Bitcoin Dip To $98K Sparks Supply In Loss Surge To 2M BTC – Now Stabilized Amid Market Recovery

bitcoinist发布于2025-01-29更新于2025-01-29

文章摘要

Bitcoin experienced significant volatility yesterday, dropping over 5% to dip below the $100K mark before recovering and pushing above the...

Bitcoin experienced significant volatility yesterday, dropping over 5% to dip below the $100K mark before recovering and pushing above the $102,000 level. This dramatic price movement has divided market sentiment, with some analysts predicting a surge above the all-time high (ATH) and others anticipating a continued decline. The uncertainty has left investors closely monitoring key levels to gauge Bitcoin’s next direction.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler shared important insights into the current market dynamics. According to Adler, Bitcoin’s drop to $98K temporarily pushed Supply in Loss to 2 million BTC, reflecting heightened investor concerns. These concerns stem from broader macroeconomic factors, including anxiety over inflated valuations in the AI sector and the recent open-source release of DeepSeek’s innovative solution, which could disrupt traditional markets.

Despite the bearish signals, Bitcoin’s recovery above $102,000 has reignited optimism among bulls, suggesting resilience in the face of market uncertainty. As BTC stabilizes near this critical level, all eyes remain on whether it can sustain the recovery and challenge its ATH or if another correction is on the horizon. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin’s next move confirms a bullish breakout or signals further consolidation.

Bitcoin Enters A Crucial Phase 

Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, consolidating below its all-time high (ATH) and showing signs of preparing for a breakout into price discovery. However, sentiment remains divided, with some investors anticipating a deeper correction due to ongoing market uncertainty. This tug-of-war between bearish and bullish perspectives has left traders and analysts closely watching Bitcoin’s next move.

Negative sentiment stems from concerns about broader economic factors, including fears of overvalued AI companies and disruptions following the open-source release of DeepSeek’s solution. These elements have fueled anxiety, leading some market participants to believe Bitcoin’s current position could precede a larger downturn.

On the other hand, optimism remains among analysts like CryptoQuant’s Axel Adler, who has shared data that paints a more positive picture. Adler revealed that Bitcoin’s drop to $98K temporarily pushed Supply in Loss to 2 million BTC, reflecting heightened investor concerns during the dip.

Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss | Source: Axel Adler on X
Bitcoin Total Supply in Loss | Source: Axel Adler on X

However, this metric has since improved significantly, with Supply in Loss now sitting at 738K BTC. This aligns with the quarterly average, indicating a return to more typical market conditions and suggesting stabilization.

This reduction in Supply in Loss supports the argument that Bitcoin may be gearing up for another rally. If bulls manage to push the price above key resistance levels, Bitcoin could move into a strong bullish phase, entering uncharted price territory. For now, the market remains in anticipation.

BTC Price Analysis: Holding Strong Above $100K

Bitcoin is trading at $102,600 after successfully securing strong support above the crucial $100,000 level. This psychological barrier has proven to be a key demand zone, providing bulls with an opportunity to regain control of the market. However, momentum remains in a fragile state as traders await confirmation of a sustained upward trend.

BTC testing liquidity between $100K and $105K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing liquidity between $100K and $105K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

For Bitcoin to maintain its bullish structure, it is essential for the price to hold above the $100K mark in the coming sessions. A decisive push above the $105,000 resistance level with strength would signal renewed bullish momentum, setting the stage for a massive rally. Breaking through this zone could attract significant investor interest, driving the price into uncharted territory and reinforcing Bitcoin’s bullish narrative.

On the downside, the stakes are high. A failure to hold the $100,000 level could trigger a deeper consolidation phase, potentially testing lower support levels and dampening short-term sentiment. This would likely result in increased volatility and hesitation among market participants.

For now, Bitcoin remains in a pivotal position, with both opportunities and risks on the horizon. Bulls need to act decisively to reclaim higher ground and push the price toward new highs, ensuring optimism prevails in the broader market narrative.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian Villafuerte

Sebastian's journey into the world of crypto began four years ago, driven by a fascination with the potential of blockchain technology to revolutionize financial systems. His initial exploration focused on understanding the intricacies of various crypto projects, particularly those focused on building innovative financial solutions. Through countless hours of research and learning, Sebastian developed a deep understanding of the underlying technologies, market dynamics, and potential applications of cryptocurrencies. As his knowledge grew, Sebastian felt compelled to share his insights with others. He began actively contributing to online discussions on platforms like X and LinkedIn, focusing on fintech and crypto-related content. His goal was to expose valuable trends and insights to a wider audience, fostering a deeper understanding of the rapidly evolving crypto landscape. Sebastian's contributions quickly gained recognition, and he became a trusted voice in the online crypto community. To further enhance his expertise, Sebastian pursued a UC Berkeley Fintech: Frameworks, Applications, and Strategies certification. This rigorous program equipped him with valuable skills and knowledge regarding Financial Technology, bridging the gap between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). The certification deepened his understanding of the broader financial landscape and its intersection with blockchain technology. Sebastian's passion for finance and writing is evident in his work. He enjoys delving into financial research, analyzing market trends, and exploring the latest developments in the crypto space. In his spare time, Sebastian can often be found immersed in charts, studying 10-K forms, or engaging in thought-provoking discussions about the future of finance. Sebastian's journey as a crypto analyst and investor has been marked by a relentless pursuit of knowledge and a dedication to sharing his insights. His ability to navigate the complex world of crypto, combined with his passion for financial research and communication, makes him a valuable asset to the industry. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, Sebastian remains at the forefront, providing valuable insights and contributing to the growth of this revolutionary technology.

你可能也喜欢

Mythos的面纱,成了Anthropic撬动万亿的杠杆

Anthropic公司即将以超9000亿美元估值完成巨额融资,其核心策略是通过构建“Mythos”模型的强大叙事来撬动资本与市场。Mythos被描述为“强到不能公开发布”的AI模型,与之相关的网络安全项目“Glasswing”虽公布了一些漏洞发现数据,但缺乏可验证的参照系,巧妙地将“不公开”包装为责任感和技术卓越的证明。 同时,美国政府的态度变化为叙事提供了关键背书。尽管曾将Anthropic列为供应链风险,但白宫及NSA等机构被曝寻求使用其高级模型(很可能是Mythos),这传递出该技术“不可替代”且通过最高标准审查的信号,极大地增强了其可信度与商业价值。 商业数据方面,Anthropic向投资者展示了惊人的收入增长,特别是Claude Code产品增长迅猛,推动公司整体年化收入预期超过500亿美元。谷歌持续巨额投资(承诺最高400亿美元)则提供了强大的资本背书,吸引了更多投资人跟进,共同推高估值。 本质上,Anthropic的成功在于其卓越的“讲故事”能力:它将一个无法被公众验证的技术能力(Mythos),结合政府机构的“隐性”认可、爆炸性的收入预期以及顶级投资者的真金白银,整合成一个强大且自洽的叙事。这个叙事说服了市场中最有影响力的参与者,从而将“不可验证的潜力”转化为实实在在的万亿级估值。

marsbit44分钟前

Mythos的面纱,成了Anthropic撬动万亿的杠杆

marsbit44分钟前

稳定币监管:FDIC宣布针对发行机构的新反洗钱拟议规则

美国联邦存款保险公司(FDIC)发布了一项拟议规则制定通知,计划将《银行保密法》(BSA)和经济制裁合规标准延伸至其监管的“许可支付稳定币发行商”(PPSI)。此举旨在将数字资产发行商进一步纳入长期监管传统银行的合规架构之中。 根据提案,PPSI必须遵守反洗钱/打击恐怖主义融资(AML/CFT)计划要求、经济制裁计划以及包括提交可疑活动报告在内的各项报告义务。PPSI将被正式归类为BSA下的“金融机构”,需建立完整的AML合规计划以及与外国资产控制办公室(OFAC)要求一致的制裁合规结构,包括内部控制、指定合规官、员工培训、独立测试和链上交易筛查等。 在监督执行方面,FDIC在针对PPSI的AML/CFT计划启动正式执法行动或做出重大监管决定前,需至少提前30天通知金融犯罪执法网络(FinCEN)主任。不过,FDIC表示,拥有有效AML/CFT计划的PPSI在大多数情况下可免于执法行动,除非其在实施必要计划方面出现“重大或系统性失误”。 该提案的公众评议期预计将持续至2026年6月9日,最终规则将于2026年晚些时候公布。FDIC估计,在法规生效后的头几年,可能有5至30家受其监管的PPSI寻求批准,其中多数将利用其母机构的现有AML基础设施,从而将新增合规成本保持在较低水平。

bitcoinist1小时前

稳定币监管:FDIC宣布针对发行机构的新反洗钱拟议规则

bitcoinist1小时前

自动化的悖论:AI越强,人类越忙

本文探讨了AI自动化发展中的一个核心悖论:尽管AI能力快速提升,但人类的工作量并未减少,反而可能增加。文章以作者所在公司Every为例,说明AI工具已深度嵌入编码、写作、客服等流程,但并未导致裁员,而是重组了工作形态。人类从重复执行者转变为框架设计者、系统维护者和质量判断者。 AI擅长将过去已沉淀的能力(如代码、文案、客服回复)商品化,使其变得廉价且人人可用。这导致市场出现大量同质化的“默认输出”。然而,真正稀缺的是面对具体当下问题时的判断力、差异化创造和意义定义能力。因此,自动化并未消灭专家,反而创造了更多需要专家介入的场景,例如工程师需要审查AI生成的代码,编辑需要打磨AI起草的文稿。 文章进一步指出,基准测试(如高级工程师编码测试)衡量的只是模型在特定人类设定的“框架”内的表现。模型可以快速攻克一个框架,但人类会不断将问题推进到更复杂的新框架中。AI可以高效执行目标,但缺乏真正的主体性——它回应人类设定的问题,而非自主产生目标。知识工作的未来在于人类持续扮演“框定者”的角色。 因此,AI让“执行”变便宜,却让“判断什么值得做、为何做、做到何种程度”变得更为珍贵。自动化没有消除人类工作的价值,而是使其变得更前沿、更依赖人类的独特判断。

marsbit3小时前

自动化的悖论:AI越强,人类越忙

marsbit3小时前

交易

现货
合约

热门文章

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

2025年5月22日,比特币价格正式突破11万美元大关,创下历史新高。在政策面、宏观经济、资金面与投资者结构共同作用下,一场结构性牛市浪潮正在展开。而此轮上涨背后的核心驱动,是美国《GENIUS稳定币法案》的实质性进展以及多项利好的叠加。本文将从政策端突破、宏观环境转向、链上与ETF资金结构、交易行为演化,以及重点受益赛道五大维度,全面解析此轮BTC再创新高的深层逻辑,并前瞻下半年市场的潜在趋势。

1.6k人学过发布于 2025.05.22更新于 2025.05.22

加密市场宏观研报:《GENIUS Act》法案取得重大进展,BTC突破历史新高,后市全新展望

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对BTC(BTC)币价的意见。

活动图片