edgeX (EDGE) падение

In a podcast with WuBlockchain, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses recent market dynamics, expressing a bearish outlook on crypto in the near term. He attributes Bitcoin's recent decline to a combination of cyclical selling pressure, the start of a US stock market correction, and liquidity tightening. A key catalyst is the emerging financial strain on MicroStrategy (MSTR). Huang explains that MSTR's model of borrowing to buy Bitcoin created a positive "flywheel" in a bull market. However, with falling BTC prices turning its stock premium into a discount, the model is now under severe stress. While MSTR only sold 32 BTC recently, the market is "front-running" the fear of its massive 80,000+ BTC holdings potentially being liquidated to meet debt obligations. He believes a true market bottom requires a major, capitulation-level event similar to the FTX collapse. Regarding investments, Huang states his fund is up over 20% this year, outperforming Bitcoin by 50-60%. The strategy involves crypto assets and commodities like oil, gold, and silver, but avoids AI stocks due to a perceived lack of trading edge. He is cautious of crowded trades in semiconductors and sees bubbles in the broader market, citing the hype around a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite short-term pessimism, Huang remains long-term bullish on one crypto innovation: stablecoins. He views them as the clearest example of a "faster, better" financial tool with significant room for global adoption. For the future, he is very bearish on Ethereum. For Bitcoin, he anticipates potential for a significant drop below $48,000 before a eventual rebound, but stresses the need to wait for a true panic-driven bottom marked by widespread despair and disinterest in the market.

EdgeX (EDGE) surged 34% in a day, breaking out of a 30-day consolidation pattern and signaling strong bullish control. Technical indicators, including the Chaikin Money Flow turning positive and Bull Bear Power, confirm growing buyer dominance and a potential trend reversal from its bearish phase since early June. For the rally to extend, the asset must overcome key supply resistance between $0.39 and $0.42. If momentum holds, near-term targets are $0.55, with a longer-term potential to fill a fair value gap up to the $0.80-$1.21 range. Overall market sentiment remains firmly bullish, supporting the case for a continued upward move.

Bitcoin is showing signs of demand recovery after weeks of selling pressure, with the 30-day cumulative demand rebounding sharply. However, the recovery is uneven: futures market demand has recovered to neutral levels, while spot market demand remains weak, indicating long-term investors are still hesitant. This divergence suggests traders are positioning for price increases before significant capital enters the spot market. Downside fears in the options market have eased compared to previous sell-offs, indicating expectations are shifting from a sharp capitulation to a slower bottoming process. Despite this calmer sentiment, the recovery faces headwinds from long-term holders distributing coins and taking profits. Data shows supply is rotating from experienced holders to newer participants, and until this selling pressure subsides and spot accumulation strengthens, Bitcoin's recovery is likely to remain gradual rather than accelerating into a sustained bullish trend.

Canaan Inc., once hailed as the "first global blockchain stock," is now fighting to avoid delisting from Nasdaq. On July 15, the company received a 180-day extension, until January 11, 2027, to regain compliance after its ADS price fell below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days. Its market cap has plummeted over 90% from its peak after its 2019 IPO. The financial picture is grim. Q1 2026 results showed a 24.3% year-over-year revenue decline to $62.7 million and a net loss of $88.7 million. The company recorded a gross loss, including approximately $25 million in non-cash inventory writedowns for its mining machines, signaling collapsing demand. Its Q2 revenue guidance is a weak $35-45 million. A costly strategic misstep contributed to its troubles. In June 2025, Canaan terminated its non-core AI chip business after years of development yielded minimal revenue but significant operating expenses, forcing a full retreat to its core Bitcoin mining hardware and proprietary mining operations. However, the core business faces intense pressure. The mining machine industry is highly cyclical and tied to Bitcoin's price. In the current "post-halving" environment with lower marginal returns, demand has cooled sharply. Canaan's product revenue crashed to $42.9 million in Q1 2026 from $164.9 million in Q4 2024. In response, management is pivoting from a pure hardware seller to a "computing power infrastructure service provider." It is expanding proprietary mining, with total hash rate in joint projects reaching 11 EH/s, and exploring energy integration projects like using mining heat for agriculture. It also secured $72 million in strategic investment in late 2025. Canaan's struggle reflects the broader crypto mining winter, where capital has shifted toward AI and high-performance computing. The company must now prove its viability within the 180-day grace period, with a potential reverse stock split on the table, as the market focuses on cash flow and profitability over mere narrative.

Ethereum is showing signs of strengthening against Bitcoin, driven by two key trends. First, significant whale accumulation is occurring, with large holders not just buying ETH but immediately staking 100% of it. This locks away supply, signaling long-term conviction. Ethereum's total staked ETH has reached a record 40.8 million, with a growing entry queue and 33.5% of supply now staked, further tightening liquid availability. Second, Ethereum's DeFi ecosystem is experiencing robust activity, with WETH whale transactions at a multi-year high and Total Value Locked (TVL) rising sharply. These converging factors—reduced supply from staking and increased on-chain demand—are translating into technical strength. The ETH/BTC ratio has broken above resistance and is approaching the 0.03 level, setting the stage for potential continued outperformance against Bitcoin.