益?

头号藏品说,“狂飙”藏品的持有者能在爱奇艺站内展示限定款的特效头像以及对应IP剧集的特效弹幕,但这俩权益得在爱奇艺客户端的“后续版本”中才能实现。除此之外,买藏品能抽奖,奖品是限量的《狂飙》联名款鼠标垫和手机支架……

看上去,这38元溢价中包含的权益,一个属于“期货”,一个得靠概率,对消费者来说略缺诚意,但买单者者众。

按照头号藏品的公告,除196份数藏分别投放给“优先购”和“官方预留”外,剩余7581份在2月20日12点开卖,仅1小时,售卖窗口即关闭,页面显示总投放数量为7777份。也就是说,售罄了。

有趣的是,这么火爆的销售场面并未见爱奇艺与头号藏品平台对外晒单。相反,双方合作推出的这款藏品在宣发上也极为低调,爱奇艺官方社交渠道发了个400多字的推出消息,微博粉丝量仅为1.2万人的头号藏家也没有趁机蹭视频大厂和《狂飙》的热度,鲜少对外招揽流量。

更微妙的是,2月20日,爱奇艺对“狂飙”系列数藏的宣发时间比藏品正式公售的时间整整晚了4个小时,等于是卖完了才说“推出”。

要知道,这不是爱奇艺第一次联合数藏平台发布数字藏品了。去年,爱奇艺先后推出过“寄生熊猫Producer C”数藏盲盒、“苍兰诀”系列数藏、“苍兰诀”3D角色数字藏品,均有过提前预热,倒是这些数字藏品从未捆绑过会员。

对首次绑定会员的“狂飙”藏品,爱奇艺的低调和头号藏品平台用户社群的热闹形成了强烈对比。火热的社群也暴露了端倪,恰好能回答比黄金月卡贵了30元的“狂飙”数藏为何会快速售罄。

藏品“套娃”暗藏炒作空间

从2月20日“狂飙”数藏开售后,头号藏品平台创建的几个用户微信群十分活跃,很多用户讨论着”Power”的价格,这是一个名列在“狂飙”藏品种类之下的标的——所有购买“狂飙”系列数字藏品的用户,均可免费获得Power空投一份,平台方谓之“强化赋能”。

“狂飙”藏品遵守了去年4月中国互联网金融协会、中国银行业协会、中国证券业协会联合发布的《关于防范NFT相关金融风险的倡议》,未涉集中交易的二级市场,在头号藏品平台上还处于“只能买不能卖”的状态,但Power不是。

尽管Power是“狂飙”本体免费的空投品,但头号藏品不仅为它设计了层层嵌套的玩法,还在20日“狂飙”系列首发当天就为Power开通了寄售市场。在国内的数字藏品圈里,“寄售”一向被视作变相的二级市场,虽然不存在撮合交易,但形成了点对点的流转场所。

头号藏品公告显示,购买“狂飙”盲盒并开出人物造型的用户,能获得PowerA空投;开出道具造型的用户,能获得PowerB空投。而PowerA+PowerB又能合成Power勋章,用户每持有一个勋章,即可获得下一期活动的“1元优先购”特权。

Power空投品在限价中上涨

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寄售市场一开放,PowerA、PowerB的挂售价立马出现,平台最高限价不断从58元调整到68元、88元到188元,而Power勋章同样出现在寄售市场,活动当天最低卖到210元。头号藏品对Power勋章发布过“最高限价288元”的公告,而在这之前,已有用户将NO.896号的Power勋章以9999元挂单。

看似“免费”的空投变成了炒作标的,用户群里也围绕着Power展开了带有“回本”、“升值”、“赚钱”等话题的讨论。有用户感叹,相较于PowerA&B藏品刚上架寄售时的价格,Power勋章价格有点太高了;另一位用户则预测,Power勋章的价格在取消限价后还会继续涨。

头号藏品名为“流转中心”的寄售市场页面上,实时滚动播报着成交记录,Power勋章的成交价格由低到高不断刷新着。

也有部分藏家很关心爱奇艺会员的发放时间,群里有客服人员称,已催促爱奇艺一方,等走完流程就会发放。但后续公告显示,因担心短信运营商对爱奇艺免费会员发放通知的内容消息进行拦截,原定发放渠道由手机短信改为头号藏品App端的站内信。

“狂飙”藏品能捆绑卖爱奇艺会员,Power空投的炒作能为头号藏品贡献服务费,双方形成了双赢的局面,至于用户,为二者买单即可。

“当国内的数字藏品市场尚无规范可言时,这些行为还谈不上‘违规’,只要平台不跑路,从市场活跃度看,总有数藏玩家也乐于为此买单。”一位研究数字藏品行业的法律人士认为,这正是一些IP权益方想从数藏市场衍生价值的原因。

爱奇艺扭亏为盈仍存增长压力

藏家还在等“会员”的发放,爱奇艺已能借“狂飙”藏品拿下会员收入。

按照藏品数量和单价计算,7777份狂飙藏品的可销售总额为528836元。其中,390份“金色藏品”包含的爱奇艺高阶会员价值为28952元,可销售额为26520元,这部分藏品的销售额没法覆盖高阶会员价;但别看黄金月卡仅价值30元,7387份普通藏品覆盖的这部分月卡总价值达221610元,而可销售额达502316元,高阶会员搭进金色藏品的2000多元“亏损”,与普通藏品绑售的黄金月卡销量相比,简直是九牛一毛。

而7777份藏品中,有7581份藏品是面向市场销售的,这也意味着,51.55万元的销售额无论如何也能覆盖总价值25万元的爱奇艺会员。至于IP授权方和藏品平台如何分成,自有双方的“商业机密”作保。但对于用户来说,高于黄金月卡38元的“狂飙”藏品面向市场时,爱奇艺的会员便不是“免费”的奖励了。

正如爱奇艺的CEO龚宇所说,虚拟资产确实创造了增收方式。现在看来还不仅如此,用数藏捆绑会员的这笔生意经,性价比极高,1小时之内,7777份“狂飙”藏品就售罄了。

2023年才刚走完第2个月,爱奇艺就“创新地”将视频会员搭售进数字藏品,卖会员的心思也是非常迫切了。

确实,会员收入在最近4年已经逐渐变成爱奇艺的营收主力军。

2月22日,爱奇艺发布2022年第四季度及全年的财报,连续12年亏损的爱奇艺终于在营收上扭亏为盈。而数据显示,全年总营收的290亿元中,会员服务营收的177亿元占比超61%; 从2019年到2021年,会员收入占爱奇艺总收入的比重分别为49.66%、55.56%和54.58%。

爱奇艺连续4年的会员及营收数据

image.png

会员营收的比重越来越大,爱奇艺会员数的增长却尽显疲态。历年财报数据显示,2020年,会员订阅人数为1.017亿,2019年同期为1.069亿,到2021年,会员数量一度跌破1亿,终于在2022年,爱奇艺的会员数翻了盘,涨至1.2亿。

从2019年到2021年,爱奇艺的会员营收一直在涨,分别为144亿元、165亿元和167亿元,但对照会员数不难发现,收入涨了,会员没咋增,甚至还少了。

这就不得不提到该平台在2020年11月和2021年12月连续两年涨价会员费用的事,仅黄金月卡的连续包月价,就从每月15元涨到了22元,一度饱受用户诟病“加价不加量”,赶上热播剧,想早点看到大结局,还得付费来一次“超前点播”。

到了2022年12月,22元的黄金VIP连续包月又涨到了25元,涨价和爆款吸睛两个“大法”双双发挥效力,终于让爱奇艺实现了会员数和营收的双增长。

如果测算会员对会员营收的平均贡献值, 2022年,1.2亿会员创造的177亿会员营收,平均贡献价值为147.5元,反而不及跌破1亿人数的2021年,那年,9700万会员平均每人为爱奇艺贡献了172元的会员费。

在营收上扭亏为盈的爱奇艺,事实上仍然面临着增长压力,会员涨价难免带来被部分用户抛弃的风险,产出爆款也存在可遇不可求的不确定性。如此局面下,压缩成本创收就成了爱奇艺的必要之选。

如今,爱奇艺盯上了“一张图片动辄发行上万个藏品”的数藏市场,相比投入颇大的巨制剧集,这的确是一种性价比极高的创收方式。热衷炒作的数藏玩家也许不会在乎绑售的爱奇艺会员有没有溢价,但在政策规范还不明朗的环境下,爱打二级市场“擦边球”的数藏平台也是监管风险颇高的领域,平台跑路的客诉在“黑猫”投诉上屡见不鲜。

绑定数藏扩大会员市场,爱奇艺需要选好合作方。“套娃”炒作的促销高效,但犯险“擦枪”也极易走火,搞不好连IP价值也会折进去。

来源:元宇宙日爆

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