Losses Dominate Crypto Over The Weekend, Has The Bear Market Returned?

newsbtcPublished on 2023-04-25Last updated on 2023-04-25

Abstract

The crypto market was hit hard during the weekend as prices from Bitcoin to altcoins fell rapidly. During this time, there was also a decline in the trading volume and...

The crypto market was hit hard during the weekend as prices from Bitcoin to altcoins fell rapidly. During this time, there was also a decline in the trading volume and momentum in the market, which was partly responsible for the losses recorded. Now, with the new week, there is still a lot of skepticism in the market as Bitcoin’s decline below $30,000 could mean that the bear market is back in full force.
Crypto Fear & Greed Index Remains Neutral
One thing that highlights how investors are feeling when it comes to the market is the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. This index takes into account things such as social media sentiment, market momentum, volatility, etc, and with this, it provides a score based on a 1-100 scale.
Now, on this index, 1-25 marks extreme fear, which is when investors are very wary of the market. 26-50 is the fear territory but with less wariness from investors. 51-75 is greed, a region that shows investors are more likely to invest in the market. And finally, 76-100 is extreme greed when the euphoria is the highest in the market, usually seen in bull markets.

However, the 48-52 levels are usually reserved for the ‘neutral’ level which is where the index currently sits. At this level, investors are usually reeling from a price surge or crash, and it shows an unwillingness to make any further moves until there is a better-defined movement in the market.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index


Fear & Greed Index returns to neutral | Source: alternative.me
If the index continues to maintain its neutral territory, then the crypto market may see prices consolidate for a while until investors are confident enough again to start getting back into the market.

Could The Bear Market Be In Full Bloom?
Presently, the crypto market is still seeing sideways movement rather than a definite upward or downward movement. This only shows a lack of interest in the market right now and not a continuation of the bear trend of 2022.

Crypto total market cap chart from TradingView.com


Total market cap takes a hit during the weekend | Source: Crypto Total Market Cap on TradingView.com
Moreover, the total crypto market cap is still holding above $1 trillion which is a good sign for the market. Usually, a return to the bear market would see the total market cap fall below $1 trillion, and this would only happen if BTC were to fall below $20,000 once more.
Unless such a market cap is experienced, the current trend only signals a correction from the run-up to $30,000. Also, as long as BTC continues to maintain firmly above its 200-day moving average, the bull trend is still sustained on a long-term basis.
Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet… Featured image from Twitter, chart from TradingView.com

Related Reads

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

Grayscale Research identifies 15 top-revenue crypto protocols trading at significant valuation discounts, with many at single-digit or even 1x revenue multiples. Protocols like Pump.fun, PancakeSwap, and Meteora have market capitalizations roughly equal to their annual revenue. The report argues these financially-focused protocols (DEXs, lending, staking) are fundamentally undervalued and could benefit from the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, expected as soon as next month. This legislation aims to clarify digital asset regulation, potentially reducing institutional barriers and driving on-chain activity. The analysis breaks down the protocols into three groups: the "1x Club" (market cap ≈ revenue), mid-tier protocols with 3-9x multiples (e.g., Aave, Lido, Jupiter), and high-multiple protocols like Hyperliquid (15x) and Uniswap (37x), where valuation reflects future potential rather than current cash flows. Grayscale applies a traditional DCF model to Aave, suggesting a one-year price target of ~$175, representing ~130% upside from current levels. The report notes a risk-off macro environment since the Iran conflict has further compressed valuations, creating a potential entry window. The conclusion highlights that while the valuation data presents an intriguing opportunity, the investment thesis is contingent on the CLARITY Act's passage and subsequent institutional capital flows. Investors are cautioned to consider Grayscale's inherent conflict of interest as a crypto asset manager with products tied to these assets.

marsbit16m ago

Grayscale: These 15 Profitable Crypto Protocols Are Severely Undervalued

marsbit16m ago

Sam Altman's Personal Alchemy of Wealth: Investing in 400 Companies, Over 10 Deeply Tied to OpenAI

The article investigates Sam Altman's personal wealth strategy, centered around his investments in approximately 400 companies while serving as OpenAI's CEO. Despite not holding direct equity in OpenAI, Altman has built a vast portfolio, with at least 10 of his investments having commercial ties or ongoing negotiations with OpenAI. This creates a complex network of potential conflicts of interest, drawing scrutiny from U.S. congressional committees and state attorneys general. Key investments highlighted include the anti-aging startup Retro Biosciences (valued at $258 million for his stake as of late last year) and the chipmaker Cerebras, whose value soared following an OpenAI procurement deal. His most significant financial gain is linked to the nuclear fusion company Helion, where a recent funding round reportedly increased his stake's value to at least $4.1 billion. The article details a decade-long relationship between Altman, Helion, and OpenAI, including a controversial non-binding power purchase agreement and Altman's efforts to secure investments from OpenAI and its backer SoftBank for Helion. Other points include internal investigations at Tools for Humanity (developer of Worldcoin) and OpenAI's massive contracts with tech giants like Nvidia. According to Forbes, Altman's net worth is around $3.4 billion, ranking him 1251st globally—a rise of over 1400 places since 2024. OpenAI's board states that Altman's external dealings are transparent and potential conflicts are carefully managed.

Odaily星球日报37m ago

Sam Altman's Personal Alchemy of Wealth: Investing in 400 Companies, Over 10 Deeply Tied to OpenAI

Odaily星球日报37m ago

Former SpaceX Engineer Reconstructs Financial Execution System Using First Principles

Former SpaceX engineer Lex Li applies "First Principles Thinking" to financial infrastructure with Plan Execution Lab, recently raising angel funding at a $50M post-money valuation. The team argues that the core function of finance is capital allocation, and the critical gap is not in trading but in execution, which remains highly manual and fragmented. While assets, liquidity, and settlement have migrated on-chain, execution workflows (monitoring, risk management, liquidity coordination) are still human-native. In an era of accelerating AI agents, strategy decay is rapid, shifting the competitive edge from having the best strategy to having the most robust execution network. Plan Execution Lab introduces two core components: 1. **PlanX**: A Financial Execution Protocol designed as infrastructure for the migration from CEX to DEX, providing on-chain execution capabilities, liquidity access, risk management, and capital orchestration. 2. **Xgent**: An Autonomous Financial Runtime. Users define investment intents, risk preferences, and constraints; Xgent automatically constructs an execution graph, verifies it, and handles ongoing execution and optimization—streamlining the process from Intent to Autonomous Execution. The long-term vision is to create the "Bloomberg Terminal for Autonomous Finance"—a shared operating environment and execution network built collectively by participants like execution nodes, liquidity providers, and autonomous agents. The future of finance, they contend, belongs not to isolated algorithms but to open, collaborative execution networks.

marsbit1h ago

Former SpaceX Engineer Reconstructs Financial Execution System Using First Principles

marsbit1h ago

Former SpaceX Engineer Reconstructs Financial Execution System from First Principles

Plan Execution Lab, a financial infrastructure project founded by former SpaceX engineer Lex Li, has raised angel funding at a $50M post-money valuation. The startup is applying "first principles thinking" from Li's SpaceX experience to rethink financial market execution. Their analysis posits that while assets, liquidity, and settlement have moved on-chain, the execution layer remains fundamentally human-dependent and fragmented. In the era of AI Agents, strategy advantages decay rapidly, shifting the competitive edge from isolated algorithms to robust **execution networks**. Plan Execution Lab's solution is a two-part system: **PlanX**, a Financial Execution Protocol designed to facilitate the migration from centralized exchanges (CEX) to on-chain markets by providing core on-chain execution capabilities; and **Xgent**, an Autonomous Financial Runtime. Xgent allows users to define investment goals and constraints, then autonomously constructs and manages the execution logic—moving from **Intent to Execution Graph to Verification to Autonomous Execution**. The long-term vision is to create the "Bloomberg Terminal for Autonomous Finance"—an operating environment not for humans, but for agents and execution nodes. The future financial system, they argue, will be a collaborative network built by diverse participants contributing execution capabilities, not secret strategies. The core competition will shift to who builds the most powerful and adaptive execution network.

链捕手1h ago

Former SpaceX Engineer Reconstructs Financial Execution System from First Principles

链捕手1h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片