US Jobs Data Clarifies Fed Rate Cut Stand, Crypto Prices Fumble Further

TheNewsCryptoPublicado em 2026-02-12Última atualização em 2026-02-12

Resumo

US jobs data for January 2026 exceeded expectations, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 130,000—significantly above the 55,000 forecast—and unemployment dipping to 4.3%. The strong report reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March, with rates expected to remain between 3.50% and 3.75% until at least June. While stocks and bonds reacted positively, the crypto market declined slightly, with its total cap falling to $2.3 trillion. Bitcoin traded around $67,000, with concerns it may drop below $65,000. Major altcoins showed mixed movements. The strong economic data may further dampen investor appetite for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.

US jobs data for January 2026 is out, and the picture is better than what was anticipated. Most importantly, it sheds some more light on the possibility of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in its upcoming March meeting. For crypto prices, the situation has worsened over the last 24 hours, even though a few upticks are observed amid fluctuations.

US Job Data

Investors and other market players have finally caught a break with the US Job data for January 2026. As reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the nonfarm payroll rose by 130k in the last month, against an earlier forecast of 55,000 by Dow Jones consensus. Leading the charge was the health care sector, with social assistance and construction sectors following the lead.

Unemployment dropped slightly from 4.4% to 4.3%, now translating to 7.4 million unemployed people as of January 2026. The rate was earlier estimated to stay the same in the light of flat retail sales data in December 2025.

US stocks and bonds were among the first to react positively. US Treasury yields, for one, jumped by 4.5 bps to 4.19% as an initial response. CNBC has reported consecutive growth since November 2025 for job creation. The same report has stated that US President Donald Trump called this report a sign of the strong economy.

Reaction of Crypto Prices

Crypto prices continue to move past their respective bullish mark. Their collective market cap has declined by 0.28% to $2.3 trillion, earlier above $3 trillion. BTC is still making moves between $67k and $71k, currently listed at $67,088.84, which is slightly up by 0.27% over the last 24 hours.

A similar reaction is visible on other top cryptocurrencies, including, but not limited to, ETH (+1.25%), XRP (+1.29%), and SOL (-0.28%). Concerns about BTC extending losses below $65k remain on the table. Notably, Bitcoin tokens have been squeezed between $65k and $70k for some time now.

And Now The Fed Rate Cut

The US Federal Reserve didn’t slash rates in January, and is less likely to cut rates in March 2026 as well. A 10-2 voting verdict kept the rate between 3.50% and 3.75%, something that could go on till June.

Oren Klachkin, Financial Market Economist at Nationwide, has stated, as reported by Reuters, that an extended pause still seems likely. No rate cut in March is now likely to have some influence over investors’ appetite for fund allocation to risky ventures, cryptocurrencies in this case.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

Hoskinson Confirms Midnight Mainnet Launch in March

TagsCrypto Pricefed rate cuts

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat was the actual nonfarm payroll increase for January 2026 and how did it compare to the forecast?

AThe nonfarm payroll rose by 130,000 in January 2026, which was significantly higher than the earlier forecast of 55,000 by the Dow Jones consensus.

QHow did the unemployment rate change in January 2026 and what was the estimated number of unemployed people?

AThe unemployment rate dropped slightly from 4.4% to 4.3% in January 2026, translating to 7.4 million unemployed people.

QWhat is the current status of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate and what is the outlook for a rate cut in March 2026?

AThe US Federal Reserve kept the rate between 3.50% and 3.75% and is less likely to cut rates in March 2026, with an extended pause seeming likely.

QHow did the collective market capitalization of cryptocurrencies change in the last 24 hours and what is its current value?

AThe collective market cap of cryptocurrencies declined by 0.28% to $2.3 trillion over the last 24 hours, down from being above $3 trillion earlier.

QWhich sectors were reported as leading the job growth in the January 2026 US jobs data?

AThe health care sector led the job growth, followed by the social assistance and construction sectors.

Leituras Relacionadas

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

The cryptocurrency market has just concluded its worst-performing quarter since 2022, with total capitalization dropping 12.6% to $2.1 trillion. All core metrics indicate capital is leaving the sector, not just rotating within it. Bitcoin fell 14.2% and Ethereum dropped 25.4% in Q2, breaking their previous correlation with US tech stocks. A key driver is the reversal in US spot Bitcoin ETF flows, which saw a net outflow of approximately $4.67 billion in Q2, including a record monthly outflow near $4.5 billion in June. While recent data suggests long-term holders are accumulating again, sustained ETF outflows mean continued selling pressure. Market focus is now singularly on the Federal Reserve. The upcoming July FOMC meeting is seen as the most critical event for Q3. A dovish signal could support Bitcoin reclaiming a $68,000-$84,000 range, while a hawkish stance might establish a new trading band around $50,000-$56,000. Additionally, regulatory uncertainty persists, with the progress of the crucial *CLARITY Act* stalling in the Senate, reducing its perceived 2026 passage probability to 40-45%. Despite the broad downturn, a few sectors showed growth. Prediction markets saw nominal volume surge 48.7% year-over-year to $113.8 billion, and tokenized collectibles transaction volume rose 143% quarterly to $1.4 billion. The Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization sector also continued steady growth, now representing ~$28.1 billion in on-chain value. The market's foundation for an extreme crash appears limited, with Bitcoin price hovering near its 200-week moving average. However, the trading paradigm has shifted from narrative-driven speculation to decisions based on price action, policy developments, and interest rate expectations, making a broad sentiment-driven rally unlikely in the near term.

marsbitHá 7h

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

marsbitHá 7h

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

**Crypto & Stock Market Wrap: Bitcoin Tests Resistance, Stocks Retreat After AI Surge** Bitcoin consolidates around $66,000, facing key resistance near $68,000—an area seen as a major psychological and technical hurdle where previous rallies have failed. Analysts note the cryptocurrency is caught between its 200-week moving average (~$63,333) and 200-week EMA (~$68,328). A clear break above $68k is needed to signal a stronger bullish trend, while a rejection could lead to a retest of $63k support. Market sentiment remains cautious, with low futures open interest pointing to a low-liquidity rebound rather than a full bull market. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw another $203 million inflow. US stock futures pointed lower after a strong Tuesday session led by a massive rebound in semiconductors and memory stocks. The rally was fueled by renewed optimism about AI-driven hardware demand, with Micron, SanDisk, and SK Hynix surging. However, those gains reversed in pre-market trading. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) soared over 20% after hours on strong guidance and a record backlog. Other standouts included Rocket Lab and nuclear energy plays Oklo and X-Energy. Rising oil prices (Brent above $91) and climbing Treasury yields (10-year near 4.64%), however, are reigniting inflation concerns and acting as a headwind for equities. In Asia, markets were mixed. South Korea's KOSPI pared early gains to close slightly higher as semiconductor stocks like SK Hynix gave back initial surges. Japan's Nikkei edged lower as the yen hit a fresh 38-year low against the dollar, raising fears of potential market intervention. Key events to watch include the Samsung Galaxy launch, AMD's AI event, and a slew of major tech earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM after the close on Wednesday, followed by the ECB meeting and Intel's earnings on Thursday.

marsbitHá 8h

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

marsbitHá 8h

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

Former CFTC Chairman and Circle President Heath Tarbert has consistently advocated for a long-term vision in public, urging patience from investors as Circle’s stock price has fallen significantly from its peak. However, it has been revealed that since Circle’s IPO, Tarbert has continuously sold his CRCL shares through pre-arranged trading plans, cashing out approximately $30 million, without making any public market purchases. This contrast between his public messaging and personal actions has drawn criticism. Tarbert joined Circle in July 2023 as Chief Legal Officer, leveraging his regulatory experience to help guide the company through its IPO and expansion. Despite promoting stablecoins as long-term infrastructure, he established a 10b5-1 trading plan just before Circle went public, leading to substantial stock sales over the following year. In March 2026, he initiated another plan to sell more shares. His career trajectory highlights a pattern of moving between high-level regulatory roles and influential positions in the financial sector. After resigning as CFTC Chairman in early 2021, he joined Citadel Securities as Chief Legal Officer just 27 days later, during a period of intense regulatory scrutiny for the firm. He later joined Circle, aiding its efforts to navigate regulatory challenges for its public listing. While Tarbert's expertise in policy and compliance is valuable to companies like Circle, his actions—advocating long-term confidence while personally divesting—raise questions about the alignment between his public statements and his private financial decisions, leaving investors who followed his advice to bear the market risks.

marsbitHá 8h

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

marsbitHá 8h

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

The article titled "Gate Research Institute: Are Crypto Financial Products Sparking a 'Wall Street' Wave—Competition or Convergence?" explores the evolving relationship between the crypto ecosystem and traditional finance (TradFi). The piece begins by reflecting on Bitcoin's original 2009 vision of decentralization, disintermediation, and moving away from banks. It then contrasts this with the 2024 landscape, where key crypto assets like Bitcoin are increasingly held through Wall Street products like ETFs issued by giants like BlackRock. The article questions whether this signifies that TradFi is systematically taking over the rights to issue, price, custody, and distribute crypto financial assets. The core argument is that this is not a zero-sum takeover but rather a bidirectional convergence where each side addresses the other's weaknesses. Crypto offers 24/7 global markets, programmable settlement, and open access but lacks compliant channels, institutional-grade custody, deep fiat liquidity, and mainstream distribution. TradFi possesses these but is constrained by legacy systems, limited operating hours, and slow settlement. Two primary convergence paths are highlighted: * **Path A (CEX to TradFi):** Exemplified by Gate, which has progressed from offering tokenized stocks and CFDs to providing direct, real stock trading (US, Hong Kong, South Korea) within its platform, using USDT. * **Path B (TradFi to Crypto):** Exemplified by Robinhood, which has integrated crypto trading, acquired exchanges like Bitstamp, and is moving traditional assets like stocks onto the blockchain via tokenization and its own Layer 2. Both paths are ultimately competing to become the next-generation, unified financial account—a "super account" where users can seamlessly trade cryptocurrencies, stocks, ETFs, RWA (Real World Assets), and tokenized treasury products in one interface. The growth of RWA and tokenized treasuries (e.g., BlackRock's BUIDL) is presented as the asset-layer fusion, providing stable, yield-bearing assets on-chain and acting as a bridge between the two worlds. In conclusion, the "Wall Street-ization" of crypto is framed as a mutual transformation. Decentralized ideals persist in the protocol layer, while at the application layer, a more efficient, global, and accessible unified capital market is emerging from this convergence. The future competition lies not between crypto exchanges and stockbrokers, but between platforms vying to offer the most comprehensive asset coverage, liquidity, and user experience within a single account.

marsbitHá 8h

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

marsbitHá 8h

Trading

Spot
活动图片