ETH价格跑赢BTC价格，这意味着什么？

Tap Chi BitcoinPublished on 2023-05-26Last updated on 2023-05-26

Abstract

在过去的四个星期里，以太坊 (ETH) 的价格跑赢了比特币 (BTC)，尽管ETH/USD 的价格有所下跌。

每日时间框架的波数和技术指标表明，它将继续跑赢BTC，达到 2018 年以来的新高。

ETH/ BTC对每周时间框架的技术分析喜忧参半。自 2021 年 5 月以来，价格一直在 0.055 英镑至 0.078 英镑之间交易。

交易区间是一个中性信号，因为价格通常在支撑线和阻力线之间波动，然后最终走出区间。

价格可能在下降的平行通道内交易。即便如此，该模式的支撑线尚未得到充分验证。

然而，与支撑线不同的是，中线已经过多次验证（绿色图标）。因此，如果价格继续维持在通道的上半部分，突破的可能性很大。

此外，每周 RSI 的结果喜忧参半。通过使用 RSI 作为动量指标，交易者可以XEM处于超买或超卖状态，从而决定是增持还是卖出资产。

如果 RSI 高于 50 并且呈上升趋势，则多头具有优势，但如果指标低于 50，则相反。该指标看涨但仍低于 50，没有提供趋势方向的线索。

每周ETH/ BTC图表 |资料来源： TradingView

出于几个原因，每日时间框架前景提供了看涨的前景。

第一，浪数表明价格已经见底。使用艾略特波浪理论，技术分析师检查长期价格模式和投资者情绪以确定趋势的方向。

根据浪的数量，价格完成了ABC修正结构（白色），其中B浪呈三角形。

修正恰好在 0.618 斐波拉契回撤位结束，这一事实进一步支持了这种可能性。

接下来，每日 RSI 形成看涨背离并保持在 50 水平上方，这是另一个看涨信号。

因此，该货币对很可能已经见底，强势反弹在即。

由于ETH是加密市场中最大的竞争币，它的上涨将导致比特币支配率 (BTC.D) 下降。这可能会在短期内引发一波将 FOMO 转化为竞争币。

ETH/ BTC日线图|资料来源： TradingView

尽管有这种看涨预测，但跌破 C 波低点 0.062 英镑将意味着趋势仍然看跌。

在这种情况下，最有可能跌至 0.058 英镑的支撑区域。

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