Rock Dao (ROCK) Plunge

Despite the $Molt token price remaining low, the Moltbook platform has surpassed 2.6 million registered Agents and continues to grow rapidly. This indicates a shift away from meme-driven token speculation in the AI Agent economy. Unlike previous cycles where narratives were driven solely by token price surges and collapses, Moltbook demonstrates organic, value-based growth. Users are actively deploying Agents that engage in social interaction, task execution, decentralized governance, and micro-payments via the x402 protocol. A self-sustaining economic ecosystem is emerging, where Agents create value, collaborate, and earn rewards—independent of token speculation. This marks the beginning of a truly productive, platform-driven Agentic Economy.

The crypto industry faces a paradox: record-high profitability amid extreme fear and negative sentiment. While protocols generated $74.8 billion in fees since 2018—nearly half in the last 18 months—many projects have shut down, and layoffs are widespread. Key shifts in revenue structure reveal that stablecoin issuers like Tether and Circle now dominate, capturing 34.3% of all fees due to high demand for dollar-backed assets and near-zero marginal costs. Meanwhile, trading-focused applications (e.g., Telegram bots and perpetual exchanges) have surged, accounting for over 15% of revenue by catering to speculative demand. In contrast, layer-1 and layer-2 blockchains and DeFi protocols have seen valuations collapse, with price-to-fee ratios dropping sharply. The median monthly revenue for protocols has fallen to $13,000, indicating intense competition. The industry’s moats include first-mover advantage (e.g., Tether), liquidity depth (e.g., Aave), and distribution prowess (e.g., meme platforms). Token valuations are now more rational—often below traditional finance multiples—but must evolve to offer real economic rights and governance utility. Crypto’s future lies in integrating with the broader internet infrastructure, focusing on high-frequency trading fees and verifiable transparency.

BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, has blocked $1.2 billion in investor withdrawals from its private credit funds, signaling a significant liquidity squeeze. This move has triggered a 7.69% single-day drop in its shares—the largest of the current cycle—and raised concerns across risk assets, including crypto. As a major Bitcoin ETF manager, BlackRock's financial strain highlights overvaluation in the private credit industry and could lead to outflows from its IBIT BTC ETF. If the firm begins selling assets to cover losses, it may further shake investor confidence and increase market uncertainty.

"CT (Crypto Twitter) Sentiment at an Extreme Low: What to Do?" offers nine actions to take during a crypto bear market when community morale is deeply pessimistic. The article suggests using this slower period for introspection on one's true life goals and for personal adventures beyond the screen. It encourages leveraging X/Twitter's core value—forging genuine connections with smart, interesting people—and exploring other online platforms like TikTok or YouTube Shorts. For physical and mental health, it recommends building muscle through home workouts and prioritizing sunlight exposure. From a crypto perspective, it advises continuing to explore potential airdrops and accumulating positions in promising altcoins, based on historical cycles. Fundamentally, it urges individuals to write—to process ideas, connect with past and future, and contribute to the community—and ultimately, to embody the positive change they wish to see, actively shaping the desired future.

U.S. Federal Reserve officials who previously advocated for rate cuts, including Governor Christopher Waller, have recently shifted their stance, with many now not ruling out the possibility of future rate hikes. This sets a challenging stage for new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first policy meeting. Appointed by President Trump based on his dovish views, Warsh now faces a committee where the debate has pivoted from "when to cut" to "whether to hike," driven by persistent inflation above 3%, a strong labor market, and supply-side pressures from AI infrastructure demands and geopolitical tensions. Key figures illustrate the shift. Governor Waller, once concerned about employment, now says data has pushed him toward considering rate increases. Even moderate voices like Governor Lisa Cook, while expecting inflation to ease, have indicated readiness to hike if it fails to do so. Long-time hawks such as regional Fed presidents Beth Hammack, Lorie Logan, and Neel Kashkari have grown more vocal, arguing that the real policy rate is effectively falling and that action may soon be needed. The upcoming Fed meeting is expected to keep rates steady but will likely remove the "easing bias" from its statement, signaling a neutral stance between cuts and hikes. The quarterly "dot plot" is anticipated to show most officials projecting no cuts this year, with some potentially indicating hikes. Chair Warsh, a critic of the Fed's reliance on forward guidance like the dot plot, must navigate communicating this pivot using tools he has questioned, all while steering policy in a direction counter to the preferences of the president who appointed him. The consensus suggests the Fed's next move could well be a rate increase.