Hyperliquid (HYPE) рост

The article analyzes Hyperliquid's token HYPE, which has faced bearish pressure due to team token unlocks, institutional selling, and excessive reliance on a single deployment partner, trade.xyz. Data shows HIP-3, Hyperliquid's open perpetuals platform, now drives over 60% of total volume, with trade.xyz capturing nearly 100% of HIP-3 activity. This extreme concentration stems from the mechanism's high staking barrier (500k HYPE), auction-based market creation favoring early movers, and poor economics for other deployers. The pattern is repeating in the newly launched HIP-4 prediction markets. While trade.xyz's growth provides real value—funding protocol fees and buybacks—it creates a dependency. The key risk is whether value accrues to the HYPE token long-term, especially as trade.xyz seeks independent funding at a ~$1.5B valuation. Analysts note both parties are deeply integrated, making a split unlikely, and HYPE's valuation based on cash flow appears relatively cheap versus traditional fintech. The core challenge for Hyperliquid is ensuring protocol-layer value capture amidst this centralized growth.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) funds returned to net inflows, attracting $2.84 million in the week ending August 7th. This ended a three-week period of outflows that had totaled $30.6 million, with the worst week seeing a $14.7 million withdrawal. The reversal coincided with a broader recovery in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which saw nearly $1.1 billion in inflows that same week, heavily concentrated in Bitcoin ($853.5M) and Ethereum ($244.9M). The renewed interest in HYPE funds comes despite the token's price trading around $54.75, down approximately 29% from its June peak. Analysts suggest the earlier outflow slowdown was linked to increased competition. The current inflow signals investors are once again evaluating the asset, which provides exposure to the Hyperliquid Layer 1 blockchain and derivatives infrastructure. The shift indicates capital is returning to riskier crypto segments, but with a primary focus on liquidity and major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.

This market analysis provides a technical outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE. For Bitcoin, the analysis identifies a potential "c-wave" rebound currently underway from the $62,268 low. The key resistance zone for this move is $65,700-$67,300. A successful break above this area could target $69,500-$71,000. Core support levels are identified at $63,600-$64,000 and $60,950-$61,500. Trading strategies include: 1) Reducing medium-term short positions below 20% if price stabilizes above $63,600, with plans to increase shorts to 50% near the $69,500-$71,000 zone if clear resistance appears; 2) Short-term tactical trades using 30% capital, with specific plans for shorting near the $69,500-$71,000 resistance (Plan A) or buying near the $63,600-$64,000 support (Plan B). For HYPE, the price is seen as finding support at a critical confluence zone: a long-term rising trendline, the lower boundary of a descending channel, and the $50-$52 price area. This has triggered a potential rebound. The immediate resistance is at $58.5-$60, followed by the descending channel's upper boundary. The key test for the rally's strength will be whether it can break this upper channel line. Short-term strategy suggests holding or establishing light long positions in the $50-$52 support zone, with strict stop-loss discipline. The report also includes a review of a previous successful BTC long trade from ~$62,753 to ~$64,183, yielding approximately 2.28%. It emphasizes strict risk management: setting initial stops, moving stops to breakeven at +1% profit, and trailing stops to lock in gains thereafter. All views are presented as technical analysis for reference only and not as investment advice.

The article discusses how the Real-World Asset (RWA) trading boom on the Hyperliquid derivatives platform is paradoxically undermining the revenue that supports its native token, HYPE. While Hyperliquid is processing record trading volumes and open interest, particularly in tokenized stocks and commodities like Nvidia and Tesla, its protocol revenue has fallen 43% from its peak in Q3 2025. A key driver is the platform's HIP-3 proposal, which allows market makers to launch their own perpetual futures markets and keep up to half the trading fees. These markets now account for roughly half of Hyperliquid's volume, significantly increasing the share of revenue paid out to third parties instead of being retained. This revenue decline directly impacts the buyback mechanism for HYPE tokens. A fixed portion of trading fees funds a buyback-and-burn treasury, which purchased nearly half as much HYPE in Q2 2026 as it did at its peak. Consequently, HYPE's price has fallen and now trades at a high earnings multiple. The ecosystem also shows weakness, with HYPE comprising almost all its value, and faces pressure from token unlocks, regulatory warnings, and new competition like Robinhood Chain. Despite these challenges, Hyperliquid remains a major revenue generator in crypto, often compared to a foundational platform like AWS. However, if quarterly revenue continues its declining trend, the growth prospects for the HYPE token will likely weaken further.

Bitwise clients invested over $5 million in the Hyperliquid token $HYPE last week via the HYPE ETF and have not sold any tokens since July. Despite a 14% price drop over the past 30 days, $HYPE is still up 118% year-to-date. Data from Arkham Explorer shows Bitwise, a major issuer of the $HYPE ETF, has made only purchases since late July, signaling strong accumulation. The Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (ticker BHYP) launched on the NYSE in May 2026, one of the first U.S. spot products for Hyperliquid, featuring a 0.34% sponsor fee. A European ETP version launched on Deutsche Börse Xetra in April 2026. Analyst interest stems from Hyperliquid's tokenomics, where 97% of protocol fees are used to buy back and burn $HYPE, creating deflationary pressure. Hyperliquid processed $2.9 trillion in trading volume in 2025 and holds about 60% of global on-chain derivatives open interest, with $HYPE now a top-10 crypto asset by market cap.