67% of Cardano holders underwater and most bought less than 1 year ago

CointelegraphPublished on 2022-04-08Last updated on 2022-04-08

Abstract

As Cardano (ADA) prices fall back towards the psychological one dollar level, more and more investors are finding themselves with unrealized losses by holding on to the digital asset.

As Cardano (ADA) prices fall back towards the psychological one dollar level, more and more investors are finding themselves with unrealized losses by holding on to the digital asset.
Cardano’s ADA token has had a bearish week. The price has fallen 11.4% since Monday resulting in more holders being in the red. More significantly, ADA is now 64.7% below its September 2 all-time high of $3.09 and is in danger of falling below a dollar over the next few days should the trend continue.
According to IntoTheBlock’s “in/out of the money” indicator, more than two-thirds, or 67% of ADA holders, are underwater. A quarter of Cardano investors are in the green, and 9% of them are at a breakeven point.
The indicator identifies the average cost at which the tokens were purchased and compares it to the current price, which was $1.09 at the time of writing.
The analytics provider reported that 3.41 million ADA addresses are in the red compared to just 1.25 million in the green.

In/Out of the Money: IntoTheBlockA related metric is the amount of time the token has been held. The vast majority, or 76% of ADA holders, have held it for between one and 12 months. Just 11% of Cardano investors have held the token for more than a year, and those are the ones that are still in profit.
From a technical standpoint, ADA has turned bearish and could quite quickly revisit its 2022 and yearly low point of around $0.80, which occurred in mid-March. This would plunge even more investors into the red unless they sell at a loss.
The slide in prices could be tied to the network not living up to high expectations set around the launch of smart contracts.  In terms of the numbers of decentralized applications (DApps), Cardano is still something of a wasteland with DeFi Llama reporting that there are just ten DeFi protocols running on the network with a combined total value locked of around $233 million.
Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson however believes that many Cardano dApps are waiting for the Vasil hard fork in June to launch. The "Basho" phase of the Cardano upgrade roadmap will focus on scalability and smart contracts with new technology called Hydra to boost network throughput even further.
In terms of other fundamenta Cardano is looking relatively strong. Network demand surged to record capacity earlier this year when the much-hyped SundaeSwap decentralized exchange was launched.
Santiment reported that Cardano was the most developed crypto project on GitHub in 2021, and Cardano NFT bonds were unveiled this week, providing another investment vehicle on the network.
However, unless there is a significant turnaround in trading sentiment, the ADA selloff may start to accelerate, putting more holders deeper underwater.

Related Reads

Should You Buy SpaceX Stock at $1.7 Trillion? Here's What the Market Is Worried About

SpaceX is preparing for a massive IPO aiming to raise around $75 billion at a valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion. While its achievements in reusable rockets and the profitable Starlink satellite internet service are clear, the market is concerned about the aggressive valuation. Key issues include: the current $1.75 trillion valuation, which is about 94 times 2025 revenue, seems to price in not just existing businesses but also unproven future ventures like AI infrastructure and orbital data centers. Financially, while Starlink is profitable, the AI division, bolstered by the acquisition of xAI, is incurring massive losses and consuming the majority of capital expenditures. This acquisition also introduced complex related-party financing arrangements and debt onto SpaceX's balance sheet. Furthermore, corporate governance poses a challenge. SpaceX's dual-class share structure ensures founder Elon Musk retains absolute control, limiting ordinary shareholders' influence over high-risk, long-term strategic decisions. The future success of ambitious projects like the Starship rocket—critical for lowering costs and enabling new services—remains a significant variable for the valuation. In summary, the market's apprehension (FUD) centers not on doubting SpaceX's past technological triumphs but on questioning how much premium public investors should pay for a future that combines proven profits with highly speculative and capital-intensive new ventures, all under a governance structure that offers limited shareholder oversight.

marsbit35m ago

Should You Buy SpaceX Stock at $1.7 Trillion? Here's What the Market Is Worried About

marsbit35m ago

Breaking the DeFi Cascading Liquidation Curse: Vitalik Proposes a New Solution

Vitalik Buterin has proposed a new DeFi design to eliminate the automatic liquidation mechanism that causes market instability during sharp downturns. The current system, used by protocols like Aave, triggers forced sales when collateral value falls below a threshold, often exacerbating price drops and creating systemic selling pressure. Buterin's alternative model is based on splitting an asset like ETH into two synthetic option-like tokens, P and N, pegged to a price index. Their combined value always equals one ETH. Instead of sudden liquidation, a position's value gradually drifts from its target peg if the market moves. Users must proactively rebalance their holdings to maintain their desired exposure, transferring the management burden from the protocol to the user or automated tools. A key advantage is the reduced reliance on real-time oracles. Pricing decisions are deferred until contract expiry, allowing for more robust, fault-tolerant oracle designs. This removes a clear liquidation threshold that speculators can target for manipulation or MEV extraction. However, significant challenges remain. Frequent rebalancing could incur high slippage and transaction costs, necessitating new liquidity provider models. The design is better suited for hedging instruments than for stablecoins requiring a rigid 1:1 peg. While not an immediate replacement for existing systems, the proposal challenges the foundational assumption that instantaneous forced liquidation is an unavoidable necessity in DeFi, opening the door for fundamentally different risk management architectures.

marsbit40m ago

Breaking the DeFi Cascading Liquidation Curse: Vitalik Proposes a New Solution

marsbit40m ago

The End of Single-Factor Cryptography

The article "The End of Single-Factor Crypto" posits a fundamental shift in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. It argues the era where crypto asset valuations were predominantly driven by, and correlated with, Bitcoin's price is ending. The space is bifurcating into two distinct economies: endogenous and exogenous. The endogenous economy represents traditional crypto, where token and project values are directly tied to crypto market prices. The emerging exogenous economy comprises projects and businesses that may utilize blockchain technology or tokens but derive their fundamental value from external, non-crypto factors like consumer demand, subscription revenue, or real-world utility. Examples include AI inference platforms like Venice, fintech lenders using blockchain for efficiency, and stablecoin/payment infrastructure companies acquired by giants like Mastercard and Stripe. This shift means investment analysis must change. For exogenous assets, evaluating traditional business fundamentals—such as revenue streams, unit economics, and competitive moats—becomes more critical than tracking Bitcoin charts. While endogenous assets like Bitcoin remain relevant, the growth of the exogenous category is driven by measurable demand independent of crypto price cycles, paving the way for a new, more diversified market phase. Consequently, crypto is evolving from a single-factor, reflexive asset class into a multifaceted ecosystem with varied drivers and investment theses.

marsbit40m ago

The End of Single-Factor Cryptography

marsbit40m ago

Morning Post | Bitmine Plans to Raise $300 Million Through Preferred Stock Issuance; Polymarket Accuses Kalshi of Commercial Espionage

ChainCatcher's Daily Crypto Brief: Key developments from the past 24 hours include significant funding moves, regulatory actions, and market predictions. Bitmine announced a $300 million preferred stock fundraising. Polymarket accused rival prediction platform Kalshi of corporate espionage, citing numerous suspicious coincidences in product launches, a claim Kalshi strongly denied. The U.S. Department of Justice, in a joint "Disruption Week" anti-fraud operation with companies like Coinbase and Meta, froze over $3.8 million in cryptocurrency linked to scams. In infrastructure news, Macau completed its integration with the multi-central bank digital currency bridge, mBridge, aiming to build efficient cross-border payment channels. Cosmos Labs acquired the block explorer Mintscan. Market-wise, Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research, stated Bitcoin is nearing a bottom around $63,000, maintaining a year-end target of $100,000. He noted stability in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF holdings. Ahead of SpaceX's anticipated IPO, internal insiders at Rocket Lab (RKLB) sold over $18.41 million in stock. In tokenization, Goldman Sachs partnered with Apex and Archax to launch a tokenized real estate fund. The meme token tracker GMGN reported the top trending tokens: on Ethereum, HEX, SHIB, LINK, PEPE, mUSD; on Solana, TROLL, swarms, WORLDCUP, neet, Buttcoin; and on Base, PEPE, toby, ODDS, ELSA, SKI.

链捕手54m ago

Morning Post | Bitmine Plans to Raise $300 Million Through Preferred Stock Issuance; Polymarket Accuses Kalshi of Commercial Espionage

链捕手54m ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片