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BTC Breakout Soon—Guess & Win Millions HTXHTX Community April Creation ContestDaily 5K USDT Airdrop - Join & Win!A new academic working paper says a small group of Polymarket users drives much of the 

BTC Breakout Soon—Guess & Win Millions HTX

A new academic working paper says a small group of Polymarket users drives much of the platform’s price discovery.  Summary A new study says 3.14% of Polymarket accounts drive much of the platform’s accuracy. Skilled traders and market makers captured over 30% of gains despite forming a small minority. Researchers said suspected insider accounts moved prices faster but were tied to isolated market events. The study reviewed every Polymarket transaction from 2023 to 2025. The paper came from researchers at London Business School and Yale. It covered 1.72 million accounts, 210,322 markets, and about $13.76 billion in trading volume. The researchers found that only 3.14% of accounts qualified as “skilled winners.” These traders had order flows that predicted short-term price moves and final market outcomes. You might also like: Western Union’s USDPT stablecoin is ready for a May launch The paper said skilled traders and market makers captured more than 30% of all gains. Together, they made up less than 3.5% of all accounts on the prediction market platform. Most losing accounts fund the gains The study said raw profits did not always prove skill. Researchers tested trader records by randomly changing buy and sell directions 10,000 times across past trades. The test found that only 12% of top earners overlapped with the skilled group. About 60% of “lucky winners” later moved into losses when tested on another sample of events. The paper also said 67% of accounts marked as unlucky or unskilled losers absorbed the platform’s total losses. That claim challenges the wider view that prediction markets mainly reflect broad crowd wisdom. Insider activity remains under review The researchers also reviewed suspected insider trading activity. They flagged 1,950 accounts that opened shortly before one event and then went inactive after that event ended. Those acco

A new academic working paper says a small group of

CHIP: Yield-Bearing Synthetic Stablecoin

BTC Pulls Back—Guess & Win 18M HTXHTX Community April Creation ContestDaily 5K USDT Airdrop - Join & Win!Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclo

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure Falcon-512 produces the smallest digital signature of any algorithm currently approved by the US National Institute of Standards and Technology — and that fact quietly drove one of the bigger decisions in Solana’s recent development history.Related Reading: Western Union Bets On Stablecoins With USDPT May LaunchTwo Teams, One ConclusionAnza and Firedancer, two of Solana’s most widely used validator clients, have each rolled out a test version of Falcon, a post-quantum cryptographic signature scheme. According to the teams, both groups researched the problem independently and landed on the same answer: quantum readiness is necessary, and Falcon is the right tool for the job.Initial versions have been pushed to both clients’ GitHub repositories. Data from Anza’s account shows work on Falcon stretching back to at least January 27, 2026.The solution is built to sit dormant until needed. It can be switched on if and when quantum computers grow powerful enough to crack public-key encryption — a hypothetical threshold researchers call Q-Day. Source: SolanaOfficials said the migration work is manageable, the transition can happen quickly when conditions demand it, and network performance is not expected to take a meaningful hit.Why Signature Size MattersFor a high-throughput network like Solana, that last point is not a small thing. Post-quantum algorithms have generally been criticized for producing large signatures that strain bandwidth and storage — a direct threat to the kind of speed Solana is built around. Source: SolanaJump Crypto, the infrastructure firm behind Firedancer, said Falcon was chosen precisely because it avoids that problem. Signing happens offchain, and verification is not complex to implement.Falcon is not the first quantum-resistant option to a

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading ind

A fresh debate is brewing after the founder of Cardano suggested that Ripple explore an XRP buyback model. Speaking in a recent interview, Charles Hoskinson argued that XRP could become far more attra

Cardano’s Charles Hoskinson Weighs In on XRP Strategy, Claims Direct Ripple Buybacks Could Superchar

CC: Institutional Privacy L1

U.S. crypto lobbying group Blockchain Association has urged the Federal Reserve to formalise the removal of “reputation risk” from bank supervision rules, warning that the concept has been used to res

Blockchain Association presses Fed to formalize end of reputation risk in bank oversight

BTC Breakout Soon—Guess & Win Millions HTXBitcoin price prediction amid this week’s FOMC data Bitcoin ($BTC) could experience heightened volatility this week as five major central banks, led by the Un

Bitcoin price prediction amid this week’s FOMC data
Bitcoin ($BTC) could experience heightened volatility this week as five major central banks, led by the United States’ Federal Reserve, prepare to announce their monetary policies.

After experiencing a leveraged-backed rally over the past few weeks, as Finbold explained, Bitcoin price could correct following this week’s release of the Federal Funds Rate and the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Statement. Furthermore, $BTC price dropped every time the Fed released its FOMC statement since July 2025 until last month, according to an analysis shared on X by trading expert @XBTkaz on April 27.
$BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

On Wednesday, April 29, the Fed is expected to hold rates steady at 3.75%, despite ongoing executive pressure to cut further. At press time, Polymarket traders were 99.9% sure the Fed will not change its rates, with the odds of a 25bps cut at less than 1%.
Contract for Fed decision in April. Source: Polymarket

Bitcoin price targets amid FOMC report

Bitcoin price has been trapped in a multi-month bear market, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. Since February 2026 to date, $BTC price has formed a potential bear flag, largely defined by a rising symmetrical channel, based on insights from a technical trader on X alias JDK Analysis.
$BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Following the recent $BTC price pump above $79,400, this analyst believes a lower high may have formed. As such, a potential selloff could happen in the near future to retest the lower border of the rising channel.

If the Fed maintains its lending rates, a potential sell-the-news scenario could occur in the subsequent days and weeks. Moreover, a $BTC price pump into the FOMC statement could mean the event has already been priced in by the majority.







Bitcoin price prediction amid this week’s FOMC dat

BTC Breakout Soon—Guess & Win Millions HTXHTX Community April Creation ContestDaily 5K USDT Airdrop - Join & Win!ETHUSD dropped almost $100 from the small peak of $2405 that developed yesterday. It hi

ETHUSD dropped almost $100 from the small peak of $2405 that developed yesterday. It hit an intraday low of $2308 and is currently trading at roughly $2319.TechnicalsCMP -$2317Trend4- Hour chartValue  55 EMA$2329CMP >55 EMABearish200- EMA$2248CMP >200- EMABullish365- EMA$2246CMP >365 EMABullish Major support- $1700/$1500. Minor bullishness only above $2500. Any violation above targets $2770/$2880/$3000. Momentum indicator (4-hour chart)InferenceValueCCI(50)Bullish33.21ADXNeutral  It is good to buy on dips around $2300, with an SL around $2200, for a TP of $2770.                                  Gold is meant to be a ‘safe haven’ in uncertain times. Why is it crashing amid a war?Wall Street Slides as Iran War Uncertainty, Oil Surge, and AI Fears Rattle MarketsSpaceX IPO Filing Expected This Week as Valuation Could Surpass $75 BillionStagflation Shadows: U.S. Manufacturing Shines as Services Slump to 11-Month LowScarcity and Strife: Bitcoin Hits Historic Milestone Amid Geopolitical TremorsStrategy's Multi-Billion Dollar Bitcoin Accumulation: A 2026 Milestone

ETHUSD dropped almost $100 from the small peak of

On April 29, OpenAI announced on Tuesday that its latest AI model and Codex programming assistant have now launched on the Amazon Web Services platform. Just a day earlier, the developer of ChatGPT ha

OpenAI's Codex Launches on Amazon Bedrock Platform

European stock markets edged lower on Tuesday as investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of key central bank meetings and a busy week of corporate earnings. Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particular

European Stocks Slip as U.S.-Iran Tensions and Earnings Season Weigh on Markets - EconoTimes

BTC Breakout Soon—Guess & Win Millions HTXHTX Community April Creation ContestDaily 5K USDT Airdrop - Join & Win!French authorities have indicted at least 88 people over alleged wrench attacks targeti

French authorities have indicted at least 88 people over alleged wrench attacks targeting crypto owners.  Summary French prosecutors charged 88 people, including ten minors, over alleged crypto wrench attacks on holders. Authorities said 75 suspects remain in pre-trial detention as 12 investigations continue in Paris. Prosecutors warned crypto holders to avoid online overexposure that could make them physical targets. The group includes ten minors, said Vanessa Perrée, France’s national prosecutor for organized crime.  The cases relate to 12 investigations handled by specialized judges at the Paris Judicial Court. Prosecutors said 75 of the accused remain in pre-trial detention as law enforcement continues to examine the networks behind the attacks. You might also like: Stablecoin B2B payments could hit $5 trillion by 2035: Juniper Research Crypto owners face physical extortion threats Wrench attacks involve physical threats or violence used to force victims to transfer crypto assets. French authorities have linked such crimes to home invasions, kidnappings, extortion attempts and forced wallet access. PNACO has recorded a sharp rise in these cases. The agency tracked 18 incidents in 2024, 67 in 2025 and 47 so far in 2026, showing how physical crypto-related crime has grown in France. Perrée said the crimes carry serious legal weight because they involve abduction, detention, extortion and attempts to force crypto transfers. She said the acts were serious because of “the harm caused to individuals” and the methods used. Investigators have merged several cases after finding repeated links between some suspects. Perrée said these links revealed “the existence of structured networks,” with authorities still working to identify the organizers and money flows. Security warnings grow for crypto users The rise in wrench attacks has renewed warnings for cry

French authorities have indicted at least 88 peopl

🚨BREAKING: Trump to Hold National Security Meeting on Iran Today President Donald Trump is convening a Situation Room meeting with his top national security and foreign policy team on Monday, April 27

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BTC broke through 77000  USDT

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edge soared to 1.3746 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of 2.07%. It currently trades at 1.3485 USDT on HTX.

Polymarket Seeks CFTC Approval to Launch Main Trading Platform in the U.S.

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