# PBOC İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "PBOC" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

The Narrative of Gold's Rise is Becoming Harder to Sustain

The article argues that the narrative supporting gold's price surge is weakening, leaving only a fraction of its original justification. Historically, gold's primary drivers were its role as a safe-haven asset during crises (like the 2000 dot-com bubble and 2008 financial crisis) and as a hedge against inflation (e.g., during the Fed's QE periods). However, the author contends these core logics are now eroding. First, gold's safe-haven属性 is diminishing as its price action has recently become correlated with speculative assets like Bitcoin and US stocks, moving in sync with them on news like Trump's comments. This suggests投机属性 may be overshadowing its traditional避险 role. Second, the inflation hedge argument is weakening. The Federal Reserve's projected minimal rate cuts through 2026 suggest a stronger dollar and reduced expectations for significant USD depreciation. Similarly, the Japanese Yen's贬值 expectations are also easing. The author identifies only "0.5" reasons left for gold's rise: continued purchases by China's central bank. While China has been a consistent buyer, its purchasing speed has drastically slowed from a peak of nearly 600,000 ounces per month to a recent average of just 30,000 ounces. This minimal volume is deemed too small to significantly impact the global gold market, especially compared to London's daily clearing volume of over 18 million ounces. Furthermore, a technical divergence exists: gold prices accelerated upward in late 2024 even as China's buying slowed. The article concludes that with its避险属性 potentially exhausted, inflation expectations subdued, and China's buying influence limited, the current gold price appears to have overshot its fundamental supports. The author advises against high expectations for further sustained gains barring an extreme black-swan event.

比推03/24 04:21

The Narrative of Gold's Rise is Becoming Harder to Sustain

比推03/24 04:21

Bloomberg: The Recovery Is Just an Illusion, China's Crypto Regulation Enters a Deep Winter

Bloomberg reports that China's cryptocurrency regulatory environment has entered a "deep winter," despite earlier speculation of a potential thaw. Last year, optimism grew after the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) suggested the yuan could challenge the U.S. dollar's dominance. However, on February 7, China tightened restrictions, banning domestic entities from issuing digital tokens overseas and prohibiting unauthorized offshore issuance of yuan-pegged stablecoins, citing risks to monetary sovereignty. This move is a significant setback for Hong Kong, which has been striving to become a digital asset hub. The PBOC’s stance effectively ends hopes for offshore yuan-backed stablecoins, even in Hong Kong. Companies like Ant Group and JD.com had reportedly considered stablecoin plans but halted them following Beijing's intervention. Industry experts note that the restrictions clarify regulatory red lines but also highlight fundamental incompatibilities between capital controls and stablecoin freedom. Market sentiment remains weak, with Bitcoin perpetual open interest down roughly 50% from its October peak. Meanwhile, investors have withdrawn approximately $3.3 billion from U.S. Ethereum spot ETFs since October, reflecting broader caution. Crypto-native venture capital is shifting focus toward areas like stablecoin infrastructure and prediction markets, as other sectors struggle to attract attention.

marsbit02/11 12:12

Bloomberg: The Recovery Is Just an Illusion, China's Crypto Regulation Enters a Deep Winter

marsbit02/11 12:12

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