# Пов'язані статті щодо Election

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "Election", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

Every Vote on the CLARITY Act Will Be Scored: 3 Million Crypto Supporters Want Senators to Vote 'Yes'

The advocacy group Stand With Crypto announced it will track and publicize U.S. senators' votes on the CLARITY Act, incorporating them into public legislator scorecards for its 3 million members to use ahead of the November elections. The group is urging a "yes" vote, stating the bill has mobilized cryptocurrency owners who seek regulatory clarity. Their pre-election survey indicates nearly 80% of crypto owners are highly likely to vote, with 70% saying a candidate's crypto stance influences their choice, and 59% identifying as swing voters—potentially making the issue decisive in tight races. The bill, which passed the Senate Banking Committee in May, now awaits a full Senate vote. However, its path is uncertain, with Galaxy Research lowering its 2026 passage odds to 30% due to timing, bipartisan support challenges, and unresolved provisions on ethics and consumer protection.

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 17:21

Every Vote on the CLARITY Act Will Be Scored: 3 Million Crypto Supporters Want Senators to Vote 'Yes'

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 17:21

With 100 Days Until Midterm Elections, Crypto Community Voters Track CLARITY Act Amid Senate Time Crunch

With the 2026 midterm elections 100 days away, cryptocurrency voters are closely monitoring the progress of the CLARITY Act in the Senate as the legislative window narrows. The advocacy group Stand With Crypto reports that crypto policy is a priority for voters, with nearly 70% of crypto owners saying a candidate's stance will influence their vote. At the core of the debate is the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, which aims to establish clearer rules by defining regulatory authority between the SEC and CFTC. Proponents argue it provides needed regulatory certainty, while critics emphasize the need for robust consumer protections. Supporters have made over one million contacts with Congress, highlighting the industry's political push. The impending elections create pressure, as legislative priorities may shift post-election. The outcome of the bill is seen as a test of Washington's strategy on digital assets, with its fate in the next 100 days potentially shaping the future of crypto regulation and influencing voter decisions.

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 10:40

With 100 Days Until Midterm Elections, Crypto Community Voters Track CLARITY Act Amid Senate Time Crunch

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 10:40

Blockchain.com Integrates Polymarket Oracle Feeds Supporting Election Speculation

Blockchain.com has integrated oracle data feeds from prediction market platform Polymarket, providing users with direct access to real-time information for election speculation markets. This move allows traders to view and engage with election prediction pools directly within the Blockchain.com interface, bypassing traditional clearing agents and enhancing accessibility. The announcement, distributed via Chainwire, is framed as a concrete infrastructure development rather than a speculative market catalyst. Analysts caution against overstating its immediate impact, noting it should be viewed as a reliable data point in a fast-moving market rather than a definitive signal for price action or broad adoption. The update's value lies in its specific technical integration, which offers clearer insight into crypto's evolving themes around market structure and infrastructure, particularly amid sensitivity to regulatory and macro headlines. The report emphasizes grounding conclusions in the actual project details, avoiding sweeping narratives, and monitoring follow-up data to confirm any longer-term trends.

bitcoinist07/15 22:37

Blockchain.com Integrates Polymarket Oracle Feeds Supporting Election Speculation

bitcoinist07/15 22:37

Polymarket's Sixth Anniversary: Bathroom, Exile, and Homecoming

Polymarket, a prediction market platform, recently celebrated its sixth anniversary. Born during New York's COVID-19 lockdown, founder Shayne Coplan built the initial product from his bathroom. The platform allows users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events, aiming to aggregate information faster than traditional media or polls. Its early years involved navigating regulatory challenges, most notably a 2022 CFTC order and penalty for offering unregistered event contracts, which led to a ban on U.S. users. Despite this "exile," the platform persisted, gaining significant traction during major news events like the 2024 U.S. presidential election, where its markets often preceded mainstream narratives. A pivotal shift occurred in 2025. Following the conclusion of a DOJ/CFTC investigation, Polymarket strategically acquired a CFTC-regulated exchange (QCX) to re-enter the U.S. market legally. It secured a massive strategic investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), NYSE's parent company, and formed high-profile partnerships with sports leagues like the NHL, UFC, and MLB, as well as media outlets including Google and the Wall Street Journal. Now valued in the tens of billions, Polymarket stands at the intersection of crypto, finance, media, and sports. Its journey reflects a constant tension between innovative information aggregation and regulatory scrutiny, evolving from a fringe crypto experiment into a mainstream, albeit still contested, financial and data infrastructure.

marsbit06/18 04:12

Polymarket's Sixth Anniversary: Bathroom, Exile, and Homecoming

marsbit06/18 04:12

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

In this June 2026 podcast interview, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes explains his decision to sell his major crypto holdings (HYPE, NEAR, Worldcoin, Zcash). His rationale is based on a macro view linking oil prices, the Iran conflict, US politics, and an impending AI bubble burst. Hayes argues that high oil prices, driven by the ongoing war, will pressure domestic US inflation. To salvage the Republican Party's chances in the midterm elections, he believes Donald Trump may pivot to a populist, anti-AI stance—advocating for taxes and regulation—which would deflate the AI investment narrative. He sees the AI sector, particularly massive capital expenditure on data centers, as having absorbed nearly all excess market liquidity (around $1.5 trillion in debt issuance since 2025), starving other assets like Bitcoin. He highlights the upcoming SpaceX IPO at a ~$1.8 trillion valuation and 100x price-to-sales ratio as a potential tipping point. If these hyped IPOs underperform, it could shatter market confidence in AI. In such a scenario, all risk assets, including crypto, would fall together as correlations converge to 1 during a broad correction. Hayes has moved his portfolio into Treasuries and energy stocks (like ExxonMobil), predicting Bitcoin will be below $100k by year-end. He sees a potential crypto bull market only after the AI frenzy cools, liquidity stops flowing exclusively into AI, and possibly after a significant market downturn prompts new monetary stimulus.

marsbit06/17 06:23

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

marsbit06/17 06:23

Arthur Hayes' New Article: AI Bubble Nears Bursting, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

In a new essay, Arthur Hayes argues that the AI market bubble is approaching a rupture, which will place significant short-term pressure on crypto assets. He identifies rising oil prices, a trio of massive tech IPOs (SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI), and potential anti-AI political rhetoric from Trump as the three key catalysts for a correction. Hayes posits that the prolonged blockage of the Strait of Hormuz will drive energy prices higher, increasing operational costs for data centers and squeezing AI company profits. Simultaneously, the market may struggle to absorb the upcoming wave of multi-trillion dollar tech IPOs. Furthermore, with high inflation hurting his election chances, Trump could pivot to attacking the AI sector with proposals for heavy taxation and regulation to win over voters, spooking the market. Hayes notes that nearly all new dollar liquidity since 2022 has flowed into the AI sector, leaving little for Bitcoin, explaining its recent underperformance. He believes an AI stock crash would trigger a broad risk-off sentiment and credit contraction, dragging down crypto in the near term. Consequently, his fund, Maelstrom, has sold all AI-related stocks and non-core cryptocurrencies, retaining only Bitcoin and Ethereum while building positions in traditional energy stocks. He anticipates Bitcoin will bottom and resume its bull run only after the AI bubble pops and a new monetary easing cycle begins.

marsbit06/09 11:06

Arthur Hayes' New Article: AI Bubble Nears Bursting, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

marsbit06/09 11:06

Arthur Hayes Analysis: AI Bubble Nears Burst, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

Arthur Hayes argues that the current AI market is a bubble poised to burst, which will exert downward pressure on the crypto market in the near term. The core trigger is rising oil prices due to the US-Iran conflict and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy costs directly increase the operational expenses of AI data centers, squeezing profit margins for companies like Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI. Hayes predicts that persistent inflation from high oil prices will force Trump, in a bid to win the November election, to turn public sentiment against the AI industry. He may propose regulations and taxes on data centers and AI companies to appeal to voters concerned about costs and job displacement. Such political rhetoric could shatter market confidence. Furthermore, the market is unlikely to healthily absorb the massive concurrent IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, which together seek valuations in the trillions. The combination of soaring energy costs, overwhelming equity supply, and negative political pressure will puncture the AI bubble. Hayes notes that nearly all new USD liquidity since 2022 has flowed into AI, leaving crypto like Bitcoin behind. When the AI bubble bursts, liquidity will contract sharply, pulling down all risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. In response, Hayes's fund, Maelstrom, has sold all AI-related stocks and non-core cryptocurrencies. It maintains core positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum while increasing exposure to energy sector equities, betting on rising oil and gas prices. He expects Bitcoin to bottom after the AI-led market decline, before rallying again with future monetary easing.

Foresight News06/09 06:17

Arthur Hayes Analysis: AI Bubble Nears Burst, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

Foresight News06/09 06:17

Crypto Billionaires Rally Behind Nigel Farage As Political Stakes Rise

Reform UK’s fundraising surged sixfold in early 2026, raising $12.5 million—more than any other British party—largely driven by two major crypto donors. Christopher Harborne (Tether stakeholder) donated $4 million, while Ben Delo (BitMEX co-founder) gave $5.4 million. This combined $9.4 million surpassed the roughly $5.4 million each raised by Labour and the Conservatives. Nigel Farage, Reform’s leader, has actively courted crypto support, advocating for lower crypto taxes and a Bitcoin reserve. Meanwhile, a separate $6.7 million personal gift from Harborne to Farage is under parliamentary inquiry regarding its declaration. Reform’s rise, fueled significantly by crypto-linked donations, marks a major shift in UK political financing.

bitcoinist06/05 20:01

Crypto Billionaires Rally Behind Nigel Farage As Political Stakes Rise

bitcoinist06/05 20:01

Bidding Farewell to the 'Gray Gambling Game'! Polymarket Charges into the Compliance Track—How Will This Impact the Entire Crypto Industry?

From Gray to Regulated: How Polymarket’s Compliance Journey Reshapes Crypto The evolution of Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform, illustrates a critical trend in crypto: innovative, high-value sectors ultimately integrate into regulatory frameworks. Founded in 2020, Polymarket quickly gained traction by leveraging low-cost Layer 2 blockchain technology for event-based trading, notably during the 2024 US presidential election where its markets outperformed traditional polls. However, its "build first, comply later" approach led to a 2022 CFTC enforcement action, resulting in a $1.4 million fine and a ban from the US market. A pivotal shift occurred in 2025 under a new US administration. Polymarket strategically acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX for $112 million, securing a regulated pathway back into the US. This move coincided with a regulatory reversal, as the CFTC withdrew a prior proposal to ban political event contracts. The platform’s successful "regulatory acquisition" strategy, avoiding a lengthy independent licensing process, highlights a viable compliance path for crypto-native projects. Its journey from regulatory target to a CFTC-recognized entity—bolstered by a major data partnership and investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)—signals the maturation of prediction markets from a "crypto novelty" into acknowledged financial infrastructure. The story underscores that genuine utility provides negotiating power with regulators and that embracing compliance does not necessarily mean sacrificing core technological advantages.

marsbit05/23 01:05

Bidding Farewell to the 'Gray Gambling Game'! Polymarket Charges into the Compliance Track—How Will This Impact the Entire Crypto Industry?

marsbit05/23 01:05

Why Did the U.S. Release UFO Files at This Specific Time?

The U.S. Department of Defense launched a website, war.gov/UFO, releasing 162 files on May 8, consisting of unresolved UFO/UAP cases from 1947 to 2025. The article speculates on the political timing, suggesting it may serve to boost the 2026 midterm elections for the Trump administration, promote a narrative of government transparency, and divert attention from ongoing public dissatisfaction over issues like the Iran war and the Epstein files controversy. The release, using a product-like "rolling basis" format, echoes the handling of the Epstein documents in late 2025 and coincides with a surge in Hollywood UFO-related content, notably Steven Spielberg’s upcoming film *Disclosure Day*. Notable critics within the MAGA movement, including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Alex Jones, have dismissed the release as a "weapon of mass distraction."

marsbit05/09 03:54

Why Did the U.S. Release UFO Files at This Specific Time?

marsbit05/09 03:54

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