XRP whale behavior signals confidence despite first Spot ETF outflows – Details

ambcryptoPublicado em 2026-01-10Última atualização em 2026-01-10

Resumo

Despite the first-ever outflows of $17.7 million from the XRP Spot ETF, recent whale behavior and market indicators suggest strong underlying confidence in XRP. The altcoin rallied 14.5% in January, though it retraced after Bitcoin faced resistance near $94.5k. During the pullback, retail traders showed positive sentiment by buying the dip near the $2 support level. More significantly, whale cohorts (holders of 100k to 100 million XRP) have been accumulating since mid-November, with a noticeable lack of profit-taking activity. Metrics like Coin Days Destroyed and spot taker CVD indicate a buyer-dominant market and long-term holding behavior. These trends, combined with sustained accumulation, point to a potential resumption of XRP’s rally toward $2.4, especially if Bitcoin breaks above its key resistance level.

The sentiment behind XRP has been strongly positive recently. This was partly down to the strong gains XRP made to get January off to a good start. In fact, so far this month, the altcoin has rallied by 14.5%.

Since Tuesday, 06 January, there has been a sizeable retracement though as Bitcoin [BTC] faced a rejection at the local resistance at $94.5k. According to Santiment, there was a surge of positive sentiment during the recent retracement.

This was spurred by retail traders’ attempts to “buy the dip” as the price approached the $2-psychological support. The positive sentiment shift was contrasted by the $17.7 million outflows from the XRP Spot ETF- The first ever outflows.

Whale accumulation and profit-taking activity trends give XRP bulls hope

The supply distribution trends among small and large XRP holders revealed a trend of accumulation, especially among the whale cohorts. The supply in retail holders’ wallets has been increasing, but these wallets don’t move the markets.

From September to late October-early November, wallets with over 100k XRP were falling in number. Among some cohorts, such as the 1 million- 100 million (brown and yellow), the drop was pronounced in these months.

Since mid-November, all the whale cohorts except one (the 1 million- 10 million XRP holding wallets) have been accumulating.

That was not all. Whale accumulation has accompanied a distinct lack of profit-taking activity as well. The Coin Days Destroyed metric captured the movement of XRP, with the same being previously dormant.

A hike in CDD means a high volume of coins in storage for the long term has been moved – Signifying a sell-off. The most recent CDD spike came on 10 December, while the latest rally did not quite spur any sizeable profit-taking.

The spot taker CVD metric also signaled a buyer-dominant market phase. Takers, or market orders, move prices. The buyer dominance since November seemed to line up well with what the whale supply distribution hinted at too.

Finally, long-term holders have continued to HODL. There seemed to be evidence for whale accumulation too, with the spot market being driven by buyers. Together, these conditions hinted at bullishness.

XRP’s rally is likely to resume and climb past $2.4 in the coming weeks, especially if Bitcoin can climb above the local resistance at $94.5k.


Final Thoughts

  • XRP’s rally to $2.41 and subsequent retracement was an encouraging sign of a bullish trend shift and not a relief bounce for profit-taking.
  • Evidence pointed to strong spot buying activity since November and a hike in whale accumulation.

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the main reason for the positive sentiment behind XRP recently?

AThe positive sentiment was partly due to XRP's strong gains at the start of January, with the altcoin rallying by 14.5% so far this month.

QWhat significant event occurred with the XRP Spot ETF during the recent retracement?

AThere was the first-ever outflow from the XRP Spot ETF, totaling $17.7 million, which contrasted with the positive sentiment shift.

QWhat does the recent trend in XRP's supply distribution among whale cohorts indicate?

ASince mid-November, all whale cohorts except the 1 million-10 million XRP holding wallets have been accumulating, signaling a trend of whale accumulation.

QWhat does a hike in the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric signify for XRP?

AA hike in CDD signifies that a high volume of coins that were dormant and stored long-term have been moved, which typically indicates a sell-off or profit-taking event.

QWhat is the key factor that could help XRP's rally resume and climb past $2.4 in the coming weeks?

AXRP's rally is likely to resume and climb past $2.4 if Bitcoin can climb above its local resistance level at $94.5k.

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Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de XRP (XRP) são apresentadas abaixo.

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