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Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestBASED: Hyperliquid’s On-Chain Super App The 'time pain' trap: why bitcoin’s bear market might need a few more months of ‘boring’ to

BASED: Hyperliquid’s On-Chain Super App

The 'time pain' trap: why bitcoin’s bear market might need a few more months of ‘boring’ to hit a true floor

The two things most cryptocurrency investors are pondering are how much lower can bitcoin go and how much longer this bear market could last.

The price pain aspect has been discussed widely, but the time-based dimension is another question in itself.

Price pain refers to sharp drawdowns or volatility that force participants out of positions, while time pain reflects slow, range-bound conditions that exhaust both bulls and bears through lack of direction.

Bitcoin is currently trading below $66,000, down over 3% in the past 24 hours and roughly 45% below its October all-time high, an almost six-month bear market.

One indicator pointing toward continued time pain is the Realized Cap HODL Waves from Glassnode. This metric groups bitcoin supply by the last time coins moved, with each band representing different holding periods, and weights them by realized price, the average price at which coins last transacted on chain.

Historically, bear market bottoms have coincided with long-term holders, those holding for six months or more, controlling at least 85% of supply. Typically, price bottoms form first, and only several months later does long-term holder supply approach these high levels, indicating these investors bought at depressed prices and held through the bear market.

Currently, long term holders account for about 80% of supply. If this trend continues, the market may be nearing a bottoming phase, though several months of consolidation are likely still ahead.



The 'time pain' trap: why bitcoin’s bear market mi

Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Chainlink Is Being Quietly Targeted By Large Players. Find Out What The On-Chain 

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Chainlink Is Being Quietly Targeted By Large Players. Find Out What The On-Chain Data Is Showing

Chainlink has been struggling. The altcoin market is brutal. And quietly, the largest players in the market appear to have started paying attention to LINK in a way they are not paying attention to everything else.
Analyst Darkfost has identified a pattern that stands out against one of the most hostile environments for altcoins in recent memory. While the broader sector continues to deteriorate — more than 40% of altcoins at or near all-time lows, liquidity draining across the board — targeted activity from large players is beginning to surface on specific tokens. Chainlink is one of them.

The methodology Darkfost applies is straightforward and battle-tested: track where the largest holders are moving their coins, and watch whether those movements point toward accumulation or distribution. When whales begin withdrawing assets from exchanges at scale, it signals a specific behavioral shift — coins moving off the trading venue, into private custody, away from the available sell-side pool. That behavior does not happen by accident. It happens when large players have reached a conclusion about an asset that the broader market has not yet reached.

The altcoin market is not rewarding patience right now. Something in the LINK on-chain data suggests certain participants believe that is about to change.



Chainlink Is Being Quietly Targeted By Large Playe

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On April 2, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi stated that Iran is drafting a passage agreement for the Strait of Hormuz with Oman. Follo

Iran and Oman Drafting Strait of Hormuz Passage Agreement, Oil Prices Drop, US Stocks Rebound

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Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation Contest7 Days of Check-ins to Unlock a 10x AirdropBitcoin [BTC] has been on a bearish trend since October 2025. Since its all-time high of

7 Days of Check-ins to Unlock a 10x Airdrop

Bitcoin [BTC] has been on a bearish trend since October 2025. Since its all-time high of $126K, BTC has shed 46% of its value in just under six months. That it has been a bear market is under no doubt anymore.

What was in contention, however, was the extent of the distribution phase. In fact, crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. recently found that large and mid-sized Bitcoin investors still hold around 68% of the BTC supply.

The short-term holder drawdown has been high, and any price bounce is likely to be met by aggressive profit-taking and exiting at breakeven. This has already happened once, with the rejection from the $76K resistance.

Bitcoin holdings rebalance not yet underway



Source: Axel Adler Jr Insights

Cohorts whose balances ranged from 100 to 10K BTC were categorised by size. Their share of the supply holdings came to 68%, while small participants holding 10 BTC or fewer had only 17% of the supply.

Distribution from large and mid-sized investors and a rebalance in Bitcoin holdings among cohorts lower down the scale are needed to trigger a structural change. This would point towards a broader distribution and a capitulation regime.



Source: CryptoQuant

Another factor that pointed towards a deeper reset was the UTXO Profit Count Percent. The metric measures the number of individual unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) that are worth more today than at the value they were last moved.

The 30-day and 365-day moving averages of this metric were at 69.1% and 87.5%, respectively. This underlined weakness, but not a full market reset. For context, the previous cycle’s 1-year moving average hit 55.7%.

In May 2019, the metric’s yearly average declined to 63.8%, both of which were quite far from 87.5%. There is stress in the market right now. And, by the 365-day moving averages’ standards, there may be more room for a full structural res

Bitcoin [BTC] has been on a bearish trend since Oc

Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeHyperliquid gains ground on centralized exchanges as perps market share nears 6% W

Hyperliquid gains ground on centralized exchanges as perps market share nears 6%

While platforms like dYdX and GMX exist, neither has matched Hyperliquid’s trajectory in terms of volume growth or product expansion.

The following is excerpted from The Block’s Data and Insights newsletter.

Centralized exchanges have long been the crown jewel of the crypto industry, processing over $3 trillion in monthly perpetual futures volume and providing the core use case that underpins the sector: trading and speculation.

But Hyperliquid is steadily chipping away at that dominance.

The platform's share of total perpetual futures volume has climbed to just under 6% in March, up from roughly 3.5% a year ago, with monthly volumes approaching $200 billion.

What makes the trend particularly notable is that the ratio has continued to climb even as overall exchange volumes have compressed from their August 2025 peak. This suggests Hyperliquid is genuinely pulling market share rather than simply riding broader volume.

Onchain competition remains limited. While platforms like dYdX and GMX exist, neither has matched Hyperliquid's trajectory in terms of volume growth or product expansion, leaving it as the clear frontrunner in decentralized perpetual futures.
The platform's expansion into non-crypto assets is an increasingly relevant part of the story.

Commodities like oil now trade 24/7 on Hyperliquid, and non-crypto volume is making up a growing share of overall activity on the platform. This points to a structural advantage that decentralized venues hold over traditional markets.
A trading firm that waits for CME to open Sunday evening to hedge an oil position is carrying weekend gap risk that a 24/7 venue eliminates entirely.


Hyperliquid gains ground on centralized exchanges

Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge Bitcoin seems ready to push past $70k but one group keeps stopping the rally Macr

Bitcoin seems ready to push past $70k but one group keeps stopping the rally

Macro relief is building, but repeated rejection at $70k shows demand is still not strong enough to absorb supply.
Bitcoin is pushing back toward $70,000 as macro pressure eases, but each attempt is still being sold into. The market is improving on the outside while failing to resolve a key internal constraint.

Macro relief improves the backdrop as Bitcoin meets a crowded zone above $70,000

Bitcoin has opened April with a cleaner macro backdrop than the one that defined the final stretch of March.

The war premium in crude eased after reports that the U.S. could leave Iran within weeks if a peace deal advances, a shift that pushed Brent down to $99.44 and WTI to $97.55. Currency markets reflected the same cooling impulse, with the Dollar Index sliding to 99.534.

Rates softened into the week’s main U.S. macro event, with the 2-year Treasury yield near 3.76% and the 10-year near 4.28%. That combination has historically improved the operating environment for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Price responded in kind. Bitcoin price traded around $68,724 on April 1, after swinging through an intraday range between roughly $66,000 and $69,2000.

Those numbers look contained at the daily close, although the structure under the surface carries more tension than a flat range suggests. The market has moved away from outright macro panic, while it has yet to secure the kind of broad, persistent demand that turns relief into expansion.

The result is a compressed setup, where a friendlier external backdrop meets thinner conviction near a heavily traded resistance zone.

The key level in that equation remains $70,000. Glassnode’s recent market analysis shows Bitcoin struggling to secure clean closes above that area since early February. 


Bitcoin seems ready to push past $70k but one grou

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ADI Predictstreet named official prediction market partner of FIFA World Cup 2026 in landmark deal. Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, April 2, 2026 – ADI Chain today announced that ADI Predictstreet, t

ADI Chain Announces ADI Predictstreet as the official prediction market partner of the FIFA World Cu

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Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation Contest7 Days of Check-ins to Unlock a 10x Airdrop• NZD/USD eased on Thursday as traders digest ongoing geopolitical developments and asse

• NZD/USD   eased on Thursday  as traders digest ongoing geopolitical developments and assess their impact on risk sentiment.•U.S. President Donald Trump   said in a prime-time address that the U.S. would hit Iran "extremely hard" within weeks, claiming military goals were nearly achieved and the conflict was close to ending.• In the immediate aftermath of the speech, however, investors were back to selling almost everything except the U.S. dollar and sending oil prices higher..• Commodity currencies like the NZD remain largely influenced by news flow from the Middle East. This factor continues to cap any strong rallies, leaving the broader downtrend intact. • All eyes are on the March U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report due Friday, with a Reuters poll consensus of +60k. The outcome is expected to significantly influence risk appetite and the direction of commodity-linked currencies, including the NZD. •  Immediate resistance is located at 0.5756(Daily high), any close above will push the pair towards 0.5805(50%fib).•Support is seen at 0.5702(38.2%fib) and break below could take the pair towards 0.5651(Lower BB).  Recommendation: Good to sell around 0.5720 with stop loss of 0.5760  and target price of 0.5660Gold is meant to be a ‘safe haven’ in uncertain times. Why is it crashing amid a war?Wall Street Slides as Iran War Uncertainty, Oil Surge, and AI Fears Rattle MarketsSpaceX IPO Filing Expected This Week as Valuation Could Surpass $75 BillionStagflation Shadows: U.S. Manufacturing Shines as Services Slump to 11-Month LowScarcity and Strife: Bitcoin Hits Historic Milestone Amid Geopolitical TremorsStrategy's Multi-Billion Dollar Bitcoin Accumulation: A 2026 Milestone

• NZD/USD   eased on Thursday  as traders digest o

Guess BTC Price, Share 540M HTX!HTX Community Spring Creation ContestedgeX: Sub-10ms Global DeFi LayerWhen Will the Next Crypto Bull Run Begin? Key Timelines to Watch The latest U.S. manufacturing dat

When Will the Next Crypto Bull Run Begin? Key Timelines to Watch


The latest U.S. manufacturing data is influencing expectations around the timing of the next crypto market cycle.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI rose to 52.7, its highest level since 2022. The index has now stayed above 50 for three straight months, indicating expansion after nearly three years of contraction, the longest stretch in more than a century of ISM records.

ISM Expansion Aligns With Past Crypto Rallies

The shift into expansion territory is drawing attention due to its historical alignment with crypto market cycles. The previous crypto bull run coincided with similar macroeconomic recoveries in 2013, 2017, and 2021.

These periods followed rising manufacturing activity and improving liquidity conditions, which supported risk assets across markets.

The recent expansion follows about 36 months of contraction in U.S. manufacturing. This period coincided with tighter financial conditions and weaker performance in many digital assets, particularly altcoins.

Despite this environment, Bitcoin crossed the $100,000 mark, indicating sustained demand even during unfavorable macro conditions.

Raoul Pal Links Crypto to Business Cycle

Macro investor Raoul Pal tied crypto performance directly to broader economic cycles.

“It is always the business cycle… Bitcoin is basically following the ISM.”

He said the current cycle may differ from the traditional four-year structure linked to Bitcoin halving events.

“This one is a five-year cycle… and it tells us the ISM should peak by 2026.”

When Will the Next Crypto Bull Run Begin? Key Time

CoinPrice24h7d24h VolumeMarket CapBitcoin (BTC)$67,167.502.40%2.80%$48,604,900,913.00$1,344,110,600,362.00StakeStone (STO)$0.394.80%311.50%$779,320,821$88,410,157Siren (SIREN)$0.1822.80%90.70%$33,676,

FxWirePro- Top trending coins (Coin Gecko) - EconoTimes

在加密货币市场情绪高涨之际，以太坊和狗狗币持续下跌。以太坊价格已跌破 3600 美元，而狗狗币则在 0.17 美元附近徘徊，难以站稳脚跟。然而，在加密货币市场下跌之际，Digitap（$TAP）却逆势而上，在预售期间持续走强。 分析师认为，这种价格上涨的加密货币可能为早期投资者带来高达 2000% 的潜在回报，使其成为目前最值得买入的加密货币之一。该平台目前为早期投资者提供 $TAP +15% 的奖励，并正凭借其全球首家全能银行重塑数字支付的未来。

<div><span style="font-size: 15px;">在加密货币市场情绪高涨之际，以太坊和狗狗币持续下跌。以太坊价格已跌破 3600 美元，而狗狗币则在 0.17 美元附近徘徊，难以站稳脚跟。然而，在加密货币市场下跌之际，Digitap（$TAP）却逆势而上，在预售期间持续走强。</span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;"><br /></span></div><div><span style="font-size: 15px;">分析师认为，这种价格上涨的加密货币可能为早期投资者带来高达 2000% 的潜在回报，使其成为目前最值得买入的加密货币之一。该平台目前为早期投资者提供 $TAP +15% 的奖励，并正凭借其全球首家全能银行重塑数字支付的未来。</span><img src="https://d1x7dwosqaosdj.cloudfront.net/images/2025-11/a4d00da341694722accce29e42506e4f.jpeg" alt="1000020980" style="width: 100%; height: auto; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;" /></div><br />

在加密货币市场情绪高涨之际，以太坊和狗狗币持续下跌。以太坊价格已跌破 3600 美元，而狗狗币则在

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