Bitcoin Sinks Below 25K, Altcoins Tumble, as Investors Shrug Off Fed Rate Hike Pause

CoinDeskPublished on 2023-06-15Last updated on 2023-06-15

Abstract

Ether declined more than 3% to $1,650 less than three hours after the Fed ended its more than year-long diet of interest rate increases. ADA plunged more than 5%, while SOL and Matic each dropped over 4%.

Ether declined more than 3% to $1,650 less than three hours after the Fed ended its more than year-long diet of interest rate increases. ADA plunged more than 5%, while SOL and Matic each dropped over 4%.

Bitcoin Sinks Below 25K, Altcoins Tumble, as Investors Shrug Off Fed Rate Hike Pause

Ether declined more than 3% to $1,650 less than three hours after the Fed ended its more than year-long diet of interest rate increases. ADA plunged more than 5%, while SOL and Matic each dropped over 4%.

Bitcoin fell to about $24,990 on Wednesday, as investors shrugged off the U.S. central bank’s widely expected halt to a more than year-long diet of interest rate hikes. Major altcoins took a late afternoon dive to sink into negative territory.

The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was recently trading down 3.2% over the past 24 hours after a late afternoon (ET) drop that sent the asset to its lowest level since mid March. BTC has largely been treading water nearer $26,000 for most of the past five days as investors weighed the initial impact of Securities and U.S. Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuits against crypto exchange giants Binance and Coinbase, Fed monetary policy signals and other macroeconomic uncertainties.

“The Fed has left rates unchanged, which was expected by the market given the macroeconomic situation,” Joe DiPasquale, CEO of crypto asset manager BitBull Capital, wrote in a note to CoinDesk. “The initial move has been toward the downside, since the Fed indicated that this pause is likely not going to last.”

DiPasquale added: “From a markets perspective, as long as Bitcoin maintains $25K, we should continue to see consolidation.”

Ether was recently changing hands at $1,650, down 5.1% from Tuesday, same time, also hitting a three-month low. Other major cryptos mentioned in the SEC actions plunged late with ADA, the token of the Cardano blockchain recently down more than 5% but SOL and MATIC, the native cryptos of the Solana and Polygon smart contract networks, each off more than 3%. The CoinDesk Market Index, a measure of crypto markets overall performance, was recently trading sideways. The CoinDesk Bitcoin and Ether Trend Indicators maintained their days-long stances in downtrend territory, reflecting ongoing investor skittishness.

Still, indicator was pointing bullishly. A price pattern called "throwback" has emerged on bitcoin's daily chart that could recharge bulls' engines for a rally toward $37,000, according to Valkyrie Investments. In technical analysis, a throwback is a price drop to a former breakout level or resistance-turned-support. After a breakout, prices rally for some days before losing upward momentum and returning to the breakout point. More often than not, prices surge after the throwback is completed, Thomas Bulkowski detailed in his book "Visual Guide to Chart Patterns."

Meanwhile, equity indexes fell amid longer-term concerns that the current rate increase cessation will be temporary as the Fed focuses on cutting inflation to a longstanding 2.5% target. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 inched up ever-so-slightly but the Dow Jones Industrial Average sank 0.7%.

Still, in an email to CoinDesk, Markus Levin, co-founder of blockchain geospatial oracle system XYO Network, struck an upbeat note, writing that “the global macro setup is shifting significantly,” with the “rate-hike pause the clearest indication yet of this shift. Inflation is falling fast. Global central banks are injecting liquidity to stimulate their economies. And now the focus is on growth and whether we’ll actually experience a broad-based and deep recession.”

Levin added that bitcoin and other digital assets have “likely already hit the bottom.”

“I expect there to be sideways action for BTC and other coins for some months ahead, punctuated by bouts of volatility,” he wrote. “When the BTC halving kicks in next year, however, then I think we’re off to the races.”

Related Reads

Japanese Rates Return to 1996 Levels, Can Bitcoin Withstand the September Rate Hike?

Japanese borrowing costs have hit their highest levels since 1996, with yields on 30-year bonds reaching 4.185%. This marks a significant shift for a country long reliant on negative rates. Concurrently, Bitcoin surged 22% past $80,000, seemingly decoupled from the bond market turmoil. Historically, the massive yen carry trade has fueled global risk assets, predicated on near-zero Japanese rates. This assumption is now challenged. A potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan in September could strengthen the yen, forcing carry trade unwinds and potentially triggering a global deleveraging event, as seen in August 2024 when Bitcoin fell sharply. Conversely, if the yen weakens further, Bitcoin could attract Japanese investors as a hedge against currency depreciation and the country's massive debt burden. Institutional adoption in Japan is growing, with regulatory changes paving the way for potential crypto ETFs by 2027. The key variable is the BoJ's September policy signal. If it hints at a rapid tightening cycle to combat inflation and support the yen, risk assets like Bitcoin may face selling pressure from carry trade liquidation. However, if debt sustainability concerns limit its hawkishness, leading to a weaker yen, Bitcoin could benefit. Currently, the market is betting on a slow-motion debt crisis, not a sudden collapse. While Bitcoin shows resilience, its fate remains tied to the direction of the yen and the scale of any carry trade unwind.

marsbit4m ago

Japanese Rates Return to 1996 Levels, Can Bitcoin Withstand the September Rate Hike?

marsbit4m ago

How Can Bitcoin Resist Quantum Computers? A Comparison of Three Lattice-Based Signature Schemes

"Bitcoin's Quantum Defense: A Comparison of Three Lattice-Based Signature Schemes" by the Blockstream Research Team explores how Bitcoin can transition to quantum-resistant digital signatures, as current schemes like Schnorr and ECDSA are vulnerable to quantum computers. The report evaluates three lattice-based signature candidates—Dilithium, Falcon, and Hawk—against criteria like on-chain cost (key/signature size), implementation complexity, deployment risks, and support for Bitcoin's key derivation standard (BIP-32). The analysis recommends a minimum Security Level 3 for Bitcoin due to its long-term security needs. Dilithium (ML-DSA) is praised for its simplicity and integer-only operations, making it easier to implement securely, but it has the largest signature size (~5.3 KB for Level 3). Falcon (FN-DSA) offers the most compact signatures (e.g., ~3.1 KB for Level 5) and the fastest verification, though its signing requires complex floating-point sampling—a solvable engineering challenge. Hawk, despite its small size, was withdrawn from NIST standardization after a security vulnerability was discovered, highlighting the importance of conservative security margins. Currently, neither Dilithium nor Falcon has a fully viable, production-ready BIP-32 key derivation method. The report concludes that if a lattice-based scheme had to be chosen now, Falcon-1024 would be the preferred option for its balance of size, speed, and mature security assumptions. However, the short-term recommendation remains hash-based signatures (like SPHINCS+) for their lower risk, with a potential future hybrid or full transition to Falcon once its standard (FN-DSA) is finalized and well-supported.

marsbit6m ago

How Can Bitcoin Resist Quantum Computers? A Comparison of Three Lattice-Based Signature Schemes

marsbit6m ago

Trading

Spot
活动图片