SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-01-16Last updated on 2024-01-16

Abstract

昨天美国休市,市场整体较为平静。在亚洲方面,尽管中国银行贷款疲软导致社会融资规模进一步放缓,且CPI和PPI目前都处于通缩区间,但中国人民银行本月出人意料地保持MLF利率不变,令市场感到失望,中国股市的表现仍持续落后于全球市场。

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

昨天美国休市,市场整体较为平静。在亚洲方面,尽管中国银行贷款疲软导致社会融资规模进一步放缓,且 CPI 和 PPI 目前都处于通缩区间,但中国人民银行本月出人意料地保持 MLF 利率不变,令市场感到失望,中国股市的表现仍持续落后于全球市场。

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

说到通货紧缩,根据高盛估计,自 2022 - 2023 年以来,全球核心通胀已大幅放缓,落至平均 2% ,市场并没有忽视这一点,对 2024 年降息幅度的定价不断加大,将央行逼入必须实施宽松政策的境地,然而,与此同时,全球航运成本因红海冲突而开始飙升,且原油与通胀的相关性保持在历史高点附近,此外,依然强劲的企业获利和零售销售可能会为通胀提供支撑,而市场目前对通胀复苏并没有充分准备,这是我们今年要牢记的一点。

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

SignalPlus宏观研报(20240116):市场平静

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:xdengalin)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。

SignalPlus Official Website:https://www.signalplus.com

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