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Bitcoin is showing signs of potentially forming a market cycle bottom, according to Fidelity. Analyst Zack Wainwright notes that long-term holders now possess a near-record 15 million BTC, with over 40% of this supply held at a loss—a level historically associated with bottoming phases. Data shows the supply in loss recently climbed to 50% as Bitcoin fell below $63,000, mirroring patterns seen at past cycle lows like the 2022 bottom near $16,000. However, recovery may face headwinds. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand remains muted, with significant institutional outflows persisting, particularly from giants like BlackRock and Fidelity. Analysts suggest any sustained price recovery requires a reversal in this institutional selling pressure. Options market activity reflects caution, with high trading volumes for put options (bearish bets) targeting $62.5K and $56K, indicating hedging against further downside. While there is also call option interest at higher prices, signaling potential for a sideways range between $55K and $70K, the overall sentiment suggests $60K is a critical support level. Analysts warn that despite bottoming signals, sharp moves below $60K are possible amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures.

Grayscale Investments has filed with the SEC to launch a Worldcoin spot ETF (ticker GWLD), aiming to provide U.S. investors regulated access to the token. The filing coincided with WLD trading near its all-time low, though the news triggered an 8% price surge. The application also highlights potential risks, including high token concentration among top wallets and ongoing insider token unlocks through 2028, which could create selling pressure. Additionally, Worldcoin's use of biometric data presents unique regulatory challenges. Grayscale's move expands its crypto ETF lineup ahead of potential competitors, though SEC approval remains uncertain.