Queda acentuada de Arbitrum (ARB)

Arbitrum led major blockchains in net inflows during 2025, reflecting a capital rotation toward scalable and reliable Layer 2 infrastructure, supported by strong fundamentals including $20B in total value locked and growing adoption like Robinhood's tokenized stocks. Despite steady user activity and revenue growth without incentive-driven surges, ARB's price remained subdued near $0.19, trading within a falling wedge with neutral momentum indicators. This suggests a tension between strong on-chain performance and short-term price hesitation heading into 2026.

The bearish market has impacted Arbitrum (ARB), with its price dropping 0.95% to trade around $0.1777. After briefly spiking to $0.181, ARB retreated to recent lows, while daily trading volume fell 34.26% to $85.57 million. Technical indicators suggest a weakening trend: the MACD and signal lines are below zero, the RSI is at 34.50 (nearing oversold conditions), and the CMF indicates nearly neutral money flow. However, the TD Sequential signals a potential short-term rebound if the $0.17 support holds. A recovery could push the price toward $0.20, while further bearish pressure may test the $0.1737 level.

Bitcoin (BTC) fell 6% this week, while Ethereum (ETH) dropped 10%, marking their first significant weekly losses this year. Despite the downturn, the market reaction varied, with some cryptocurrencies posting gains. Weekly winners included Kaia (KAIA), which surged mid-week before a 20% pullback due to profit-taking, though its bullish structure remained intact. Canton Network (CC) defied the broader privacy coin decline with a 36% rally. MYX Finance (MYX) jumped 32% following its V2 upgrade. Tether Gold (XAUT) and PAX Gold (PAX) rose 9% and 10%, respectively, amid macroeconomic uncertainty, while LayerZero (ZRO) gained 11%. Weekly losers featured Ethena (ENA), which fell roughly 15% with sustained selling pressure and weak buyer interest. Arbitrum (ARB) slid nearly 15%, breaking key support levels. Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) dropped over 8% as AI token momentum waned. Larger caps like Solana (SOL) and Chainlink (LINK) fell around 10-11%, and Sui Network (SUI) declined 16%. The week highlighted market rotation rather than collapse, with selective risk-taking and defensive moves shaping performance.

The Arbitrum Foundation is seeking substantial new funding through an on-chain governance vote. The proposal, titled "Continued Funding for the Arbitrum Foundation," requests $16 million in real-world assets (RWAs), 1,700 ETH, and 230 million ARB tokens to support its operations for another year beyond the period covered by a previous funding plan. According to a governance roundup, technical costs are projected to make up 54% of all anticipated expenses for 2027, highlighting the ongoing engineering and infrastructure needs of the Arbitrum One and Nova scaling networks. The vote, which closes on June 25, 2026, presents a key decision for ARB token holders on allocating significant treasury resources to the central operating body. The outcome will signal how Arbitrum's DAO balances decentralization with the practical need to fund ecosystem development, partnerships, and technical maintenance. The large request, particularly for native ARB tokens, makes this a sensitive governance moment with potential implications for market sentiment and the network's competitive position in the Ethereum scaling landscape.

On July 16th, 92.65 million ARB tokens (worth approximately $8.53 million) are scheduled to unlock, representing 1.65% of the current circulating supply. The release will be allocated to the Arbitrum team, advisors, and investors. While token unlocks do not always lead to immediate selling, they can impact price in the short term. Despite the impending event, ARB's price has recently recovered above $0.09, with technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggesting positive momentum and buyer dominance. Additionally, rising aggregated open interest and a positive funding rate indicate traders are largely holding optimistic, long positions. However, this sentiment could increase volatility if the market moves contrary to expectations. The key question remains whether buying demand will be sufficient to absorb the new token supply without disrupting the recent price recovery.