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On April 10, market focus shifted from the geopolitical conflict itself to its substantial transmission effects on inflation structure. With the U.S.-Iran ceasefire remaining a fragile balance, the previous rapid rise in oil prices has begun to be factored into economic data. The CPI, set to be released tonight, will be a key indicator reflecting the 'Iran premium' for the first time. Against a backdrop of resilient employment data, the market has switched from recession fears to a pricing logic of renewed inflation, which puts risk assets that originally relied on interest rate cut expectations under reevaluation. From the perspective of policy and market response, the bond market has already entered a defensive state, with traders focusing on hedging against rising yields, indicating an increased sensitivity of the market to inflation exceeding expectations. Meanwhile, within the Federal Reserve, there is growing attention on the reinforcement of the 'energy → inflation expectations' transmission, suggesting that even if discussions on rate hikes cease, the duration of high rates will be extended, and the pace of liquidity release will be further delayed. Current interest rate market pricing for rate cuts within the year has significantly contracted, reflecting an upward revision in funding cost expectations. Cross-market, this structure exerts pressure on risk assets: on one hand, rising oil prices elevate inflation expectations, weakening actual liquidity; on the other hand, stable employment data diminishes the incentives for policy shifts, leading to the re-emergence of the 'high rates + high inflation expectations' combination. In this environment, funds are more inclined towards short-term hedging and structural allocation, reducing directional risk exposure. Back to the cryptocurrency market, BTC currently maintains a range structure, essentially reflecting hesitance in funding's willingness to take on risk. From the liquidation map, a liquidity accumulation has reformed in the upper range of $72,600–$74,100, with a potential short squeeze zone near $75,000; however, this also means that without new funding to drive prices, they may face repeated pressure in this area. Meanwhile, a dense short-term support zone has formed around $71,100, and if this level is breached, it would open up liquidity replenishment space towards $69,600. The overall structure indicates that the market has not formed unilateral momentum but is waiting for macro data to trigger fund reallocation. The key is that if tonight's CPI further reinforces inflation stickiness expectations, it will directly impact the interest rate path and liquidity pricing, thus determining whether BTC triggers a short squeeze upwards or replenishes liquidity gaps downwards. The current market is not lacking direction but rather lacks the triggering conditions to break the 'inflation and interest rate constraints.'

[Bitunix Analyst: CPI Incorporates Energy Shock and Interest Rate Repricing Intertwined, Market Risk Pricing Dominated by Inflation Expectations]On April 10, market focus shifted from the geopolitical conflict itself to its substantial transmission effects on inflation structure. With the U.S.-Iran ceasefire remaining a fragile balance, the previous rapid rise in oil prices has begun to be factored into economic data. The CPI, set to be released tonight, will be a key indicator reflecting the 'Iran premium' for the first time. Against a backdrop of resilient employment data, the market has switched from recession fears to a pricing logic of renewed inflation, which puts risk assets that originally relied on interest rate cut expectations under reevaluation. From the perspective of policy and market response, the bond market has already entered a defensive state, with traders focusing on hedging against rising yields, indicating an increased sensitivity of the market to inflation exceeding expectations. Meanwhile, within the Federal Reserve, there is growing attention on the reinforcement of the 'energy → inflation expectations' transmission, suggesting that even if discussions on rate hikes cease, the duration of high rates will be extended, and the pace of liquidity release will be further delayed. Current interest rate market pricing for rate cuts within the year has significantly contracted, reflecting an upward revision in funding cost expectations. Cross-market, this structure exerts pressure on risk assets: on one hand, rising oil prices elevate inflation expectations, weakening actual liquidity; on the other hand, stable employment data diminishes the incentives for policy shifts, leading to the re-emergence of the 'high rates + high inflation expectations' combination. In this environment, funds are more inclined towards short-term hedging and structural allocation, reducing directional risk exposure. Back to the cryptocurrency market, BTC currently maintains a range structure, essentially reflecting hesitance in funding's willingness to take on risk. From the liquidation map, a liquidity accumulation has reformed in the upper range of $72,600–$74,100, with a potential short squeeze zone near $75,000; however, this also means that without new funding to drive prices, they may face repeated pressure in this area. Meanwhile, a dense short-term support zone has formed around $71,100, and if this level is breached, it would open up liquidity replenishment space towards $69,600. The overall structure indicates that the market has not formed unilateral momentum but is waiting for macro data to trigger fund reallocation. The key is that if tonight's CPI further reinforces inflation stickiness expectations, it will directly impact the interest rate path and liquidity pricing, thus determining whether BTC triggers a short squeeze upwards or replenishes liquidity gaps downwards. The current market is not lacking direction but rather lacks the triggering conditions to break the 'inflation and interest rate constraints.'

Bitunix Analyst: CPI Incorporates Energy Shock and Interest Rate Repricing Intertwined, Market Risk Pricing Dominated by Inflation Expectations

On April 10, the Deputy Governor of the French Central Bank warned that there are risks of 'stablecoinization' and dollarization in European payment systems.

[French Central Bank Deputy Governor: Risks of 'Stablecoinization' and Dollarization in European Payment Systems]On April 10, the Deputy Governor of the French Central Bank warned that there are risks of 'stablecoinization' and dollarization in European payment systems.

French Central Bank Deputy Governor: Risks of 'Stablecoinization' and Dollarization in European Payment Systems

On April 10, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal on April 9, more than $760 million in crude oil futures contracts changed hands just about 15 minutes before U.S. President Trump suddenly announced on March 23 that the U.S. would pause its strikes against Iran. On March 23, Trump posted on social media that the U.S. and Iran had engaged in 'very good and productive' dialogue over the past two days, and that the U.S. had decided to 'delay' strikes on Iranian power plants by 'five days.' According to data from Dow Jones Market Data, over $760 million in crude oil futures contracts were traded in less than two minutes, approximately 15 minutes before Trump's post. The report also revealed that this week, three accounts registered on the U.S. prediction market site Polymarket profited over $600,000 from 'accurate bets' that the U.S. and Iran would announce a ceasefire. The unusual trading activities have raised widespread questions in the market, with suspicions that someone may have had advance knowledge of internal information regarding adjustments to Trump administration policies and took the opportunity to profit.

[Allegations of Insider Trading Related to Iran Conflict Surface]On April 10, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal on April 9, more than $760 million in crude oil futures contracts changed hands just about 15 minutes before U.S. President Trump suddenly announced on March 23 that the U.S. would pause its strikes against Iran. On March 23, Trump posted on social media that the U.S. and Iran had engaged in 'very good and productive' dialogue over the past two days, and that the U.S. had decided to 'delay' strikes on Iranian power plants by 'five days.' According to data from Dow Jones Market Data, over $760 million in crude oil futures contracts were traded in less than two minutes, approximately 15 minutes before Trump's post. The report also revealed that this week, three accounts registered on the U.S. prediction market site Polymarket profited over $600,000 from 'accurate bets' that the U.S. and Iran would announce a ceasefire. The unusual trading activities have raised widespread questions in the market, with suspicions that someone may have had advance knowledge of internal information regarding adjustments to Trump administration policies and took the opportunity to profit.

Allegations of Insider Trading Related to Iran Conflict Surface

On April 10, sources revealed that just hours after President Trump unexpectedly announced a suspension of attacks on Iran last month, the White House warned staff not to improperly use their positions to speculate in the futures market. According to insiders, the White House Management Office sent an email to all employees on March 23 issuing this warning. Earlier that day, Trump announced the decision to suspend the attacks via Truth Social. Approximately 15 minutes before this sudden policy shift, a series of mysterious trading activities occurred in the futures market. A senior government official who received the email stated that given the suspicious large bets reported frequently in the futures market, the warning email served as a timely 'reminder.'

[White House Warns Staff Against Insider Trading Related to Iran Conflict]On April 10, sources revealed that just hours after President Trump unexpectedly announced a suspension of attacks on Iran last month, the White House warned staff not to improperly use their positions to speculate in the futures market. According to insiders, the White House Management Office sent an email to all employees on March 23 issuing this warning. Earlier that day, Trump announced the decision to suspend the attacks via Truth Social. Approximately 15 minutes before this sudden policy shift, a series of mysterious trading activities occurred in the futures market. A senior government official who received the email stated that given the suspicious large bets reported frequently in the futures market, the warning email served as a timely 'reminder.'

White House Warns Staff Against Insider Trading Related to Iran Conflict

On April 10, according to Nikkei News, the Japanese government approved an amendment to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act during its cabinet meeting on the 10th. This amendment will regulate crypto assets (virtual currencies) as financial products for the first time and prohibit insider trading based on undisclosed information. Additionally, it requires cryptocurrency issuers to disclose information annually to enhance a healthy market environment. If the bill passes in the current Diet session, it is expected to be implemented as early as the fiscal year 2027. Previously, the Financial Services Agency of Japan regulated cryptocurrencies based on their use as a payment method under the Fund Settlement Act. However, with the increasing use of cryptocurrencies as investment tools in recent years, they will now be included in the regulatory framework of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. Furthermore, the name of registered entities will change from 'cryptocurrency exchange operators' to 'cryptocurrency trading operators.' The penalties will also be strengthened: for unregistered entities engaging in sales, the maximum prison sentence will increase from 3 years to 10 years, and fines will rise from the current maximum of 3 million yen to 10 million yen. By increasing penalties, the government aims to further reinforce its stance on investor protection.

[Japanese Cabinet Approves Bill Classifying Cryptocurrency as Financial Products]On April 10, according to Nikkei News, the Japanese government approved an amendment to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act during its cabinet meeting on the 10th. This amendment will regulate crypto assets (virtual currencies) as financial products for the first time and prohibit insider trading based on undisclosed information. Additionally, it requires cryptocurrency issuers to disclose information annually to enhance a healthy market environment. If the bill passes in the current Diet session, it is expected to be implemented as early as the fiscal year 2027. Previously, the Financial Services Agency of Japan regulated cryptocurrencies based on their use as a payment method under the Fund Settlement Act. However, with the increasing use of cryptocurrencies as investment tools in recent years, they will now be included in the regulatory framework of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act. Furthermore, the name of registered entities will change from 'cryptocurrency exchange operators' to 'cryptocurrency trading operators.' The penalties will also be strengthened: for unregistered entities engaging in sales, the maximum prison sentence will increase from 3 years to 10 years, and fines will rise from the current maximum of 3 million yen to 10 million yen. By increasing penalties, the government aims to further reinforce its stance on investor protection.

Japanese Cabinet Approves Bill Classifying Cryptocurrency as Financial Products

On April 10, during the 17th plenary session of the China Artificial Intelligence Industry Development Alliance, the Security Governance Committee of the Alliance officially released the 'OpenClaw Agent Deployment Risk Management Guidelines.' To systematically address the security challenges posed by OpenClaw agents, the guidelines focus on the risk prevention pain points faced by enterprises during the technology implementation process. They propose a comprehensive security deployment framework and self-inspection standards covering the entire process of deployment, usage, and decommissioning. The aim is to promote the transition of agents from 'deployable' to 'safely deployable, properly used, and continuously governed,' providing practical guidance for enterprises to standardize their technology deployment.

[Official Release of the 'OpenClaw Agent Deployment Risk Management Guidelines']On April 10, during the 17th plenary session of the China Artificial Intelligence Industry Development Alliance, the Security Governance Committee of the Alliance officially released the 'OpenClaw Agent Deployment Risk Management Guidelines.' To systematically address the security challenges posed by OpenClaw agents, the guidelines focus on the risk prevention pain points faced by enterprises during the technology implementation process. They propose a comprehensive security deployment framework and self-inspection standards covering the entire process of deployment, usage, and decommissioning. The aim is to promote the transition of agents from 'deployable' to 'safely deployable, properly used, and continuously governed,' providing practical guidance for enterprises to standardize their technology deployment.

Official Release of the 'OpenClaw Agent Deployment Risk Management Guidelines'

On April 10, Bitunix announced a limited-time zero-fee card exchange promotion in collaboration with global leading payment service provider OSL Pay. During the promotion period, users who purchase cryptocurrency using a bank card or Apple Pay through OSL Pay will enjoy a full waiver of platform service fees, effectively reducing exchange costs and transaction barriers. The promotion runs from April 9, 2026, 16:00 to April 24, 2026, 15:59 (UTC+0). New users can exchange up to 500 USDT per transaction without incurring any fees, while existing users can enjoy the zero-fee benefit for transactions up to 300 USDT. Participation requires completing basic identity verification (KYC1).

[Bitunix and OSL Pay Launch Zero-Fee Card Exchange Promotion for a Limited Time]On April 10, Bitunix announced a limited-time zero-fee card exchange promotion in collaboration with global leading payment service provider OSL Pay. During the promotion period, users who purchase cryptocurrency using a bank card or Apple Pay through OSL Pay will enjoy a full waiver of platform service fees, effectively reducing exchange costs and transaction barriers. The promotion runs from April 9, 2026, 16:00 to April 24, 2026, 15:59 (UTC+0). New users can exchange up to 500 USDT per transaction without incurring any fees, while existing users can enjoy the zero-fee benefit for transactions up to 300 USDT. Participation requires completing basic identity verification (KYC1).

Bitunix and OSL Pay Launch Zero-Fee Card Exchange Promotion for a Limited Time

On April 10, market news: Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security Committee, stated that the parliament has proposed a measure to permanently prohibit oil tankers associated with the United States and Israel from passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Vessels linked to Israel or traveling to and from Israel will also be banned from passage, and this prohibition will extend to countries that take action against the 'Resistance Front.'

[Iranian Parliament Proposes Permanent Ban on Oil Tankers Linked to US and Israel in Strait of Hormuz]On April 10, market news: Ebrahim Azizi, chairman of the Iranian Parliament's National Security Committee, stated that the parliament has proposed a measure to permanently prohibit oil tankers associated with the United States and Israel from passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Vessels linked to Israel or traveling to and from Israel will also be banned from passage, and this prohibition will extend to countries that take action against the 'Resistance Front.'

Iranian Parliament Proposes Permanent Ban on Oil Tankers Linked to US and Israel in Strait of Hormuz

On April 10, U.S. and Brent oil prices rose in the short term, with WTI crude oil surpassing $100 per barrel, up 2.04% for the day; Brent crude oil climbed above $95 per barrel, up 1.15% for the day. (Jin Shi)

[U.S. and Brent Oil Prices Rise in the Short Term]On April 10, U.S. and Brent oil prices rose in the short term, with WTI crude oil surpassing $100 per barrel, up 2.04% for the day; Brent crude oil climbed above $95 per barrel, up 1.15% for the day. (Jin Shi)

U.S. and Brent Oil Prices Rise in the Short Term

On April 18th, Synthetix launched an emergency solution for the sUSD stablecoin to be unpegged. The USD 420 pool will be launched in 36 hours and incentives will be activated. SNX stakers can deposit sUSD to participate and share a total reward of 5 million SNX. The sUSD will be locked for a year, and the rewards will be unlocked within three months after the end of the event.

[Synthetix announces contingency plan for sUSD depegging]On April 18th, Synthetix launched an emergency solution for the sUSD stablecoin to be unpegged. The USD 420 pool will be launched in 36 hours and incentives will be activated. SNX stakers can deposit sUSD to participate and share a total reward of 5 million SNX. The sUSD will be locked for a year, and the rewards will be unlocked within three months after the end of the event.

Synthetix announces contingency plan for sUSD depegging

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Synthetix announces contingency plan for sUSD depegging

Disclaimer：The content above does not represent HTX's positions.，HTX does not provide any trading recommendations.。

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