HUNTPreço de Hunt Town

Prediction markets are becoming a new arena in crypto where elite, well-equipped traders are systematically profiting from retail participants who often treat trading like gambling, driven by dopamine and narratives rather than discipline. According to 10x Research, a small, informed minority accurately prices probabilities and hedges exposure to extract value from retail-driven longshots. Data shows that on Polymarket, only 16.7% of wallets are profitable, while 83% have lost money. Concerns about insider trading are growing, with some users showing near-perfect win rates. Additionally, a bug was discovered that double-counts trading volume on third-party dashboards, though this is due to data errors rather than illegal wash trading.

Huobi HTX's "Hunt the AI Plan" event concluded on December 4, marking the end of a three-season human-versus-AI trading competition. The total prize pool reached 10,403 USDT, which will be distributed to participating users. In the final season, human trader LongTian achieved a 152% return with a profit of 938.9 USDT, earning the title of "Human Camp Champion." Meanwhile, AI contestant DeepSeek led with total profits of 1,217 USDT and a 147% return, securing the top spot in overall earnings. The prize pool will be allocated as follows: 40% to followers of DeepSeek, 40% to followers of LongTian, and 20% to users who participated in interactive activities like voting. All rewards will be issued as copy-trading experience funds. To date, Huobi HTX has distributed approximately 45,000 USDT in rewards throughout the event series. DeepSeek will continue offering copy-trading services on the platform, with ongoing strategy optimizations aimed at sustainable growth. Huobi HTX, established in 2013, is a comprehensive blockchain ecosystem offering a range of crypto services including trading, derivatives, and investment.

PEPE, the frog-themed meme coin, has experienced a 3.47% price drop, with its value falling from a high of $0.000004567 to a low of $0.00000422. Currently trading around $0.000004406, its market cap stands at $1.84 billion, while daily trading volume has declined to $335.79 million. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, with the MACD and signal lines below zero, indicating weak momentum and strong capital outflow. The RSI at 42.88 and a nearly neutral Bull Bear Power point to consolidation or further downside pressure unless buying strength increases. Key support and resistance levels are at $0.000004365 and $0.000004562, respectively.

In his latest podcast, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shares his macro outlook and investment strategy for the coming year. He argues that the market is waiting for a form of quantitative easing (QE) that will never be explicitly announced. Instead, the Federal Reserve will use new tools like "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMP) to inject liquidity by buying short-term Treasury bills, effectively achieving the same stimulative effect as QE without using the politically toxic term. Hayes believes the market will initially misunderstand RMP but will eventually recognize it as money printing, leading to a significant asset price rebound starting in early 2025, with potential volatility around March before a sustained uptrend. Hayes reveals his fund, Maelstrom, is nearly fully invested, with 90% of capital deployed, and remains confident even if Bitcoin drops below $80,000. He highlights Ethena (ENA) as one of his most successful altcoin bets due to its capture of interest rate dynamics, and is bullish on privacy and zero-knowledge (ZK) projects like Zcash for the next cycle, despite regulatory hurdles that limit exchange listings. He cautions against shorting AI-related stocks like NVIDIA and emphasizes that the U.S. administration will prioritize low rates and financial market growth to sustain the AI-driven economy, regardless of who leads the Fed. Hayes maintains his long-term Bitcoin target of $250,000 by 2026, warns against the overuse of leverage, and dismisses the notion that market makers are manipulating prices. He concludes that "altcoin seasons" are constant but require adapting to new narratives rather than clinging to past cycles.