Hayes: U.S. Money Printing Will Push Bitcoin to $500,000

cryptonews.ru2026-09-08 tarihinde yayınlandı2026-09-08 tarihinde güncellendi

Özet

Bitcoin could surge to between $250,000 and $500,000 as a result of an increasing money supply in the United States, according to investor and analyst Arthur Hayes. He stated that the technical mechanisms which effectively act as money printing are already active. In this environment, assets like Bitcoin and gold are appreciating. Hayes described the current phase as one of "capital wasting," where new money is funneled into extending credit and supporting existing investments. He predicted Bitcoin could surpass its all-time high before the end of the year, though noted political constraints ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. Separately, Hayes highlighted Ethereum as the primary asset for investors seeking high risk outside of Bitcoin but wanting to avoid catastrophic protocol failures. He pointed out that Ethereum has underperformed among major crypto assets and hasn't yet breached its 2021 high of $5,000, creating an attractive risk-reward profile. Hayes added that Ethereum is his team's largest position ahead of an anticipated liquidity rally.

Bitcoin could rise to $250,000-$500,000 against the backdrop of an increase in the U.S. money supply, according to well-known investor and analyst Arthur Hayes. He stated that the relevant technical mechanisms are already active.

Hayes noted that the increase in the money supply occurs through technical mechanisms which, in his opinion, effectively function as money printing.

According to Hayes, in this context, Bitcoin, gold, and other similar assets are becoming more expensive. He characterized the current stage as a phase of 'capital wasting,' where new money is directed towards loans for their extension and to support investments already made.

Will Bitcoin Update Its All-Time High?

Hayes stated that Bitcoin could break its all-time high before the end of the year. At the same time, he drew attention to political limitations ahead of the U.S. midterm elections.

According to him, one of the main issues for American voters is the affordability of life. Therefore, the administration of Donald Trump will have to explain stimulus measures without directly acknowledging the increase in the money supply.

He added that Bitcoin's rise to $500,000 directly before the elections is unlikely to help Trump politically.

Hayes Named Ethereum the Main Asset After Bitcoin

Separately, Hayes shared his expectations regarding Ethereum. According to him, investors who want to take on maximum risk outside of Bitcoin but do not want to suffer a sharp decline due to a protocol bug could consider Ethereum.

"If you want to take on maximum risk outside of Bitcoin and at the same time not be afraid that your stuff will collapse by 75% overnight due to some bug in the protocol — that's Ethereum," he said.

Hayes noted that Ethereum showed weaker performance among major crypto assets during the previous cycle and has still not surpassed its 2021 all-time high of $5,000.

In his opinion, this creates an attractive risk-reward ratio. Hayes added that Ethereum is his team's largest position ahead of the expected liquidity rally.

Recall that earlier Hayes released an essay titled Atención. The Incrypted team prepared a summary of the text:

end-content

İlgili Sorular

QWhat is Arthur Hayes's main prediction for Bitcoin's price and why?

AArthur Hayes predicts that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 to $500,000 due to the increase in the US money supply, which he describes as 'money printing' through active technical mechanisms.

QWhat does Hayes call the current economic phase and describe its characteristics?

AHayes characterizes the current phase as a 'capital waste' phase, where new money is used for credit extensions and to prop up existing investments.

QWhat is Hayes's view on Bitcoin breaking its all-time high in the current US political context?

AHayes believes Bitcoin could break its all-time high before the end of the year, but notes that a surge to $500,000 right before the US midterm elections would be politically problematic for the Trump administration, which needs to explain stimulus measures without directly acknowledging money printing.

QWhy does Hayes consider Ethereum the main asset after Bitcoin for risk-seeking investors?

AHayes states that for investors wanting maximum risk outside of Bitcoin but who fear a catastrophic drop due to a protocol bug, Ethereum is the choice, as it offers an attractive risk/reward profile without that specific high technical failure risk.

QWhat is Hayes's position regarding Ethereum in his own portfolio ahead of an expected liquidity rally?

AHayes reveals that Ethereum is the largest position held by his team in anticipation of the expected liquidity rally.

İlgili Okumalar

Just Now, Meta's Flagship Model Crushes GPT-6 and Opus! Leaps Back into World's Top Three Overnight

Meta has launched its most powerful flagship AI models yet, Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full, positioning them as a historic leap toward "personal superintelligence." Benchmark results show these models are now competitive with leading counterparts from OpenAI and Anthropic. On the Artificial Analysis index, Muse Wonder Full scored 56, placing it in the global top tier alongside Claude Sonnet 5.5 and surpassing GPT-6 Astra. In long-context programming tasks like SWE-Marathon, both Wonder and Wonder Full outperformed Claude Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra. Key new capabilities include "Active Memory" for retaining user information across conversations and "Active Focus" for autonomous problem-solving and plan adjustment. The models show significant gains over the previous Muse Spark 1.3, with the Full version improving by 8 points on the Artificial Analysis index in just six weeks. In professional tasks like legal and financial analysis, Wonder Full exceeded Opus 5.5 in 8 out of 14 tests. It also demonstrated improved efficiency, solving more math problems while reducing output tokens by 40%. Developed using Meta's gigawatt-scale "Prometheus" supercomputing infrastructure, the models feature a 1 million token context window and native multimodal support. Pricing starts at $4 per million tokens for input and $20 for output via API for the standard Wonder model, while Wonder Full is available through Muse Code subscriptions at $50 or $200 per month.

marsbit27 dk önce

Just Now, Meta's Flagship Model Crushes GPT-6 and Opus! Leaps Back into World's Top Three Overnight

marsbit27 dk önce

How to Understand the CFTC's Regulation of Prediction Markets?

On October 9, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) released two conflicting documents concerning event contracts in prediction markets. A proposal seeks to classify contracts on sports, politics, and other events as "swaps" under CFTC jurisdiction, while a separate interim rule explicitly excludes licensed sports betting and casino games from the swap definition. This creates a regulatory split where bets on the same NFL game could be regulated as state-level gambling if placed at a Las Vegas sportsbook, but as a federally regulated swap if traded on a CFTC-registered exchange like Kalshi. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig argues these event contracts are commodity derivatives for hedging, speculation, and price discovery. However, the move faces legal challenges. The NFL and 39 states oppose the CFTC's stance, arguing these contracts create new gambling risks rather than hedging existing ones. Federal appeals courts are divided: the Third Circuit ruled such contracts are swaps, while the Sixth and Ninth Circuits concluded they are not. This circuit split has prompted New Jersey to petition the Supreme Court for review. The proposed rules are not yet in effect, pending publication and a comment period. The ultimate outcome hinges on court decisions and the future composition of the CFTC commission. The core conflict remains whether event contracts on prediction markets fall under federal derivatives regulation or state gambling laws.

marsbit39 dk önce

How to Understand the CFTC's Regulation of Prediction Markets?

marsbit39 dk önce

BTC Daily Adjustment in Progress, HYPE Nears Short-term Directional Decision | Invited Analysis

This weekly analysis examines the recent price action of Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE, focusing on key technical developments and outlining potential trading strategies. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis:** * **Market Trend Assessment:** The analysis applies a "52-week moving average confirmation method" to assess the broader trend. While BTC's weekly closing price has broken above this key average, the moving average itself remains in a downtrend, and a proper pullback confirmation is still lacking. The conclusion is that the rally from the July 1st low is still classified as a technical rebound, not yet confirming a new bull market. * **Daily Chart Structure:** The report argues that the five-wave rally (a-e) from the July low likely concluded at the September 21st high. The recent breakdown below the key support of $82,500, followed by a weak-volume rebound, supports this view. If the e-wave is complete, a larger corrective decline (potentially in three sub-waves) is anticipated. The first leg of this correction is underway, with an initial target around $78,000. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** * **Outlook:** The focus is on the downside targets from the September 21st high. Key resistance is seen at $85,500 and the $87,500-$90,000 zone. Support levels are identified at $80,500-$82,500, $75,000-$78,000, and $69,100-$70,500. * **Strategy:** The medium-term posture is neutral/cautious, recommending watching for a potential pullback to a "channel" for confirmation. For short-term traders, two scenarios are outlined: (A) Selling into strength near the $85,500-$87,500 resistance if bearish signals appear, or (B) Selling a confirmed breakdown below the $80,500-$82,500 support zone. A 30% position size with strict stop-loss management is advised. **HYPE Analysis:** * **Daily Chart Structure:** HYPE broke below the lower boundary of its two-month ascending channel on October 8th. Price is currently in a "pullback confirmation" phase, testing this breached support-turned-resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would signal weakness and open the path towards the $75-$77 support area. The longer-term uptrend line, however, remains intact. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** * **Outlook:** The critical watchpoint is the outcome of the current test of the former channel support. Resistance levels are noted at $88-$90, $94, and $102. Key support zones are $80-$82 and $75-$77. * **Strategy:** Two bullish scenarios are proposed for short-term trades: (1) A light long position if price convincingly reclaims and holds above the former channel support, or (2) A light long position if price falls to the $75-$77 support area and shows signs of stabilization. A 30% position size with strict stop-loss discipline is emphasized. **Risk Management Reminder:** The article includes a standard trailing stop-loss protocol (moving stop to breakeven at +1% profit, then locking in profits progressively). It strongly cautions that all analysis is for informational purposes only, not investment advice, and strategies must be adapted to changing market conditions.

marsbit1 saat önce

BTC Daily Adjustment in Progress, HYPE Nears Short-term Directional Decision | Invited Analysis

marsbit1 saat önce

İşlemler

Spot
活动图片