Crypto index funds ‘a big deal’ as market complexity grows: Bitwise CIO

cointelegraphPublicado em 2025-12-09Última atualização em 2025-12-09

Resumo

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts crypto index funds will surge in popularity in 2026 as investors seek diversified exposure amid growing market complexity. He argues that predicting individual token performance is nearly impossible due to regulatory, macroeconomic, and execution variables. Instead, he advocates for market-cap-weighted crypto index funds to capture broad growth without risking wrong bets on specific chains. Hougan believes the market could grow up to 20 times in a decade, driven by tokenization, stablecoins, DeFi, and other emerging use cases. Despite recent market gains fueled by pro-crypto policies, uncertainty around tariffs and interest rates persists.

Funds that track a basket of cryptocurrencies are likely to rocket in popularity next year as investors look to get easy exposure to a broader range of digital assets, according to Bitwise’s investment chief Matt Hougan.

“Crypto index funds are going to be a big deal in 2026,” Hougan said in a note on Monday. “The market is getting more complex and the use cases are multiplying.”

He added that while the overall crypto market is poised to grow, it isn’t possible to predict which tokens will perform, so owning a fund that tracks the market is a “great place to start,” although it’s “not right for everyone.”

Many exchange-traded fund issuers, including Bitwise, offer funds that track multiple cryptocurrencies, drawing inspiration from indexes such as the S&P 500, which track the top 500 companies on US stock exchanges.

Multi-crypto ETFs already exist, with some going live in the US earlier this year that hold crypto in proportion to each token’s market capitalization. However, these have seen relatively modest inflows as they largely hold Bitcoin (BTC), which currently dominates nearly 60% of the market, per CoinGecko.

“Buy the market” as crypto is unknowable

Hougan said that despite his experience and network of experts within crypto, he can’t say “with confidence which chain will win, or precisely how things will turn out.”

“At this stage of crypto’s development, I’d argue it’s unknowable,” he added. “Outcomes will be shaped by regulation, execution, macro conditions, the actions of a few key individuals, luck, and a hundred other variables.”

“Forecasting all of that correctly would require supernatural foresight.”

Crypto markets rallied from November 2024 to January through Donald Trump’s presidential election and inauguration and have remained elevated on his pro-crypto policies.

However, crypto has felt the negative effects of sweeping US tariffs and uncertainty over further interest rates cuts as traditional finance becomes more involved in the market.

“Given that uncertainty, my approach is simple: I buy the market,” Hougan said. “Specifically, I buy a market-cap-weighted crypto index fund.”

He added that crypto “will be far more important in 10 years than it is today,” and the market could grow up to 20 times over that time.

Hougan pointed to Securities and Exchange Commission chair Paul Atkins’ comment on Wednesday that the US financial system could embrace tokenization in a “couple of years.”

Related: Bank of America backs 1%–4% crypto allocation, opens door to Bitcoin ETFs

“Stablecoins will matter more. Tokenization will matter more. Bitcoin will matter more. And I think a dozen other major use cases will follow: prediction markets, decentralized finance (DeFi), privacy tech, digital identity,” Hougan said.

“I don’t want to risk picking the wrong chain,” he added. “Imagine correctly calling a market that goes up 100,000x—and still underperforming because you backed the wrong horse.”

“So I use a crypto index fund as the core of my portfolio,” Hougan said, “knowing that, however crypto evolves, I’ll own exposure to the potential winners.”

Magazine: Solana vs Ethereum ETFs, Facebook’s influence on Bitwise — Hunter Horsley

Criptomoedas em alta

Leituras Relacionadas

Dialogue with Yihui Capital, SoundAI Technology, Ling Universe, and Zhongbo Jili: Opportunities and Challenges in the AI Smart Hardware Track

On June 28, 2026, an event titled "New Opportunities in AI Hardware: The Battle for Interactive Entry Points Begins" was held in Beijing. It featured a report from ITJuzi and discussions with experts from SoundAI, Ling Universe, One Reed Capital, and Zhongbo Juli on the opportunities and challenges in China's AI hardware sector. Key report findings highlight the sector's intense activity: 327 out of 431 startups founded post-2023 have secured funding, with 179 investments in H1 2026 alone. The landscape is dominated by embodied intelligent robots, while wearable tech like smart rings and AI glasses shows rapid growth. Geographically, Shenzhen leads, leveraging its superior hardware supply chain, followed by Beijing and Shanghai. The overarching trend is for companies to focus on micro-innovations within specific scenarios rather than reinventing foundational technology. Industry leaders shared several critical insights: 1. **Balancing Innovation & Market Readiness**: Entrepreneurs face the "hammer looking for a nail" dilemma. Success requires balancing technical capability with user acceptance, cost control, and incremental design improvements rather than chasing disruptive innovation. 2. **Competitive Landscape**: The future interactive entry point may not be a single super-device but a mix of universal terminals and specialized, scenario-specific hardware. While large companies have ecosystem advantages, startups can win by deeply targeting vertical markets and specific user groups. 3. **Core Challenges & Business Models**: Key hurdles include deep understanding of AI models and navigating non-transparent hardware supply chains. Viable business models may involve selling hardware at cost and generating revenue through software subscriptions, but this requires tight control over both hardware BOM and model inference costs. 4. **The Road to Commercialization**: The ultimate test is market validation—achieving sales growth and sustainable cash flow. Companies must find the right application scenario, use edge computing effectively, and close the loop from technology to commercial success. 5. **The Future of Interaction**: Proactive, context-aware interaction is the next frontier, though it's currently limited by issues like model hallucinations and environmental perception. The near-term focus should be on identifying target users and creating a coherent experience in specific domains, such as health wearables. In summary, to succeed in the competitive AI hardware arena, companies must strategically choose their niche, build a team with the right geographical advantages (e.g., leveraging Shenzhen's supply chain), and most importantly, execute a flawless commercialization strategy that translates technology into market-accepted products and sustainable business growth.

marsbitHá 43m

Dialogue with Yihui Capital, SoundAI Technology, Ling Universe, and Zhongbo Jili: Opportunities and Challenges in the AI Smart Hardware Track

marsbitHá 43m

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju analyzes Bitcoin's current capital challenge. He notes that the cryptocurrency market has grown too large for retail-driven momentum alone to generate massive price increases as in past cycles. His calculations show that in 2011, approximately $2.7 million in capital inflow could push BTC's price up by 550x, whereas the current cycle requires an estimated $101 billion in new capital just for a 100% price increase. This shift underscores that sustaining a bull run now depends on attracting large-scale, long-term institutional capital rather than short-term speculative trading. Recent outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling nearly $10 billion since May, highlight the fragility of current demand and challenge the narrative of deep institutional support. While surveys indicate continued institutional interest, these entities prioritize regulated products, risk management, and portfolio integration over speculative gains. For the next significant bull market, Bitcoin must transition to being a core macro asset. The key drivers are no longer just more buyers, but capital allocation from larger, slower-moving entities like wealth advisors, corporate treasuries, banks, and sovereign wealth funds. This new phase pits Bitcoin against other major asset classes like AI for a share of institutional capital, making its growth trajectory dependent on sustained, high-quality inflows from diversified financial balance sheets.

marsbitHá 47m

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

marsbitHá 47m

Trading

Spot

Artigos em Destaque

Como comprar O

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de O1 exchange (O) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar O1 exchange (O) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu O1 exchange (O)Depois de comprar o teu O1 exchange (O), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona O1 exchange (O)Transaciona facilmente O1 exchange (O) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

108 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.29

Como comprar O

Como comprar PROS

Bem-vindo à HTX.com!Tornámos a compra de Pharos (PROS) simples e conveniente.Segue o nosso guia passo a passo para iniciar a tua jornada no mundo das criptos.Passo 1: cria a tua conta HTXUtiliza o teu e-mail ou número de telefone para te inscreveres numa conta gratuita na HTX.Desfruta de um processo de inscrição sem complicações e desbloqueia todas as funcionalidades.Obter a minha contaPasso 2: vai para Comprar Cripto e escolhe o teu método de pagamentoCartão de crédito/débito: usa o teu visa ou mastercard para comprar Pharos (PROS) instantaneamente.Saldo: usa os fundos da tua conta HTX para transacionar sem problemas.Terceiros: adicionamos métodos de pagamento populares, como Google Pay e Apple Pay, para aumentar a conveniência.P2P: transaciona diretamente com outros utilizadores na HTX.Mercado de balcão (OTC): oferecemos serviços personalizados e taxas de câmbio competitivas para os traders.Passo 3: armazena teu Pharos (PROS)Depois de comprar o teu Pharos (PROS), armazena-o na tua conta HTX.Alternativamente, podes enviá-lo para outro lugar através de transferência blockchain ou usá-lo para transacionar outras criptomoedas.Passo 4: transaciona Pharos (PROS)Transaciona facilmente Pharos (PROS) no mercado à vista da HTX.Acede simplesmente à tua conta, seleciona o teu par de trading, executa as tuas transações e monitoriza em tempo real.Oferecemos uma experiência de fácil utilização tanto para principiantes como para traders experientes.

99 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.29

Como comprar PROS

O que é VERONA

I. Introdução ao Projeto VERONA é uma blockchain construída para todos, em todo o lado, através da abstração da cadeia. Utilizando a sua camada de Abstração Generalizada, a VERONA distingue-se por integrar funcionalidades complexas de blockchain, como contas, assinaturas e interoperabilidade, diretamente ao nível do protocolo. Esta abordagem permite a interação com aplicações de blockchain sem a necessidade de compreender as tecnologias subjacentes.1) Informação Básica Nome: VERONA (VERONA)III. Links Relacionados Link do site oficial: https://xion.burnt.com/ Whitepaper: https://xion.burnt.com/whitepaper.pdf Exploradores: https://explorer.burnt.com/ Mídias Sociais: https://x.com/burnt_xion Nota: A introdução ao projeto provém dos materiais publicados ou fornecidos pela equipa oficial do projeto, que é apenas para referência e não constitui aconselhamento de investimento. A HTX não se responsabiliza por quaisquer perdas diretas ou indiretas resultantes.

688 Visualizações TotaisPublicado em {updateTime}Atualizado em 2026.06.22

O que é VERONA

Discussões

Bem-vindo à Comunidade HTX. Aqui, pode manter-se informado sobre os mais recentes desenvolvimentos da plataforma e obter acesso a análises profissionais de mercado. As opiniões dos utilizadores sobre o preço de A (A) são apresentadas abaixo.

活动图片