【洗牌期】特朗普就职后项目频倒,市场进入高压洗牌期

CoinGeckoPublished on 2025-05-06Last updated on 2025-05-06

Abstract

超过 50% 的加密货币已经失败。自 2021 年以来, GeckoTerminal上架的近 700 万种加密货币中,有 370 万种已停止交易并被视为失败。

有多少加密货币已经消亡?

超过 50% 的加密货币已经失败。自 2021 年以来, GeckoTerminal上架的近 700 万种加密货币中,有 370 万种已停止交易并被视为失败。

GeckoTerminal 上所有加密货币中有 52.7% 已经失败,其中大多数发生在 2024 年至 2025 年初。令人担忧的是,仅 2025 年第一季度就出现了 180 万个代币的崩盘,占所有记录在案的失败项目的 49.7%。代币存活率的急剧下降可能与更广泛的市场动荡有关,尤其是在 2025 年 1 月唐纳德·特朗普就职典礼之后,恰逢加密市场低迷。

加密货币项目的总数也大幅增长。2021 年,GeckoTerminal 上架了 428,383 个项目。然而,到 2025 年,这一数字已飙升至近 700 万个项目。这一增长很大程度上归功于pump.fun的推出,它简化了代币的创建流程,从而导致大量meme 币和低成本项目涌入市场。

2025 年所有加密货币失败案例中 49.7% 发生

其次是2024年,近140万个项目失败,占过去五年所有失败项目的37.7%。然而,这一年也是新项目发布数量最多的一年,有超过300万个新项目上市。在2024年pump.fun上线之前,加密货币的失败数量只有六位数出头。2021年至2023年期间的失败项目仅占过去五年所有加密货币失败项目的12.6%。

加密货币失败年份

2021 年至 2025 年间,加密货币失败的数量按年如下:

方法论

本研究考察了曾在 GeckoTerminal 上线、现已停止交易(“死亡”或“失败”)的币种和代币(统称为“加密货币”)的总数,并按其上次活跃交易的年份分组。数据采集时间为 2021 年 7 月 1 日至 2025 年 3 月 31 日。

仅考虑在停用前进行过一次或多次交易的代币。同时,仅将已“毕业”的 pump.fun 代币纳入研究范围。

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