# Stablecoins İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Stablecoins" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Podcast Notes | Conversation with GSR Asset Management Head: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Watch the Lending Rates on Aave

Podcast Summary: Dialogue with GSR's Head of Asset Management: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Check Lending Rates on Aave Andy Baehr, Managing Director of Asset Management at GSR, discusses the current crypto market, characterizing it as stuck in a state of "ambivalence" with short-lived, unsustainable rallies. He outlines a simple framework: the market moves between "ambivalence" and "conviction" (sustained upward momentum). Currently, every rally resembles a single-stage rocket booster that quickly fizzles out. Baehr identifies three key signals to watch: 1) DeFi lending rates, 2) the potential passage of the CLARITY Act, and 3) the market forming a consensus on the "Fed hawkish peak." He emphasizes that the most immediate indicator for the sustainability of the recent CPI-triggered rally is the USDC borrowing rate on Aave, currently around 3.75%—close to U.S. Treasury yields. The absence of a credit spread indicates low leverage demand and a lack of market energy. He explains that a healthy, sustained rally requires layered buying pressure. Last year's rally progressed from an ETH short squeeze to crypto-native trader influx and finally to ETF inflows. Currently, this structure is missing. Other potential structural buyers like Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies are absent, and ETF flows have proven transient. Baehr notes that while small-cap crypto tokens outperformed large caps in Q2—a potential sign of capitation in major assets—capital is also flowing to more exciting opportunities like AI stocks and tech IPOs, leaving crypto sidelined. Regarding DeFi, he highlights that platforms like Aave provide a clear, real-time signal of leverage demand through their supply/demand-driven interest rates. A significant, sustained rate increase would signal genuine market conviction. He also observes the quiet emergence of fixed-income-like products and vaults in DeFi. On regulation, the probability of the CLARITY Act passing before the August 7th deadline has dropped linearly from 75% to below 40% on Polymarket. Baehr suggests its passage would be treated as a bullish surprise, a potent driver for price movement. However, political hurdles, including ethical clause debates and disclosures about the First Family's crypto profits, remain significant obstacles. Ultimately, the market awaits clarity on the Fed's terminal rate under Chair Warsh. Until the "Fed Solstice"—the point where the market collectively understands the peak of hawkish policy—sustained conviction will be difficult to achieve.

marsbit07/22 05:17

Podcast Notes | Conversation with GSR Asset Management Head: To Determine if This Crypto Rally is Real, Just Watch the Lending Rates on Aave

marsbit07/22 05:17

Bank of America Quietly Positions: Could $6 Trillion in Bank Deposits Flow into Stablecoins?

Bank of America (BofA) is making strategic moves in digital assets, appointing senior leaders to advance a platform covering stablecoins, tokenized deposits, custody, and crypto settlement. This comes amid a broader discussion about the potential migration of trillions in bank deposits to stablecoins. A cited TBAC report estimated up to $6.6 trillion in transactional deposits could be at risk of moving to stablecoins long-term, a point BofA's CEO previously conditioned on stablecoins being allowed to pay interest. The regulatory landscape is evolving, with the GENIUS Act setting a final implementation deadline for January 2027. Major banks, however, are not waiting; JPMorgan, Citi, BofA, and others are already developing tokenized deposit networks and services. Industry observers note that while retail crypto trading is sluggish, institutional adoption of stablecoins for real-world use cases is driving growth. Despite the activity, some analysts remain cautious, noting banks have a long history of blockchain announcements and that true structural change is slow. The stablecoin market itself has seen a recent dip from its peak. Optimistic projections, however, foresee significant growth, with stablecoin settlement volume already reaching $33 trillion in 2025. The race is on for the post-January 2027 landscape, where regulatory clarity is expected to accelerate the fusion of traditional finance and crypto.

marsbit07/22 01:53

Bank of America Quietly Positions: Could $6 Trillion in Bank Deposits Flow into Stablecoins?

marsbit07/22 01:53

The Eternal Fragments of Money: Third-Party Payment Has No First Principle

"The Enduring Fragments of Money: Third-Party Payments Lack a First Principle" Stripe is reportedly attempting to acquire PayPal, marking a significant shift reminiscent of PayPal's merger with the original X.com 30 years ago. The article analyzes Stripe's strategic challenges and the broader payments industry landscape. Despite its initial success with a developer-friendly API model, Stripe missed its optimal IPO window during the pandemic and has since seen its valuation decline. Its attempts to expand through acquisitions and new ventures, particularly in stablecoins (like its OUSD project) and Agent-focused payments (ACP/MPP protocols), have faced headwinds. The author argues that the payment industry remains highly fragmented and is ultimately an adjunct to the traditional banking system. This structure limits the potential for any single player, including Stripe, to achieve complete dominance. While stablecoins and the future rise of autonomous Agent economies present potential growth avenues, they are not yet mainstream and still require integration with the existing financial system. For now, Agent-based transactions are largely used for speculative "volume boosting" rather than substantive business applications. Stripe's current move to acquire PayPal is seen as an attempt to bolster its weak consumer-facing (C-side) business after its stablecoin-focused strategies faltered. Meanwhile, PayPal is described as structurally outdated, unable to revive itself through new products like Venmo or PYUSD. The future of payments may lie not in payments themselves but in value-added services like more efficient settlement networks. The author suggests that companies like Stripe and Circle, which are building their own blockchains (Tempo, Arc) and stablecoins, are positioning themselves to eventually profit from high-efficiency settlement systems. These new networks could potentially bypass some traditional banking layers. In conclusion, the article posits that third-party payment is a perpetually fragmented battlefield where scale alone cannot ensure victory. Players must find new models, focusing on efficiency to compete with the entrenched banking system. Stripe's acquisition of PayPal represents a bet on this uncertain future.

链捕手07/21 15:30

The Eternal Fragments of Money: Third-Party Payment Has No First Principle

链捕手07/21 15:30

Bank of America Quietly Positions: Could $6 Trillion in Bank Deposits Flow into Stablecoins?

Bank of America has quietly made leadership appointments to accelerate its digital asset strategy, sparking discussion about a potential large-scale migration of bank deposits to stablecoins. Reports highlighted the bank naming Sonali Theisen, Kevin Milsom, and Adam Dixon to lead its global digital asset and AI platform, focusing on stablecoins, tokenized deposits, custody, and crypto settlement. This move revived a claim that $6 trillion in bank deposits could flow into stablecoins, a figure originally cited by Bank of America's CEO Brian Moynihan in January. However, he conditioned this shift on stablecoins being allowed to pay interest—a feature not permitted under the current GENIUS Act. The legislation's final rules are delayed, pushing its effective date to January 2027. Major banks are not waiting. JPMorgan and Citigroup are already piloting tokenized deposit services, and a consortium including Bank of America is building a shared tokenized deposit network targeting a 2027 launch. While some, like Pacemakers.io's Alessandro Hatami, remain skeptical of rapid bank collaboration, data shows significant institutional adoption. Stablecoin settlement volume hit $33 trillion in 2025, and analysts project the market could surpass $1 trillion by 2026. Despite a recent dip in crypto prices and stablecoin supply, the institutional push for real-world use cases continues. The race is on for January 2027, when the GENIUS Act takes effect, potentially reshaping the competition between traditional finance and digital assets.

Foresight News07/21 10:01

Bank of America Quietly Positions: Could $6 Trillion in Bank Deposits Flow into Stablecoins?

Foresight News07/21 10:01

Dialogue with Jia Hang | Looking Back at Two Decades of Chinese Payment Going Global

**Summary: A Conversation with Jia Hang on Two Decades of China's Payment Globalization** Jia Hang, a veteran with over twenty years in payments, reflects on China's attempts to build a global payment network through three key phases: UnionPay (card networks), Alipay+ (digital wallets), and now, stablecoins. His journey began at UnionPay International, aiming to establish China's card network abroad. While successful in following Chinese tourists ("where Chinese go, UnionPay goes"), it struggled to achieve true global scale. The core lesson: card networks like Visa/Mastercard's unassailable advantage isn't just technical standards, but their deeply entrenched **governance and profit-sharing models** that create powerful network effects. Competing as the "same species" is nearly impossible. At Ant Group, he led Alipay+, a strategy to bypass card networks by interconnecting local e-wallets worldwide. While innovative, it faced a similar ceiling. Mobile QR payments and card swipes were essentially **the same species competing for the same pie**, lacking a disruptive value proposition for users or a sustainable new incentive model to replace the card networks' established flywheel. Today, at Singapore's DCS, Jia focuses on stablecoin-based payments. He argues stablecoins represent a fundamental shift. They are not competing with Visa for consumer payments but challenging the **traditional banking and account system for value movement**. Products like "U Cards" (stablecoin-linked payment cards) are transitional, leveraging existing card networks for acceptance while building new rails. The real potential lies in stablecoins enabling seamless, low-cost global value transfer, potentially reorganizing the financial infrastructure around **accounts rather than cards**. Jia believes stablecoin adoption for local retail payments, cross-border transactions, and as high-yield savings vehicles is becoming irreversible. This could gradually reduce reliance on traditional fiat channels, especially in regions with weak currencies or capital controls. The quest for the "next global payment network" continues, now centered on whether stablecoins can successfully bridge Web2 and Web3, establish new governance, and create compelling user value beyond mere cost reduction.

marsbit07/21 07:09

Dialogue with Jia Hang | Looking Back at Two Decades of Chinese Payment Going Global

marsbit07/21 07:09

Wintermute: What Is Left to Build in Crypto?

The article argues that the foundational question for crypto has shifted. Instead of asking "what else can crypto do?", the real question is "why will the real world need crypto next?" The author's answer is the emerging **Machine Economy** – where autonomous agents and robots act as independent economic participants, making decisions, executing transactions, and initiating actions in both digital and physical worlds. Three key recent developments make this shift plausible: 1) AI models are now capable and cheap enough for autonomous, persistent action; 2) Open standards (e.g., stablecoins, Agent payment protocols) allow for composability; 3) Agents can now operate with context over long periods, changing the scale of automated activity. Crypto's core strengths—programmability, permissionlessness, fast settlement, and auditability—align well with the needs of autonomous systems, which don't fit traditional human-centric financial rails. Major platforms like Coinbase and Robinhood are already building infrastructure for Agent-based activity. However, challenges remain, primarily around **Security** (e.g., prompt injection attacks on Agent wallets) and **Attribution/Accountability** when AI-assisted systems fail. The most promising opportunities lie not in crowded foundational layers (L1s, models, exchanges) but in the connective tissue for the Machine Economy: **1) An economic layer for Agents** (handling authorization, risk, identity), **2) Physical AI** (enabling robots in structured environments like warehouses to transact), and **3) Machine-led discovery systems** (e.g., in autonomous scientific research).

marsbit07/20 00:03

Wintermute: What Is Left to Build in Crypto?

marsbit07/20 00:03

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