Mars Morning Post | Trump: Inflation Will Fall Further, But There Will Be No Deflation

marsbitPublicado em 2025-12-09Última atualização em 2025-12-09

Resumo

Trump states inflation will decline further but deflation is unlikely. The U.S. CFTC approves Bitcoin, ETH, and USDC as collateral in derivatives markets. A judge examines charges against Do Kwon in Korea ahead of his U.S. sentencing. Major U.S. bank CEOs meet with senators to discuss crypto legislation. Airwallex’s CEO reveals rejecting a $1.2 billion acquisition offer from Stripe. The Canada Revenue Agency reports 40% of crypto users may be evading taxes. Paradigm’s founder identifies a data bug causing inflated trading volume reports on Polymarket. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December rises to 87.3%. A senator expresses frustration over slow crypto bill negotiations. The crypto fear and greed index remains at 22, indicating extreme fear. MicroStrategy reaffirms long-term Bitcoin strategy. CZ responds to allegations of insider trading by a Binance employee. Robinhood expands its crypto services with ETH and Solana staking. Traders expect cumulative Fed rate cuts to be less than 75 basis points by 2026.

Trump: Inflation Will Fall Further, But There Will Be No Deflation

Mars Finance News, December 9 - US President Trump stated that inflation will fall further, but there will be no deflation. (Jin10)

US CFTC Approves Bitcoin, ETH, and USDC as Collateral in Derivatives Market

Mars Finance News, according to The Block, acting chairman of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Caroline Pham announced the launch of the "Digital Asset Pilot Program," allowing specific cryptocurrencies to be used as collateral in the derivatives market. The pilot program will be limited to Bitcoin, ETH, and the stablecoin USDC in its initial phase. Pham stated that embracing responsible innovation ensures US markets become world leaders, unlocking US economic growth. Futures commission merchants (FCMs) participating in the crypto collateral program are required to report the total amount of digital assets held in customer accounts weekly, including futures and cleared swaps, and report any significant operational or systemic issues affecting digital asset collateral.

Judge Inquires About Charges Do Kwon Faces in South Korea Before US Sentencing

Mars Finance News, according to Finance Feeds, Do Kwon is scheduled for sentencing in New York on Thursday after pleading guilty to two felony charges, but the presiding judge is urging prosecutors and defense attorneys to clarify the situation he will face in South Korea. US District Judge Paul Engelmayer, in documents filed on Monday, requested both parties to detail the charges and the "maximum and minimum sentences" Do Kwon might face if extradited to South Korea. Do Kwon pleaded guilty in August to wire fraud and conspiracy to commit fraud. These charges stem from his role in the 2022 collapse of Terraform Labs, whose stablecoin and token crash triggered a broader market downturn, causing significant losses across the crypto industry. Do Kwon is expected to serve his sentence in the US first, but the questions raised by Engelmayer indicate the court's desire to fully understand the parallel criminal charges he faces in South Korea. The judge also asked both parties whether they agree that "the time Do Kwon was detained in Montenegro" should not be counted towards any sentence in the US. Do Kwon was detained in Montenegro for four months for using forged travel documents and spent over a year fighting extradition before being transferred to US custody.

CEOs of Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup to Meet with US Senators to Discuss Crypto Market Legislation

Mars Finance News, according to Bloomberg, Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser, and Wells Fargo CEO Charlie Scharf plan to meet with bipartisan senators on Thursday to discuss cryptocurrency market legislation that could soon be put to a vote. The discussion, organized by the large bank coalition Financial Services Forum, is expected to focus on bankers' opposition to allowing stablecoins to pay interest, banks' competitiveness in the crypto space, and preventing the use of cryptocurrency for illegal activities. Senators involved in crypto market structure legislation have been invited to attend the meeting.

Airwallex Founder Discloses Rejection of $1.2 Billion Acquisition Offer from Stripe

Mars Finance News, December 9 - Jack Zhang, founder and CEO of payment startup Airwallex, stated in a post, "In 2018, Stripe offered to acquire us for $1.2 billion when our revenue was only $2 million. Stripe's valuation was 600 times revenue; based on the latest Stripe stock price, I personally could have made over $2 billion. But the team refused. Today, we have raised $330 million, with a valuation of $8 billion and an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $1 billion." Previously reported, Airwallex raised $330 million in its latest funding round, reaching a valuation of $8 billion. According to a statement released on Monday, this valuation represents an increase of about 30% from the previous funding round six months ago. The round was led by Addition, with participation from institutions such as Activant, Lingotto, and TIAA Ventures.

Canadian Tax Agency Says 40% of Crypto Users Pose Tax Evasion Risk, Has Requested Platforms to Disclose User Data

Mars Finance News, the Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) stated that approximately 40% of taxpayers using crypto platforms engage in tax evasion or high-risk non-compliance. The CRA said in an email statement that its crypto asset audit team, consisting of 35 auditors, is handling over 230 related cases and has "recovered over C$100 million in taxes" through audits in the past three years.

The CRA acknowledged that current Canadian law has significant limitations in identifying crypto asset users, and regulators "cannot reliably identify crypto users and assess their tax compliance." Therefore, the CRA has repeatedly attempted to require platforms to disclose user data, including requesting data from Dapper Labs on its top 18,000 users, but ultimately, after negotiations between lawyers and officials, obtained data for only 2,500 users.

Canada's Department of Finance announced in October this year that it will introduce new legislation in spring 2026 to close regulatory gaps. Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne stated that the government will establish a dedicated financial crimes agency to address rapidly evolving fraud and financial crime. Meanwhile, Canada's financial intelligence unit, FINTRAC, continues to strengthen anti-money laundering enforcement, recently fining KuCoin operating entity Peken Global over C$19.5 million for failing to register as a foreign money services business as required, among other reasons.

Paradigm Founder: Polymarket Has Data Bug, Trading Volume Double-Counted in Most Public Data

Mars Finance News, Paradigm founder Matt Huang reposted research by @notnotstorm on social media, pointing out that Polymarket has a data statistics error causing its publicly reported trading volume to be double-counted. This issue may have affected most third-party cited public data.

Probability of Fed Cutting Rates by 25 Basis Points in December Now at 87.3%

Mars Finance News, December 9 - According to CME "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in December is 87.3%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 12.7%. The Fed will announce its interest rate decision for the period ending December 10 at 3:00 AM Beijing Time on December 11 (Thursday), expected at 3.75%, previous value 4.00%; Fed Chair Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference at 3:30 AM.

US Senator Moreno Calls Crypto Bill Negotiations "Frustrating," Year-End Legislative Process Intensifies

Mars Finance News, according to The Block, Ohio Republican Senator Moreno stated that negotiations surrounding the cryptocurrency market structure bill are "quite frustrating," with Democrats and Republicans planning to meet on Tuesday. At the Blockchain Association policy summit held in Washington, D.C., on Monday, Moreno outlined the progress of discussions on what the broader bill should include. Moreno said: "I am reluctant to rush out a bad bill just to show we passed something. No deal is better than a bad deal." The respective versions of the market structure bill from the House and Senate legislative bodies still need to be reconciled. The House passed its version of the Clarity Act in July. Although the Senate proposal does not differ significantly, passing a bill in the Senate is typically more difficult than in the House. Previously, Senate Banking Committee Chairman, Republican Tim Scott, stated that holding a bill markup hearing by December 17 or 18 was "feasible." However, on Monday, Democratic Senator Mark Warner revealed that completing the bill markup hearing before the holidays is challenging, and they are still waiting for the White House's stance on quorum and ethics issues.

Crypto Fear & Greed Index Rises to 22, Market Remains in "Extreme Fear"

Mars Finance News, December 9 - According to Alternative data, today's Crypto Fear & Greed Index rose to 22 (yesterday 20), with the market still in a state of "Extreme Fear." Note: The Fear & Greed Index threshold is 0-100, comprising indicators: Volatility (25%) + Market Volume (25%) + Social Media Hype (15%) + Surveys (15%) + Bitcoin Dominance (10%) + Google Trends (10%).

Strategy CEO: Company Will Hold Bitcoin Until at Least 2065, Maintaining Long-Term Accumulation Strategy

Mars Finance News, December 9 - According to Cointelegraph, Strategy CEO Phong Le stated that the company will hold Bitcoin until at least 2065, maintaining a long-term accumulation strategy. Despite the growing influence of spot Bitcoin ETFs, MSTR stock will remain a key proxy for BTC.

CZ Responds to "Binance Employee Profiting from Token Launch" Incident: Although No Longer Managing Binance, Will Still Assist in Handling Reports of Employee Misconduct

Mars Finance News, December 9 - CZ posted on platform X in response to the "Binance employee涉嫌利用内幕消息发币获利" incident, stating: "Although I am no longer managing Binance, if users report employee misconduct via private message or comments, I will handle it properly. I heard the above case has been reported. Binance maintains close cooperation with law enforcement agencies worldwide (mainly assisting them), and the perpetrators have nowhere to hide." Previously reported, Binance stated on social media that its investigation into the "suspected employee token launch" matter showed that the employee in question launched the related token on-chain at 13:29 (UTC+8) on December 7, with some of the text and images used in a tweet posted by the Binance Futures account at 13:30 matching. After verification, this behavior was confirmed to be the employee涉嫌利用职务便利谋取私利, seriously violating company regulations and code of professional conduct. The employee involved has been immediately suspended pending further disciplinary action. Binance has proactively contacted and will actively cooperate with relevant law enforcement agencies in the employee's location to take corresponding legal action in accordance with applicable laws. As promised, a total reward of $100,000 will be evenly distributed among the 5 earliest valid whistleblowers.

Robinhood Launches Ethereum and Solana Staking Services, Continues Expanding Crypto Business

Mars Finance News, according to Fortune magazine, Robinhood is increasing its focus on cryptocurrency business. According to the company, starting Tuesday, the trading app will launch Ethereum and Solana staking services in New York, allowing customers to earn yields through cryptocurrency. The company will allow New York customers to stake and plans to expand the business nationwide. Robinhood also announced its entry into the global cryptocurrency market. In Europe, it will add perpetual futures contracts for multiple cryptocurrencies and will also enter the Indonesian market, as the company has agreed to acquire a local brokerage and crypto platform there.

Traders Expect Cumulative Fed Rate Cuts by End-2026 to Be Less Than 75 Basis Points

Mars Finance News, December 8 - According to market news, traders expect cumulative Fed rate cuts by the end of 2026 to be less than 75 basis points.

Perguntas relacionadas

QWhat did former President Trump say about inflation and deflation?

AFormer President Trump stated that inflation would continue to fall further, but there would be no deflation.

QWhich cryptocurrencies were approved by the CFTC as collateral in the derivatives market under its new pilot program?

AThe CFTC approved Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), and the stablecoin USDC as collateral in the derivatives market under its new Digital Asset Pilot Program.

QWhat is the current probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed in December, according to CME's 'FedWatch Tool'?

AThe probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed in December is 87.3%, according to CME's 'FedWatch Tool'.

QWhy was the CEO of Terraform Labs, Do Kwon, facing sentencing in a New York court?

ADo Kwon was facing sentencing after pleading guilty to two felony charges of wire fraud and conspiracy to commit fraud related to the collapse of Terraform Labs in 2022.

QWhat significant action did the Canadian Revenue Agency (CRA) take regarding cryptocurrency users and tax compliance?

AThe Canadian Revenue Agency stated that about 40% of crypto platform users were at risk of tax evasion or high-risk non-compliance and had requested user data from platforms, recovering over 100 million Canadian dollars in taxes through audits in the past three years.

Leituras Relacionadas

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

The cryptocurrency market has just concluded its worst-performing quarter since 2022, with total capitalization dropping 12.6% to $2.1 trillion. All core metrics indicate capital is leaving the sector, not just rotating within it. Bitcoin fell 14.2% and Ethereum dropped 25.4% in Q2, breaking their previous correlation with US tech stocks. A key driver is the reversal in US spot Bitcoin ETF flows, which saw a net outflow of approximately $4.67 billion in Q2, including a record monthly outflow near $4.5 billion in June. While recent data suggests long-term holders are accumulating again, sustained ETF outflows mean continued selling pressure. Market focus is now singularly on the Federal Reserve. The upcoming July FOMC meeting is seen as the most critical event for Q3. A dovish signal could support Bitcoin reclaiming a $68,000-$84,000 range, while a hawkish stance might establish a new trading band around $50,000-$56,000. Additionally, regulatory uncertainty persists, with the progress of the crucial *CLARITY Act* stalling in the Senate, reducing its perceived 2026 passage probability to 40-45%. Despite the broad downturn, a few sectors showed growth. Prediction markets saw nominal volume surge 48.7% year-over-year to $113.8 billion, and tokenized collectibles transaction volume rose 143% quarterly to $1.4 billion. The Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization sector also continued steady growth, now representing ~$28.1 billion in on-chain value. The market's foundation for an extreme crash appears limited, with Bitcoin price hovering near its 200-week moving average. However, the trading paradigm has shifted from narrative-driven speculation to decisions based on price action, policy developments, and interest rate expectations, making a broad sentiment-driven rally unlikely in the near term.

marsbitHá 16h

After Three Consecutive Quarters of Decline, Can the Crypto Market Find a Window for Stabilization in Q3?

marsbitHá 16h

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

**Crypto & Stock Market Wrap: Bitcoin Tests Resistance, Stocks Retreat After AI Surge** Bitcoin consolidates around $66,000, facing key resistance near $68,000—an area seen as a major psychological and technical hurdle where previous rallies have failed. Analysts note the cryptocurrency is caught between its 200-week moving average (~$63,333) and 200-week EMA (~$68,328). A clear break above $68k is needed to signal a stronger bullish trend, while a rejection could lead to a retest of $63k support. Market sentiment remains cautious, with low futures open interest pointing to a low-liquidity rebound rather than a full bull market. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw another $203 million inflow. US stock futures pointed lower after a strong Tuesday session led by a massive rebound in semiconductors and memory stocks. The rally was fueled by renewed optimism about AI-driven hardware demand, with Micron, SanDisk, and SK Hynix surging. However, those gains reversed in pre-market trading. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) soared over 20% after hours on strong guidance and a record backlog. Other standouts included Rocket Lab and nuclear energy plays Oklo and X-Energy. Rising oil prices (Brent above $91) and climbing Treasury yields (10-year near 4.64%), however, are reigniting inflation concerns and acting as a headwind for equities. In Asia, markets were mixed. South Korea's KOSPI pared early gains to close slightly higher as semiconductor stocks like SK Hynix gave back initial surges. Japan's Nikkei edged lower as the yen hit a fresh 38-year low against the dollar, raising fears of potential market intervention. Key events to watch include the Samsung Galaxy launch, AMD's AI event, and a slew of major tech earnings from Alphabet, Tesla, and IBM after the close on Wednesday, followed by the ECB meeting and Intel's earnings on Thursday.

marsbitHá 16h

BIT Trading Moment: BTC Still Suppressed by Weekly 200 EMA, Rejection May Restart Decline; Storage and Semiconductors that Surged Last Night Begin Falling in Evening Trading

marsbitHá 16h

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

Former CFTC Chairman and Circle President Heath Tarbert has consistently advocated for a long-term vision in public, urging patience from investors as Circle’s stock price has fallen significantly from its peak. However, it has been revealed that since Circle’s IPO, Tarbert has continuously sold his CRCL shares through pre-arranged trading plans, cashing out approximately $30 million, without making any public market purchases. This contrast between his public messaging and personal actions has drawn criticism. Tarbert joined Circle in July 2023 as Chief Legal Officer, leveraging his regulatory experience to help guide the company through its IPO and expansion. Despite promoting stablecoins as long-term infrastructure, he established a 10b5-1 trading plan just before Circle went public, leading to substantial stock sales over the following year. In March 2026, he initiated another plan to sell more shares. His career trajectory highlights a pattern of moving between high-level regulatory roles and influential positions in the financial sector. After resigning as CFTC Chairman in early 2021, he joined Citadel Securities as Chief Legal Officer just 27 days later, during a period of intense regulatory scrutiny for the firm. He later joined Circle, aiding its efforts to navigate regulatory challenges for its public listing. While Tarbert's expertise in policy and compliance is valuable to companies like Circle, his actions—advocating long-term confidence while personally divesting—raise questions about the alignment between his public statements and his private financial decisions, leaving investors who followed his advice to bear the market risks.

marsbitHá 16h

Former CFTC Chairman, Circle President Tarbert: Preaching Long-Termism While Cashing Out $30 Million Himself

marsbitHá 16h

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

The article titled "Gate Research Institute: Are Crypto Financial Products Sparking a 'Wall Street' Wave—Competition or Convergence?" explores the evolving relationship between the crypto ecosystem and traditional finance (TradFi). The piece begins by reflecting on Bitcoin's original 2009 vision of decentralization, disintermediation, and moving away from banks. It then contrasts this with the 2024 landscape, where key crypto assets like Bitcoin are increasingly held through Wall Street products like ETFs issued by giants like BlackRock. The article questions whether this signifies that TradFi is systematically taking over the rights to issue, price, custody, and distribute crypto financial assets. The core argument is that this is not a zero-sum takeover but rather a bidirectional convergence where each side addresses the other's weaknesses. Crypto offers 24/7 global markets, programmable settlement, and open access but lacks compliant channels, institutional-grade custody, deep fiat liquidity, and mainstream distribution. TradFi possesses these but is constrained by legacy systems, limited operating hours, and slow settlement. Two primary convergence paths are highlighted: * **Path A (CEX to TradFi):** Exemplified by Gate, which has progressed from offering tokenized stocks and CFDs to providing direct, real stock trading (US, Hong Kong, South Korea) within its platform, using USDT. * **Path B (TradFi to Crypto):** Exemplified by Robinhood, which has integrated crypto trading, acquired exchanges like Bitstamp, and is moving traditional assets like stocks onto the blockchain via tokenization and its own Layer 2. Both paths are ultimately competing to become the next-generation, unified financial account—a "super account" where users can seamlessly trade cryptocurrencies, stocks, ETFs, RWA (Real World Assets), and tokenized treasury products in one interface. The growth of RWA and tokenized treasuries (e.g., BlackRock's BUIDL) is presented as the asset-layer fusion, providing stable, yield-bearing assets on-chain and acting as a bridge between the two worlds. In conclusion, the "Wall Street-ization" of crypto is framed as a mutual transformation. Decentralized ideals persist in the protocol layer, while at the application layer, a more efficient, global, and accessible unified capital market is emerging from this convergence. The future competition lies not between crypto exchanges and stockbrokers, but between platforms vying to offer the most comprehensive asset coverage, liquidity, and user experience within a single account.

marsbitHá 16h

Gate Research Institute: The 'Wall Street-ization' Wave of Crypto Financial Products – Competition or Integration?

marsbitHá 16h

Trading

Spot
活动图片