【研报精选】从 Meme 到加密货币:探究 PEPE 的奇特历程与风险挑战

投研第一线Published on 2023-05-05Last updated on 2023-05-09

Abstract

PEPE Memecoin 在推出三周后市值超过 4.2 亿美元,在加密市场引起了一定的轰动。许多人将 PEPE 与其他 Memecoin(例如 SHIB、DOGE、FLOKI 等)进行比较,但只有时间才能证明这种源于 Meme 的 Token 是否会继续存在。

Memecoin 似乎是加密行业周期性市场波动的必备产物,时不时地,就有一个全新的 Memecoin 被市场炒作起来。

比如最近大火的 PEPE Memecoin,面世不到几周,就进入了前 100 名,总市值高达 4 亿美元。

在本篇文章中,我们将解读 PEPE Memecoin 是什么?以及相关的背景故事。

什么是 Memecoin?

Meme 已成为互联网上的元老级元素(Meme,中文翻译「迷因」,指一种通过互联网快速传播的思想或文化、风格图片等)。从 Web1 早期就已经存在,并且会在未来很长一段时间内继续存在。

因此 Meme 进入加密行业也就不足为奇了。虽然大多数 Token 倾向于专注于某种实用性,但 Memecoin 专注于通过 Meme 的病毒性传播速度来达到疯传的效果。

具体例子有狗狗币 (DOGE),它是第一个引起大众注的 Memecoin,而且随着时间的发展,在加密资产中的地位越发坚固,其他的有包括像 SHIB、FLOKI 等。

而现在,PEPE Memecoin 的火爆程度,可能是其他 Memecoin 之前从未有过的。

PEPE Memecoin 的发展历史

PEPE Memecoin 于 2023 年 4 月中旬推出,在区块浏览器 Etherscan 上的第一个入口点是 4 月 18 日。

不到三周后,该加密资产的市值超过 4.2 亿美元,总市值跻身前 100 名 Token 之列。

在撰写本文时,PEPE 已经入驻火币、MEXC、OKX 等主要交易平台。除此之外,它还可以在多个 DEX(例如 Uniswap)上使用。

1.什么是 PEPE Memecoin?

根据官方网站,PEPE memecoin 的设计寓意「现存最容易让人记住的 Memecoin」,同时多次提到其他流行的 Token,例如 SHIB、FLOKI、DOGE 等。

按照设计,PEPE 没有内在价值,这在网站上有明确说明:「PEPE 是一种没有内在价值或财务回报预期的 Memecoin。没有正式的团队或路线图,可以说完全没用,仅供娱乐。

不过这在加密领域并不是什么新鲜事,毕竟过去出现的很多种 Memecoins,都没有提出任何声明,也直接警告用户它们没有任何价值。

2.与 Pepe the Frog Meme 的联系

虽然依靠流行的 Meme 进行病毒式传播,但 PEPE 背后的团队声称与 Pepe the Frog 并无任何关联:「PEPE Coin 与 Matt Furie 和他的创作 Pepe the Frog Meme 没有任何关联。」

图源:维基百科

相反——PEPE Coin 的远景是「向我们都喜爱和认可的 Memecoin 致敬」。

关于 Pepe the Frog,简单介绍一下,它是由漫画家 Matt Furie 创作的卡通人物。Pepe 于 2005 年在 Furie 的漫画《Boy’s Club》中首次亮相。2008 年,Pepe 被 4chan 相中,作为表情包在 4chan 上传播开来。

3.PEPE Memecoin 的目的和愿景

在开玩笑说没有任何计划时,该团队以三个不同的路线图阶段的形式提出了三个阶段式发展期望,如下官网截图所示:

该页面显示,在阶段一路线包括:

发布

上线 CoinGecko/Coinmarketcap 市值排名

1 千 + 持有者

用 Meme 力量在推特上获取传播趋势

阶段二路线包括:

实现社区伙伴关系 Pepe 时报 数字通讯

组建持有者 Discord 社群等

CEX 上 1 万 + 持有者

阶段三路线包括:

PEPE 商品

PEPE 学院

PEPE 工具

上市 T1 交易平台

10 万 + 持有者

PEPE 收购

PEPE 总供应量为近 4207 亿(420,690,000,000,000),实际上,这个数字是在向流行的 Meme 数字 4:20 和 69 致敬(特定文化中这几个数字有特定含义)。

目前根据官方网站,93.1% 的 PEPE 供应已被发送到流动资金池,其余 6.9% 存放在一个多重签名钱包中,将用于未来在 CEX、LP 的上市,另外可以使用 ENS 名称「pepecexwallet.eth」跟踪此钱包。

4.PEPE Memecoin 生态系统

PEPE Memecoin 生态系统人数与日俱增。根据 Etherescan 的数据,在 5 月 1 日撰写本文时,也就是首次推出两周后,持有者人数已经拥超过 65,000 。

资料来源:Etherscan

其官方 Telegram 群组拥有超过 25,000 名成员和每天数十万条的消息。它的官方推特虽然是在 4 月份创建的,但截止目前(5 月 3 日)已经拥有超过 19 万名粉丝。

风险与挑战

与大多数倾向于传播病毒的 Memecoin 一样,PEPE 也有一些风险和挑战。

1.市场波动

PEPE 自创建以来一直是最不稳定的加密资产之一,价格波动巨大。例如,5 月 1 日,它的价格翻了一番多,当天涨幅超过 100%。虽然这听起来特别有吸引力,但同样重要的是要注意它会带来一系列风险。

在加密领域有一句流行的说法是这样的:「价格上涨如爬楼梯,下跌如坐电梯。」

这表明,虽然 PEPE 看起来「只会上涨」,但也可能会很快失去所有全部价值。请注意,创作者自己已经说过它没有内在价值,所以它的价值基本上取决于人们愿意为此付出多少。这在圈内并非罕见,而且价值的概念本身就是一种社会建构,但风险尤其会随着新铸造的 Memecoin 而放大。

此外,许多 CEX 还存在缺乏必要的流动性来兑现收益相关的问题。这意味着即使有人能够完成一生中最重要的交易,他们也可能没有足够的流动性来弥补他们的头寸。

举个例子,某人将 27 美元的 PEPE 投资变成了惊人的 100 万美元,但由于各种与流动性相关的问题而无法完全兑现。

当然,如果 PEPE 经受住时间的考验,并在流动性往往更深的更集中的交易平台上市,这种担忧可能会消退。

2.安全风险

Memecoin 越受欢迎,相关骗局就越多。例如,这是来自官方 PEPE Telegram 群的消息:

一些社区成员就我们的部署程序钱包和 CEX 钱包中发生的 dusting/token scams(网络攻击)与我们联系:任何人都可以攻击交易并将这些 Token 发送到我们的钱包。如果真这样做的话,每一枚 Coin 都是骗局。许多黑客正在攻击我们的钱包,使其看起来像我们进行的 airdrop 或 Token 交易,以诱骗人们进行互动。谨记!不要购买任何这些 Token 或与不明合约互动,以免造成财产损失。

一般来说,无论何时与 DeFi 生态系统进行交互,遵循一些基本的加密资产安全都是绝对必要的,这样可以尽可能地避免被骗。

小结

在推出后的短短两周内获得了超过 4 亿美元的总市值,PEPE Memecoin 无疑成功地在加密资产市场引起了轰动。

许多人将 PEPE 与其他 Memecoin(例如 SHIB、DOGE、FLOKI 等)进行比较,但只有时间才能证明这种源于 Meme 的 Token 是否会继续存在。

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