Analyst: Trump's Economic Isolation Plan May Prompt Iranian Strikes Across the Persian Gulf

08/22 22:05

Analysts indicate that U.S. President Trump is attempting to achieve goals that thousands of bombs and missiles have failed to accomplish—forcing Iran to end the war on U.S. terms—through a new round of sanctions, maritime blockades, and increased economic pressure on Iran's trade partners. However, this 'forcing Iran to comply' approach has a critical bottleneck: the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively taken control of the Strait of Hormuz and has repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones towards the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is largely immune to economic pressure and possesses numerous means of retaliation. A key moment in this U.S. initiative will occur on Monday when Treasury Secretary Mnuchin unveils details of a new plan aimed at shifting the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to comprehensive economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure truly takes effect, Iran is likely to respond with military strikes targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast, aiming to drive up oil prices and increase the operational costs for the U.S., forcing Trump to change course once again.
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