Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-01-19Last updated on 2024-01-19

Abstract

每月有22,411名活跃的开源开发者为加密行业做出贡献,月活跃开发者数量下降24%。30%的开发者支持多条链,比2015年的3%增长了10倍。

原文作者:Electric Capital

原文编译:Felix, PANews(本文有所删减)

要点

虽然月活开发人员总体下降了 24% ,但最有价值的部分开发人员(任职 2 年以上,贡献最多代码的人)继续稳步增长。

  • 进入加密领域 2 年以上的开发者过去 5 年的年增长率为 52% ,达到了历史最高水平。

  • 从事加密货币工作超过 1 年的开发者同比增长 16% ,占所有月度活跃开发者的 63% 。

  • 相比之下,进入加密市场不到 1 年的新人同比下降了 52% 。

  • 开发人员总体数量的流失可归因于 2022 年加入并退出的新开发者数量创下纪录。

加密市场目前显然多链格局。

  • 30% 的开发者不止支持一条链,比 2015 年的 3% 增加了 10 倍。

  • 支持 3 条链以上的开发者在 2023 年增长到所有开发者的 17% ,创历史新高。

  • 开发人员的增长在各个项目之间并不相关。有些项目获得了开发人员,而另一些项目则失去了开发人员。开发人员正在用脚投票,选出他们认为能够提供真正效用的项目。

加密市场是全球性的,美国开发者份额继续下降。

  • 72% 的开发者位于北美以外。

  • 自 2018 年以来,美国的开发者份额下降了 14% ,目前仅占加密开发者的 26% 。

  • 自 2018 年以来,南亚、拉丁美洲、东欧、西非和南欧的开发商份额总体增长了 20% 。

开发者概览

每月有 22, 411 名活跃的开源开发者为加密行业做出贡献。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

2023 年月活跃开发者数量下降 24% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

但在加密领域工作 1 年以上的开发人员稳步增长。按任期对开发人员进行细分显示,新兴开发者(1-2 年)和成熟开发者(2 年以上)数量均稳步增长。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

经验丰富的开发人员(1 年以上)在 2023 年增长 16% (+ 1, 925)。这反映出除新人之外的开发者增加了 1, 925 名。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

经验丰富的开发人员编写更多代码: 75% 的代码是由工作 1 年以上的开发人员创建。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

在加密领域工作 1 年以上的开发人员始终比新人贡献更多。成熟开发者和新兴开发者的代码提交量平均是新开发者(不足 1 年)的 3 倍。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

过去 5 年,成熟开发者每年增长 52% ,并创历史新高。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

流失的开发者来自任期最短的开发者:新入职开发者流失 52% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

新开发者数量变动和行情变化相符, 2022 年 90, 330 名开发者加入加密领域。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

2022 年加密市值创下历史新高后,每月有超 6500 名新人加入加密领域。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

2023 年进入熊市,几乎每个月都有超过 3000 名开发者加入。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

为多条链部署的开发者渐增

许多开发人员现在为多条区块链做出贡献。2023 年 34% 的开发者为多条链开发,其中 8.2% 的开发者支持五条或更多链。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

自 2015 年以来,多链开发者数量增长 10 倍。2015 年 1 月,只有 3% 的月活跃开发者支持多链。2018 年之后的几年里,多链月度活跃开发者增长 125% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

30% 的开发者已经在 2 条或更多链上工作了 3 年。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

开发 3 条链及以上的开发者数量处于历史最高水平(占开发者总量的 17% )。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

2018 年多数多链开发人员都在比特币闪电网络和以太坊、波卡上工作。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

如今,开发人员正在构建多个互联的生态集群。随着时间的推移,更多的生态正在共享更多的开发人员。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

目前,以太坊与 Polygon、BNB、Arbitrum 和 Optimism 共享最多开发者。其中,以太坊与 26 条链共享 6 名以上的全职开发人员。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

EVM 兼容链与其他 EVM 链共享开发人员。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

根据多链开发人员是否从事以下工作来对其进行细分:仅 EVM 链、仅非 EVM 链或两者的混合。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

87% 的多链开发人员至少在 1 条 EVM 链上工作。只有 13% 的多链开发人员在非 EVM 链上工作。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

BNB Chain 与以太坊共享多链 39% 的部署者,Polygon 为 36% ,Avalanche 最低,为 18% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

37% 的以太坊多链开发者也参与部署 BNB Chain;35% 的以太坊多链开发者参与部署 Polygon。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

30% 的 Optimism 多链开发者参与开发 Arbitrum,只有 13% 的 Arbitrum 多链开发者参与开发 Optimism。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

24% 的 Arbitrum 多链开发者参与部署以太坊, 11% 的以太坊多链开发者参与部署 Arbitrum。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

Avalanche 开发者更有可能参与部署 BNB Chain、Polygon 和以太坊,而非 ETH L2。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

如今, 79% 的加密开发人员致力于比特币、以太坊或网络价值排名前 200 名的加密生态系统。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

比特币和以太坊占所有加密开发人员的 40% ,这个数字自 2015 年以来一直保持稳定。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

1, 071 名每月活跃开发者支持比特币, 2023 年月度活跃开发者下降 19% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

成熟开发者稳定增长:成熟开发者比新人多 80% 。

成熟开发者稳定增长 7% ,新人下降 48% ,新兴开发者下降 6% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

7, 864 名每月活跃开发者支持以太坊。2023 年月度活跃开发者下降 25% 。大多数离开的开发者都是新人(55% ),而成熟开发者则增长 37% ,而新兴开发者则持平。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

9, 357 名月活跃开发者在比特币和以太坊之外的前 200 个生态系统中工作,同比下降 31% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

2023 年第 4 季度与 2022 年第 4 季度对比,拥有多达 5, 500 名开发人员的生态系统:Avalanche (-5% )、Celo (-11% )、Optimism (-16% )、Arbitrum (-16% )、Polkadot (-20% ) 和 Cosmos (-21% ) 流失了开发人员。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

NEAR (-33% )、BNB (-40% )、Polygon (-42% ) 和 Solana (-48% ) 由于 2022 年的高增长而表现低于基准。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

Scroll ( 453% )、ICP (+ 37% )、zkSync (+ 32% )、Starknet (+ 30% )和 Moonbeam (+ 5% )获得了开发者的青睐。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

Aztec (+ 221% )、Celestia (+ 180% )、Aleo (+ 167% )、TON (+ 37% )、Metis (+ 33% )、Status (+ 31% )、Chainlink (+ 15% ) 和 NOSTR (+ 2% ) 也获得了开发者的青睐。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

自上次熊市以来,开发者数量显著增长:每月增加 6, 076 名开发者。自 2020 年以来年增长率为 30% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

其中, 3, 611 名每月活跃开发者从事 DeFi。2023 年 DeFi 开发者数量下降 22% 。57% 离开的开发人员是兼职开发人员。自 2020 年 9 月以来,每月都有超 300 名新开发者加入 DeFi。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

开发者逐渐遍布全球

目前, 72% 的加密开发者居住在北美以外, 74% 的加密开发人员居住在美国境外,印度加密开发者占 12% ,而英国、德国和法国各占超 5% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

尽管开发者生态系统比 2018 年增长了 2 倍,但美国的开发者份额却损失了 14% (2018 年为 40% , 2023 年为 26% )。

2018 年以来开发商分布发生显着变化。美国、德国、澳大利亚、英国和加拿大的占比下降,而印度、尼日利亚、法国和阿根廷的占比上升。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

自 2018 年起开发者撤离北美和欧洲。许多新兴市场的占比有所增加,而北美、北欧和西欧的占比则有所下降。自 2018 年以来,北美、北欧和西欧、澳大利亚和太平洋地区以及东亚的占比总计下降 23% ;南亚、拉丁美洲、东欧、西非和南欧的占比合计增长 20% 。

Electric Capital 2023年开发者报告:开发者数量整体下降24%

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