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On April 15, as the conflict in the Middle East continues, rising oil prices are impacting the Asian economy. Chetan Ahya, Chief Economist for Asia at Morgan Stanley, stated that before the escalation of geopolitical tensions, consumer growth in Asian economies, including China, was gradually improving. However, with rising energy prices, disposable income is expected to weaken in the short term, although policies and savings may provide a buffer. He noted that if oil prices drop below $90 per barrel in the next 3 to 4 months, the industrial cycle could accelerate again, supporting capital expenditure, employment, and consumption. Conversely, if oil prices remain at $120 per barrel, the further increase in fuel prices will lead consumers to adjust their spending patterns, potentially resulting in a more significant drag on consumption. Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist for China, Xing Ziqiang, pointed out that since the escalation of geopolitical tensions, the growth of consumption related to China's 'trade-in' program has continued to slow. The team explained that given China's relatively low dependence on energy imports, a low starting point for inflation, and regulated fuel pricing, the direct impact of rising energy prices on household consumption may be limited. However, rising input costs could compress the profit margins of downstream enterprises, which in turn may dampen wage growth and employment, ultimately affecting consumption, especially in a context where wage growth is already relatively weak.

[Morgan Stanley: Sustained Oil Prices at $120 Could Weaken Consumer Spending]On April 15, as the conflict in the Middle East continues, rising oil prices are impacting the Asian economy. Chetan Ahya, Chief Economist for Asia at Morgan Stanley, stated that before the escalation of geopolitical tensions, consumer growth in Asian economies, including China, was gradually improving. However, with rising energy prices, disposable income is expected to weaken in the short term, although policies and savings may provide a buffer. He noted that if oil prices drop below $90 per barrel in the next 3 to 4 months, the industrial cycle could accelerate again, supporting capital expenditure, employment, and consumption. Conversely, if oil prices remain at $120 per barrel, the further increase in fuel prices will lead consumers to adjust their spending patterns, potentially resulting in a more significant drag on consumption. Morgan Stanley's Chief Economist for China, Xing Ziqiang, pointed out that since the escalation of geopolitical tensions, the growth of consumption related to China's 'trade-in' program has continued to slow. The team explained that given China's relatively low dependence on energy imports, a low starting point for inflation, and regulated fuel pricing, the direct impact of rising energy prices on household consumption may be limited. However, rising input costs could compress the profit margins of downstream enterprises, which in turn may dampen wage growth and employment, ultimately affecting consumption, especially in a context where wage growth is already relatively weak.

Morgan Stanley: Sustained Oil Prices at $120 Could Weaken Consumer Spending

On April 15, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview broadcast by American media that the 'final outcome' of the Iran conflict may be achieved soon. In an interview with Fox Business Network, Trump said, 'I think we are doing very well, but what matters is the final outcome, and it may be achieved very soon.' He also mentioned that if Iran intends to possess nuclear weapons, the U.S. will not reach an agreement with them. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Trump: 'Final Outcome' of Iran Conflict May Be Achieved Soon]On April 15, U.S. President Trump stated in an interview broadcast by American media that the 'final outcome' of the Iran conflict may be achieved soon. In an interview with Fox Business Network, Trump said, 'I think we are doing very well, but what matters is the final outcome, and it may be achieved very soon.' He also mentioned that if Iran intends to possess nuclear weapons, the U.S. will not reach an agreement with them. (Xinhua News Agency)

Trump: 'Final Outcome' of Iran Conflict May Be Achieved Soon

Market data shows that the futures for the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq 100 Index have widened their declines, reaching intraday lows.

[S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Futures Decline Deepens]Market data shows that the futures for the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq 100 Index have widened their declines, reaching intraday lows.

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Futures Decline Deepens

On April 15, U.S. President Trump stated that oil prices will fall back to previous levels, possibly even lower. Saudi Arabia has not opposed the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. (Regarding Iran) the final outcome may emerge soon.

[Trump: Oil Prices Will Fall Back to Previous Levels, Possibly Lower]On April 15, U.S. President Trump stated that oil prices will fall back to previous levels, possibly even lower. Saudi Arabia has not opposed the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. (Regarding Iran) the final outcome may emerge soon.

Trump: Oil Prices Will Fall Back to Previous Levels, Possibly Lower

On April 15, international crude oil prices increased after initially dropping over 3% in early trading. Currently, WTI crude oil futures are up 1.15%, priced at $89.20 per barrel; Brent crude oil futures have risen 1.04%, priced at $95.78 per barrel.

[U.S. Oil Prices Rise Over 1%]On April 15, international crude oil prices increased after initially dropping over 3% in early trading. Currently, WTI crude oil futures are up 1.15%, priced at $89.20 per barrel; Brent crude oil futures have risen 1.04%, priced at $95.78 per barrel.

U.S. Oil Prices Rise Over 1%

On April 15, a spokesperson for the Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Khatam al-Anbiya, stated that if the United States continues to enforce a maritime blockade that endangers Iranian merchant ships and oil tankers, the Iranian armed forces will not allow any import or export activities to continue in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, and the Red Sea. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Iranian Military Responds to US Maritime Blockade]On April 15, a spokesperson for the Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Khatam al-Anbiya, stated that if the United States continues to enforce a maritime blockade that endangers Iranian merchant ships and oil tankers, the Iranian armed forces will not allow any import or export activities to continue in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, and the Red Sea. (Xinhua News Agency)

Iranian Military Responds to US Maritime Blockade

On April 15, the Associated Press reported that mediators have made progress in extending the ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran and restarting negotiations. Regional officials stated on Wednesday that the US and Iran have reached a 'principled agreement' to create conditions for further diplomatic mediation.

[Progress Made in Extending US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement and Restarting Negotiations]On April 15, the Associated Press reported that mediators have made progress in extending the ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran and restarting negotiations. Regional officials stated on Wednesday that the US and Iran have reached a 'principled agreement' to create conditions for further diplomatic mediation.

Progress Made in Extending US-Iran Ceasefire Agreement and Restarting Negotiations

On April 15, France's third-largest bank, Societe Generale, announced through its digital asset division SG-FORGE that it has partnered with Consensys, the developer of MetaMask. The dollar stablecoin USDCoin Vertible (USDCV), compliant with the EU's MiCA regulations, has been officially integrated into the self-custody wallet MetaMask.

[Societe Generale's FORGE Integrates Compliant Stablecoin USDCV with MetaMask]On April 15, France's third-largest bank, Societe Generale, announced through its digital asset division SG-FORGE that it has partnered with Consensys, the developer of MetaMask. The dollar stablecoin USDCoin Vertible (USDCV), compliant with the EU's MiCA regulations, has been officially integrated into the self-custody wallet MetaMask.

Societe Generale's FORGE Integrates Compliant Stablecoin USDCV with MetaMask

On April 15, according to monitoring by Arkham, Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT tokens from Lighter. Analysis indicates that this may be the investor token share for Dragonfly, which will be locked for one year and will be unlocked in phases after the Token Generation Event (TGE). It is expected that these tokens will not be liquid again before December 30, 2026.

[Dragonfly Receives $55.83 Million in LIT Tokens from Lighter]On April 15, according to monitoring by Arkham, Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT tokens from Lighter. Analysis indicates that this may be the investor token share for Dragonfly, which will be locked for one year and will be unlocked in phases after the Token Generation Event (TGE). It is expected that these tokens will not be liquid again before December 30, 2026.

Dragonfly Receives $55.83 Million in LIT Tokens from Lighter

Bloomberg intelligence runner James Seyffart pointed out that SEC chair Gary Gensler avoided discussing the Ripple case and Bitcoin ETF filings in a recent Bloomberg TV interview. During the interview, Bloomberg reporter Kailey Leinz asked Gensler about his thoughts on the Ripple verdict and whether the agency planned to appeal it. Gensler was evasive in his response, stating that he is one of five commissioners and has no say over whether the SEC will appeal the verdict. The judge in the Ripple case determined that XRP sales to retail investors did not qualify as securities, while those to institutional investors did.

[SEC Chair Gary Gensler Avoids Discussing Ripple Case Specifics in Bloomberg Interview]Bloomberg intelligence runner James Seyffart pointed out that SEC chair Gary Gensler avoided discussing the Ripple case and Bitcoin ETF filings in a recent Bloomberg TV interview. During the interview, Bloomberg reporter Kailey Leinz asked Gensler about his thoughts on the Ripple verdict and whether the agency planned to appeal it. Gensler was evasive in his response, stating that he is one of five commissioners and has no say over whether the SEC will appeal the verdict. The judge in the Ripple case determined that XRP sales to retail investors did not qualify as securities, while those to institutional investors did.

SEC Chair Gary Gensler Avoids Discussing Ripple Case Specifics in Bloomberg Interview

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Disclaimer：The content above does not represent HTX's positions.，HTX does not provide any trading recommendations.。

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