Аналитики назвали «неизбежным» рост биткоина

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2022-06-09Last updated on 2024-08-09

Ралли первой криптовалюты «неизбежно», поскольку монета ожидает данных по инфляции в США на следующей неделе. Об этом заявили аналитики Matrixport.

#MatrixportOnTarget Report📊-Aug 9: #Bitcoin is Oversold — A Relief Rally May Be Imminent🌞#Matrixport #cryptocurrency #Crypto #BTC #RSI #MarketWatch pic.twitter.com/HPaNNp2CzG
— Matrixport Official English (the only official X) (@Matrixport_EN) August 9, 2024

«Сейчас биткоин перепродан. Исторически сложилось так, что монета имеет тенденцию к восстановлению в таких условиях. Предстоящие данные по инфляции могут подстегнуть быков», — говорится в отчете.

Пока этот макроэкономический фактор остается ключевым для рисковых активов, в последнее время смещаясь «в сторону экономического роста и проблем на рынке труда», отметили в компании.

По мнению экспертов, трейдеры все еще могут позитивно отреагировать на снижение инфляции, особенно если она опустится ниже 3%.

«Защита портфелей с помощью недорогих пут-опционов или использование капитала с минимальным риском для покупки колл-опционов на повышение было эффективной стратегией для защиты биткоина в нестабильные времена. Как и в прошлом году, 30-дневная волатильность сократилась до 20%, а затем резко возросла», — подчеркнули в Matrixport.

Аналитики добавили, что неоднократно предупреждали о потенциальном снижении объемов торгов и ликвидности на рынке.

Они посоветовали следить за тем, покупают ли трейдеры на падении. Несмотря на значительный отток средств из USDC на прошлой неделе, более значительный приток на этой может указывать на повторный вход инвесторов.

При индексе относительной силы на уровне 30% может появиться возможность покупки, как и в июне 2024 года, считают исследователи.

Итоги коррекции

В Glassnode сообщили, что краткосрочные держатели первой криптовалюты несут самый большой нереализованный убыток с момента краха FTX. За это ответственен спад рынка в понедельник, когда биткоин просел до $49 000.

Short-Term Holders are currently holding the largest unrealized loss since the FTX implosion, which again highlights a point of serious investor stress imposed by current market conditions. pic.twitter.com/7hHbu2C7ZP
— glassnode (@glassnode) August 8, 2024

По мнению экспертов, это в очередной подчеркивает «серьезный стресс» инвесторов, вызванный текущими рыночными условиями.

Позднее Glassnode опубликовала данные, согласно которым распродажа вызвала всплеск паники среди трейдеров, и участники рынка зафиксировали около $1,38 млрд реализованных убытков.

The sell-off triggered a surge in panic by investors, with around $1.38B in realized losses locked in by market participants. In absolute terms, this is the 13th largest event in history on a USD denominated basis. pic.twitter.com/mPf09pG8Qk
— glassnode (@glassnode) August 9, 2024

В долларовом выражении это 13 по величине объем потерь в истории, добавили аналитики.

Криптовалютный индекс страха и жадности демонстрирует значительную волатильность. 8 августа показатель составлял 20, а уже на следующий день вырос до 48 на фоне восстановления биткоина к $60 000.

Индекс страха и жадности. Данные: alternative.me.

Теханалитик под ником Ali назвал «неудивительной» панику на рынке, учитывая непредсказуемые движения цифрового золота. При этом он увидел в страхе инвесторов возможность для покупки.

No wonder why many are in extreme fear https://t.co/kWRuajWaB7
— Ali (@ali_charts) August 8, 2024

«Запомните, будьте жадными, пока другие бояться», — посоветовал он.

Основатель MN Trading Михаэль ван де Поппе обратил внимание на V-образное восстановление биткоина.

#Bitcoin did provide a V-Shape recovery, through which this correction and crash due to Jump Trading selling crypto assets is comparable to COVID-19 —> A Black Swan.

As long as Bitcoin holds above $57,500, I think we're in for a new ATH in September/October. pic.twitter.com/9evOPEa3RB
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) August 9, 2024

Пока первая криптовалюта держится выше $57 500, эксперт ожидает новый максимум в сентябре или октябре.

На момент написания биткоин торгуется около $60 000, за сутки прибавив 4,7%.

15-минутный график BTC/USDT биржи Binance. Данные: TradingView.

Ранее в QCP Capital зафиксировали значительные покупки декабрьских коллов-опционов.

Напомним, аналитики Bitfinex назвали биткоин активом-убежищем в свете рисков рецессии.

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